Bundesliga Gameweek 4 Sun, Sep 20 2026 · 18:30 Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
SC Paderborn 07
3–1 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 0.68 – 1.50
1899 Hoffenheim
  • S. Castañeda 29’
  • S. Marino 42’
  • S. Tigges 69’
  • 50’ A. Daghim
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

SC Paderborn 07 beat 1899 Hoffenheim

1899 Hoffenheim entered as narrow favourites, but SC Paderborn 07 won 3–1 through goals from Castañeda, Marino and Tigges. 1899 Hoffenheim replied through a Daghim goal. SC Paderborn 07 won despite the lower xG; 1899 Hoffenheim created the better chances (1.50 vs 0.68). On the chances created, 1899 Hoffenheim deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

SC Paderborn 07 ✓35%
Draw24%
1899 Hoffenheim40%

Model vs reality

SC Paderborn 07 goals
3
Model 1.44 · xG 0.68
1899 Hoffenheim goals
1
Model 1.56 · xG 1.50
Total goals
4
Model 3.00 · xG 2.18
Score 3–1
4%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 58%
Both scored
Yes
Model 60%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchS. CastañedaSC Paderborn 07 · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeDaniel Schlager
  • CoachesRalf Kettemann · C. Ilzer
  • VenueHome Deluxe Arena
  • Table before kick-offSC Paderborn 07 16th · 1899 Hoffenheim 13th
  • Weather at kick-off15°C · Clear · wind 15 km/h

Timeline

  1. S. Castañeda 1–0
    29’
  2. S. Marino 2–0Assist L. Curda
    42’
  3. W. BurgerYellow card · Foul
    45’
  4. Half time · 2–0
  5. ⇄ S. TiggesFor M. Pieringer
    46’
  6. ⇄ A. HajdariFor M. Rots
    46’
  7. A. Daghim 2–1Assist M. Moerstedt
    50’
  8. ⇄ P. WimmerFor A. Hložek
    62’
  9. ⇄ T. LemperleFor M. Moerstedt
    62’
  10. ⇄ Jonah StickerFor R. Obermair
    63’
  11. S. Tigges 3–1Assist Jonah Sticker
    69’
  12. ⇄ T. BaackFor G. Vidović
    73’
  13. ⇄ Rayan PhilippeFor S. Marino
    73’
  14. ⇄ F. GötzeFor M. Hansen
    75’
  15. ⇄ A. KramarićFor A. Daghim
    80’
  16. ⇄ F. AsllaniFor L. Avdullahu
    80’
  17. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

SC Paderborn 0713 shots · 7 in box, 6 outside
1899 Hoffenheim23 shots · 16 in box, 7 outside
SC Paderborn 071899 Hoffenheim
34% Possession 66%
0.68 Expected goals (xG) 1.50
0.77 Expected points (xPts) 1.97
13 Shots 23
5 Shots on target 2
3 Shots off target 8
5 Blocked shots 13
7 Shots inside the box 16
6 Shots outside the box 7
325 Passes 639
71% Pass accuracy 85%
6 Corners 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 3
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.19 Team rating 6.69

Line-ups

SC Paderborn 07 3-5-2

156.6 N. Noll(G)
227.2 M. Hansen ↓75’ 256.9 T. Scheller 217.3 J. ter Horst
236.5 R. Obermair ↓63’ 406.9 G. Vidović ↓73’ 58.2★ S. Castañeda 287.2 L. Ulrich 177.6 L. Curda A
307.5 S. Marino ↓73’ 186.3 M. Pieringer ↓46’
  • 15N. Noll (G)6.6
  • 22M. Hansen↓75’7.2
  • 25T. Scheller6.9
  • 21J. ter Horst7.3
  • 23R. Obermair↓63’6.5
  • 40G. Vidović↓73’6.9
  • 5S. Castañeda ★8.2
  • 28L. Ulrich7.2
  • 17L. CurdaA7.6
  • 30S. Marino↓73’7.5
  • 18M. Pieringer↓46’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 3Jonah StickerA↑63’7.2
  • 20F. Götze↑75’6.6
  • 6T. Baack↑73’6.9
  • 27S. Tigges↑46’7.9
  • 9Rayan Philippe↑73’7.3

Unused: M. Schubert, Ruben Müller, S. Michel, D. Zeitler

Coach: Ralf Kettemann

1899 Hoffenheim 4-4-2

16.5 O. Baumann(G)
396.2 M. Rots ↓46’ 286.2 K. Machida 56.9 O. Kabak 346.9 V. Coufal
147.0 A. Daghim ↓80’ 186.9 W. Burger 77.0 L. Avdullahu ↓80’ 206.7 B. Conté
96.3 M. Moerstedt A↓62’ 106.5 A. Hložek ↓62’
  • 1O. Baumann (G)6.5
  • 39M. Rots↓46’6.2
  • 28K. Machida6.2
  • 5O. Kabak6.9
  • 34V. Coufal6.9
  • 14A. Daghim↓80’7.0
  • 18W. Burger6.9
  • 7L. Avdullahu↓80’7.0
  • 20B. Conté6.7
  • 9M. MoerstedtA↓62’6.3
  • 10A. Hložek↓62’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 21A. Hajdari↑46’7.2
  • 8P. Wimmer↑62’6.9
  • 27A. Kramarić↑80’6.3
  • 19T. Lemperle↑62’6.2
  • 11F. Asllani↑80’6.3

Unused: L. Philipp, R. Hranáč, V. Gendrey, N. De Cat

Coach: C. Ilzer

Player stats

Top rated
S. CastañedaSC Paderborn 078.2
2nd
S. TiggesSC Paderborn 077.9
3rd
L. CurdaSC Paderborn 077.6

SC Paderborn 07

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Noll G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 35% 48 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
M. Hansen M 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 33 0 3 0/0 0/2 7.2
T. Scheller D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 27 2 2 1/1 0/0 6.9
J. ter Horst D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 77% 22 4 3 1/1 0/0 7.3
R. Obermair M 63 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 20 0 2 0/1 0/0 6.5
G. Vidović M 73 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 22 1 1 1/1 0/2 6.9
S. Castañeda M 90 1 0 2 (1) 0 77% 26 4 1 0/0 1/3 8.2
L. Ulrich M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 67% 30 2 1 0/0 1/3 7.2
L. Curda M 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 72% 32 3 3 2/3 2/0 7.6
S. Marino F 73 1 0 2 (2) 1 64% 14 1 0 0/1 0/0 7.5
M. Pieringer F 46 0 0 1 (0) 2 90% 20 0 1 0/0 1/1 6.3
Jonah Sticker D 27 0 1 0 (0) 1 100% 8 2 0 0/0 1/0 7.2
F. Götze D 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 1 2 0/0 0/0 6.6
T. Baack M 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 57% 7 2 0 1/1 0/0 6.9
S. Tigges F 44 1 0 2 (1) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/0 0/2 7.9
Rayan Philippe F 17 0 0 1 (1) 0 71% 7 0 0 0/2 0/0 7.3

1899 Hoffenheim

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
O. Baumann G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 86% 44 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
M. Rots D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 46 1 0 2/2 1/0 6.2
K. Machida D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 94% 86 2 8 0/0 2/0 6.2
O. Kabak D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 72 2 2 0/0 3/0 6.9
V. Coufal D 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 77% 61 1 1 1/2 0/2 6.9
A. Daghim F 80 1 0 1 (1) 2 59% 29 0 0 3/10 0/0 7.0
W. Burger M 90 0 0 1 (0) 4 78% 64 2 1 0/1 1/0 6.9
L. Avdullahu M 80 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 66 1 1 0/0 0/2 7.0
B. Conté M 90 0 0 3 (1) 3 90% 30 3 1 0/0 3/1 6.7
M. Moerstedt F 62 0 1 0 (0) 2 79% 14 1 0 0/2 0/1 6.3
A. Hložek F 62 0 0 1 (0) 2 73% 26 0 0 3/3 2/0 6.5
A. Hajdari D 44 0 0 1 (0) 1 84% 50 2 2 0/0 1/0 7.2
P. Wimmer M 28 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 19 1 0 1/2 0/0 6.9
A. Kramarić F 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 10 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
T. Lemperle F 28 0 0 0 (0) 1 73% 15 0 0 1/2 1/0 6.2
F. Asllani F 10 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 7 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.