Primeira Liga Gameweek 5 Sun, Sep 14 2025 · 20:30 Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.45 – 1.39
  • 45+2’ Pablo
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Pablo goal decides it for GIL Vicente

SC Braga entered as clear favourites, but GIL Vicente won 1–0 through a Pablo goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.45 and 1.39. On the chances created, SC Braga deserved more: 1.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

SC Braga67%
Draw20%
GIL Vicente ✓13%

Model vs reality

SC Braga goals
0
Model 2.13 · xG 1.45
GIL Vicente goals
1
Model 0.81 · xG 1.39
Total goals
1
Model 2.94 · xG 2.84
Score 0–1
4%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchAndrewGIL Vicente
9.0
  • RefereeJosé Bessa
  • VenueEstádio Municipal de Braga
  • Table before kick-offSC Braga 6th · GIL Vicente 7th

Timeline

  1. Jean-Baptiste GorbyYellow card · Foul
    18’
  2. Pablo 0–1Assist Agustín Moreira
    45+2’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ R. ZalazarFor Pau Víctor
    46’
  5. ⇄ Gabriel MoscardoFor Jean-Baptiste Gorby
    46’
  6. Santi GarcíaYellow card · Foul
    50’
  7. ⇄ Martin FernándezFor Agustín Moreira
    55’
  8. ⇄ Zé CarlosFor Santi García
    55’
  9. PabloYellow card · Foul
    59’
  10. ⇄ F. GrillitschFor Fran Navarro
    65’
  11. ⇄ Gustavo VarelaFor Pablo
    70’
  12. ⇄ Sergio BermejoFor Murilo
    70’
  13. G. KonanYellow card · Argument
    73’
  14. ⇄ Ricardo HortaFor Paulo Oliveira
    80’
  15. ⇄ EspigaresFor Luís Esteves
    80’
  16. S. NiakatéYellow card · Foul
    90+7’
  17. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

SC Braga11 shots · 11 in box
GIL Vicente12 shots · 6 in box, 6 outside
SC BragaGIL Vicente
64% Possession 36%
1.45 Expected goals (xG) 1.39
1.42 Expected points (xPts) 1.33
11 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
3 Shots off target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
11 Shots inside the box 6
0 Shots outside the box 6
550 Passes 312
82% Pass accuracy 72%
5 Corners 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.84 Team rating 7.26

Line-ups

SC Braga 4-4-2

17.7 L. Horníček(G)
57.2 Leonardo Lelo 46.9 S. Niakaté 156.7 Paulo Oliveira ↓80’ 26.9 Víctor Gómez
186.3 Pau Víctor ↓46’ 296.2 Jean-Baptiste Gorby ↓46’ 87.3 João Moutinho 776.9 Gabri Martínez
396.2 Fran Navarro ↓65’ 96.7 A. El Ouazzani
  • 1L. Horníček (G)7.7
  • 5Leonardo Lelo7.2
  • 4S. Niakaté6.9
  • 15Paulo Oliveira↓80’6.7
  • 2Víctor Gómez6.9
  • 18Pau Víctor↓46’6.3
  • 29Jean-Baptiste Gorby↓46’6.2
  • 8João Moutinho7.3
  • 77Gabri Martínez6.9
  • 39Fran Navarro↓65’6.2
  • 9A. El Ouazzani6.7

Substitutes used

  • 17Gabriel Moscardo↑46’6.3
  • 10R. Zalazar↑46’6.5
  • 27F. Grillitsch↑65’6.6
  • 21Ricardo Horta↑80’6.3

Unused: A. Bellaarouch, B. Arrey-Mbi, Yanis da Rocha, Vitor Carvalho, D. Rodrigues

GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1

429.0★ Andrew(G)
36.7 G. Konan 397.3 Jonathan Buatu 47.6 M. Elimbi 27.3 Zé Carlos
107.2 Luís Esteves ↓80’ 57.0 F. Cáseres
277.0 Agustín Moreira A↓55’ 956.9 Santi García ↓55’ 776.6 Murilo ↓70’
97.9 Pablo ↓70’
  • 42Andrew (G) ★9.0
  • 3G. Konan6.7
  • 39Jonathan Buatu7.3
  • 4M. Elimbi7.6
  • 2Zé Carlos7.3
  • 10Luís Esteves↓80’7.2
  • 5F. Cáseres7.0
  • 27Agustín MoreiraA↓55’7.0
  • 95Santi García↓55’6.9
  • 77Murilo↓70’6.6
  • 9Pablo↓70’7.9

Substitutes used

  • 32Martin Fernández↑55’6.5
  • 6Zé Carlos↑55’6.9
  • 17Sergio Bermejo↑70’6.2
  • 89Gustavo Varela↑70’6.2
  • 48Espigares↑80’6.9

Unused: Daniel Figueira, J. Mutombo, Hevertton Santos, Joelson Fernandes

Player stats

Top rated
AndrewGIL Vicente9.0
2nd
PabloGIL Vicente7.9
3rd
L. HorníčekSC Braga7.7

SC Braga

GIL Vicente

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.