Primeira Liga Gameweek 14 Mon, Dec 15 2025 · 18:45 Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
SC Braga
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.91 – 0.61
Santa Clara
  • Ricardo Horta 42’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Horta goal decides it for SC Braga

SC Braga entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Horta goal. SC Braga finished with the higher xG (0.91 vs 0.61). On the chances created, Santa Clara deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

SC Braga ✓69%
Draw20%
Santa Clara12%

Model vs reality

SC Braga goals
1
Model 2.17 · xG 0.91
Santa Clara goals
0
Model 0.78 · xG 0.61
Total goals
1
Model 2.95 · xG 1.52
Score 1–0
11%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 57%
Both scored
No
Model 49%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchRicardo HortaSC Braga · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeBruno Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa
  • VenueEstádio Municipal de Braga
  • Table before kick-offSC Braga 6th · Santa Clara 11th

Timeline

  1. WendelYellow card · Roughing
    36’
  2. Ricardo Horta 1–0Assist Gabri Martínez
    42’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. Luís RochaYellow card · Roughing
    48’
  5. ⇄ Pau VíctorFor R. Zalazar
    59’
  6. ⇄ Jean-Baptiste GorbyFor João Moutinho
    59’
  7. ⇄ M. AraujoFor Paulo Victor
    59’
  8. ⇄ Diogo CalilaFor Lucas Soares
    67’
  9. ⇄ Gabriel SilvaFor Serginho
    67’
  10. ⇄ Víctor GómezFor Gabri Martínez
    70’
  11. Pedro FerreiraYellow card · Roughing
    74’
  12. ⇄ Henrique SilvaFor Sidney Lima
    76’
  13. ⇄ José TavaresFor Pedro Ferreira
    76’
  14. ⇄ Vitor CarvalhoFor S. Niakaté
    83’
  15. ⇄ Gabriel MoscardoFor Fran Navarro
    83’
  16. Pau VíctorYellow card · Roughing
    88’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

SC Braga6 shots · 4 in box, 2 outside
Santa Clara5 shots · 4 in box, 1 outside
SC BragaSanta Clara
68% Possession 32%
0.91 Expected goals (xG) 0.61
1.58 Expected points (xPts) 1.06
6 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 2
1 Shots off target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Shots inside the box 4
2 Shots outside the box 1
765 Passes 358
92% Pass accuracy 82%
5 Corners 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.12 Team rating 6.44

Line-ups

SC Braga 3-4-3

17.2 L. Horníček(G)
267.2 B. Arrey-Mbi 47.2 S. Niakaté ↓83’ 147.9 G. Lagerbielke
56.3 Leonardo Lelo 87.3 João Moutinho ↓59’ 277.7 F. Grillitsch 776.9 Gabri Martínez A↓70’
218.2★ Ricardo Horta 396.5 Fran Navarro ↓83’ 106.3 R. Zalazar ↓59’
  • 1L. Horníček (G)7.2
  • 26B. Arrey-Mbi7.2
  • 4S. Niakaté↓83’7.2
  • 14G. Lagerbielke7.9
  • 5Leonardo Lelo6.3
  • 8João Moutinho↓59’7.3
  • 27F. Grillitsch7.7
  • 77Gabri MartínezA↓70’6.9
  • 21Ricardo Horta ★8.2
  • 39Fran Navarro↓83’6.5
  • 10R. Zalazar↓59’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 29Jean-Baptiste Gorby↑59’6.3
  • 18Pau Víctor↑59’6.7
  • 2Víctor Gómez↑70’6.3
  • 17Gabriel Moscardo↑83’6.2
  • 6Vitor Carvalho↑83’6.3

Unused: A. Bellaarouch, Paulo Oliveira, M. Dorgeles, D. Rodrigues

Santa Clara 5-4-1

16.5 Gabriel Batista(G)
646.5 Paulo Victor ↓59’ 216.7 F. Ferrão Venâncio 136.2 Luís Rocha 237.2 Sidney Lima ↓76’ 426.0 Lucas Soares ↓67’
356.9 Serginho ↓67’ 66.3 Adriano 86.3 Pedro Ferreira ↓76’ 116.3 Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
296.0 Wendel
  • 1Gabriel Batista (G)6.5
  • 64Paulo Victor↓59’6.5
  • 21F. Ferrão Venâncio6.7
  • 13Luís Rocha6.2
  • 23Sidney Lima↓76’7.2
  • 42Lucas Soares↓67’6.0
  • 35Serginho↓67’6.9
  • 6Adriano6.3
  • 8Pedro Ferreira↓76’6.3
  • 11Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos6.3
  • 29Wendel6.0

Substitutes used

  • 2Diogo Calila↑67’6.6
  • 10Gabriel Silva↑67’6.5
  • 94Henrique Silva↑76’6.3
  • 65José Tavares↑76’6.3

Unused: MT, Neneca, Luquinhas, Adriel Guilherme de Moraes, João Costa

Player stats

Top rated
Ricardo HortaSC Braga8.2
2nd
G. LagerbielkeSC Braga7.9
3rd
F. GrillitschSC Braga7.7

SC Braga

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
L. Horníček G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 85% 39 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
B. Arrey-Mbi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 71 2 0 0/0 1/0 7.2
S. Niakaté D 83 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 83 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
G. Lagerbielke D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 94% 120 2 0 0/0 1/1 7.9
Leonardo Lelo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 36 0 2 2/3 0/1 6.3
João Moutinho M 59 0 0 0 (0) 1 95% 87 2 1 0/0 0/1 7.3
F. Grillitsch M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 109 1 3 1/1 0/6 7.7
Gabri Martínez F 70 0 1 0 (0) 2 86% 56 1 0 1/6 1/0 6.9
Ricardo Horta F 90 1 0 1 (1) 2 82% 49 2 0 0/1 1/2 8.2
Fran Navarro F 83 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 15 1 0 1/1 2/0 6.5
R. Zalazar M 59 0 0 2 (1) 0 91% 44 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
Jean-Baptiste Gorby M 31 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 28 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
Pau Víctor F 31 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 13 1 0 0/0 2/2 6.7
Víctor Gómez D 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 11 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
Gabriel Moscardo M 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.2
Vitor Carvalho M 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Santa Clara

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Gabriel Batista G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 54% 24 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Paulo Victor D 59 0 0 0 (0) 0 47% 15 4 3 1/1 1/1 6.5
F. Ferrão Venâncio D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 54 0 3 0/0 1/0 6.7
Luís Rocha D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 51 1 3 0/0 1/0 6.2
Sidney Lima D 76 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 34 0 0 0/0 1/3 7.2
Lucas Soares D 67 0 0 1 (0) 0 86% 14 1 1 0/0 2/0 6.0
Serginho M 67 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 17 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.9
Adriano M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 44 0 3 1/2 2/0 6.3
Pedro Ferreira M 76 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 11 0 0 0/2 2/0 6.3
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos F 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 71% 14 0 1 0/1 0/1 6.3
Wendel F 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 54% 13 0 0 0/0 2/1 6.0
Diogo Calila D 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 13 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.6
Gabriel Silva F 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 1 0 0/2 0/0 6.5
Henrique Silva D 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 13 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
José Tavares M 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.