Primeira Liga Gameweek 32 Sun, May 3 2026 · 18:00 Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
1–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.42 – 0.86
  • M. Dorgeles 23’
  • 79’ Y. Begraoui
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

SC Braga and Estoril share the points

SC Braga entered as clear favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Dorgeles goal. But Begraoui scored to rescue a draw for Estoril. Estoril finished with the higher xG (0.86 vs 0.42).

SC Braga63%
Draw ✓22%
Estoril14%

Model vs reality

SC Braga goals
1
Model 1.94 · xG 0.42
Estoril goals
1
Model 0.81 · xG 0.86
Total goals
2
Model 2.75 · xG 1.28
Score 1–1
11%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 48%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. DorgelesSC Braga · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeAnzhony Rodrigues
  • VenueEstádio Municipal de Braga
  • Table before kick-offSC Braga 4th · Estoril 10th

Timeline

  1. M. Dorgeles 1–0Assist R. Zalazar
    23’
  2. Gabriel MoscardoYellow card · Roughing
    29’
  3. XekaYellow card · Tripping
    36’
  4. D. TıknazYellow card · Tripping
    38’
  5. F. BacherYellow card · Holding
    45+1’
  6. Half time · 1–0
  7. ⇄ LuisinhoFor R. Zalazar
    46’
  8. FerroYellow card · Tripping
    50’
  9. ⇄ André LacximicantFor Ferro
    54’
  10. ⇄ Fran NavarroFor A. El Ouazzani
    61’
  11. ⇄ Paulo OliveiraFor João Moutinho
    70’
  12. ⇄ Gonçalo CostaFor Pedro Amaral
    70’
  13. Y. Begraoui 1–1Assist Ricard Sánchez
    79’
  14. ⇄ A. MarquésFor Y. Begraoui
    80’
  15. ⇄ PeixinhoFor R. Guitane
    80’
  16. ⇄ Pedro CarvalhoFor Ricard Sánchez
    81’
  17. LuisinhoYellow card · Diving
    90+2’
  18. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

SC Braga10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
Estoril9 shots · 5 in box, 4 outside
SC BragaEstoril
50% Possession 50%
0.42 Expected goals (xG) 0.86
0.90 Expected points (xPts) 1.71
10 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
3 Shots off target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
7 Shots inside the box 5
3 Shots outside the box 4
464 Passes 465
84% Pass accuracy 85%
5 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 2
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.78 Team rating 6.81

Line-ups

SC Braga 3-4-2-1

17.3 L. Horníček(G)
176.5 Gabriel Moscardo 66.3 Vitor Carvalho 146.7 G. Lagerbielke
56.9 Leonardo Lelo 346.7 D. Tıknaz 86.3 João Moutinho ↓70’ 208.0★ M. Dorgeles
187.0 Pau Víctor 106.6 R. Zalazar A↓46’
96.3 A. El Ouazzani ↓61’
  • 1L. Horníček (G)7.3
  • 17Gabriel Moscardo6.5
  • 6Vitor Carvalho6.3
  • 14G. Lagerbielke6.7
  • 5Leonardo Lelo6.9
  • 34D. Tıknaz6.7
  • 8João Moutinho↓70’6.3
  • 20M. Dorgeles ★8.0
  • 18Pau Víctor7.0
  • 10R. ZalazarA↓46’6.6
  • 9A. El Ouazzani↓61’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 90Luisinho↑46’6.5
  • 39Fran Navarro↑61’6.5
  • 15Paulo Oliveira↑70’6.2

Unused: Tiago Sá, Rodrigo Silva, Afonso Sousa, Jonatás Noro, Antonio Gil, Yanis da Rocha

Estoril 3-4-3

166.3 M. Turk(G)
56.9 A. Tsoungui 46.7 Ferro ↓54’ 256.9 F. Bacher
246.9 Pedro Amaral ↓70’ 107.2 J. Holsgrove 86.2 Xeka 26.9 Ricard Sánchez A↓81’
126.9 João Carvalho 147.3 Y. Begraoui ↓80’ 997.0 R. Guitane ↓80’
  • 16M. Turk (G)6.3
  • 5A. Tsoungui6.9
  • 4Ferro↓54’6.7
  • 25F. Bacher6.9
  • 24Pedro Amaral↓70’6.9
  • 10J. Holsgrove7.2
  • 8Xeka6.2
  • 2Ricard SánchezA↓81’6.9
  • 12João Carvalho6.9
  • 14Y. Begraoui↓80’7.3
  • 99R. Guitane↓80’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 19André Lacximicant↑54’6.7
  • 20Gonçalo Costa↑70’6.3
  • 22Pedro Carvalho↑81’6.3
  • 9A. Marqués↑80’6.7
  • 70Peixinho↑80’6.7

Unused: Joel Robles, Luís Gomes, Pizzi, N. Lominadze

Player stats

Top rated
M. DorgelesSC Braga8.0
2nd
L. HorníčekSC Braga7.3
3rd
Y. BegraouiEstoril7.3

SC Braga

Estoril

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.