Sevilla vs Getafe – 25 Aug 2025

La Liga Gameweek 2 Mon, Aug 25 · 20:30 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla

Sevilla 17th · 0 pts · 1 played L

1–2Full time

Getafe 7th · 3 pts · 1 played W

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Sevilla were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Sevilla had 8.1 days of rest, Getafe 8.2 and had to travel 378 km.

Away travel378 kmRest days8.1 · 8.2Matches / 14d1 · 1

Sevilla41%

Draw29%

Getafe30%

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.09

Sevilla42%

Draw27%

Getafe31%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.22

Sevilla42%

Draw29%

Getafe30%

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.09

Sevilla35%

Draw29%

Getafe36%

Expected goals 1.19 – 1.23

Sevilla42%

Draw27%

Getafe31%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.23

Over 2.5 44% Both score 50% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Sevilla)

No weather data yet

Referee · SpainIsidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

Cards per match 5.1
Penalties per match 0.27
Matches 22

Team strength

Sevilla

Getafe

45 L90 StrengthIn forecast 47

50 Current StrengthIn forecast 48

48 AttackIn forecast 27

57 DefenceIn forecast 59

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Sevilla

Attack—

Defense risk—

Getafe

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Sevilla

Getafe

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

1.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40

1.19 xGVia Att/Def 1.16

1.16 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.12

-0.09 Goals minus xGContext -0.16

70% Scored inContext 50%

10% Clean sheetsContext 20%

13.00 ShotsContext 11.10

4.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.70

37% On target shareContext 33%

8.60 Shots in the boxContext 7.30

66% Box shareContext 66%

9% ConversionContext 9%

2.56 OffsidesContext 2.38

11.20 Shots allowedContext 10.10

4.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.78

3.30 BlocksContext 1.90

2.56 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.14

59% Save rateContext 73%

47% PossessionIn forecast 37%

404 PassesContext 281

335 Accurate passesContext 197

83% Pass accuracyContext 70%

6.87 Team ratingContext 6.90

14.20 FoulsContext 14.10

11.00 Fouls sufferedContext 11.80

2.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.10

0.30 Red cardsContext 0.30

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Sevilla

Rest8.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km1,406 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Getafe

Rest8.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel378 km937 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Sevilla	Getafe
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	8.1La Liga 2025-2026, 17 Aug	8.2La Liga 2025-2026, 17 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	378 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,406 km	937 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 1	0 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	4.9	4

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Sevilla Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

13Ø. Nyland(G)

2J. Carmona Navarro 4Kike Salas 32A. López Gallo 16Juanlu Sánchez

18L. Agoumé 6N. Gudelj

21C. Ejuke 11R. Vargas 10D. Lukébakio

9A. Adams

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Getafe Confirmed XI

5-3-2

13David Soria(G)

26Davinchi 16Diego Rico 22Domingos Duarte 2D. Dakonam 21Juan Iglesias

8M. Arambarri 5Luis Milla 6Mario Martín

10C. Uche 23Adrian Liso

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Sevilla Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Getafe Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Sevilla-0.1 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Getafe+0.1 pp

Home / Away this season

Sevilla · Home No home games yet this season.

Getafe · Away 3.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 0.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 10 of 10 meetings

7 Sevilla wins1 draws2 Getafe wins

Goals per game1.00 – 0.60 Over 2.530% Both scored10% Clean sheets70% · 30%

1 Feb 2025Getafe0–0Sevilla
14 Sep 2024Sevilla1–0Getafe
30 Mar 2024Getafe0–1Sevilla
16 Dec 2023Sevilla0–3Getafe
19 Mar 2023Getafe2–0Sevilla
8 Jan 2023Sevilla2–1Getafe

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Sevilla	Getafe	Forecast
Scored per game	2.00	2.00
Conceded per game	3.00	0.00
Match goals	5.00	2.00	2.42
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	0%	44%
Over 3.5	100%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	0%	50%
Clean sheets	0%	100%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

	Sevilla	Getafe	Forecast
Scored per game	2.00	2.00
Conceded per game	3.00	0.00
Match goals	5.00	2.00	2.42
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	0%	44%
Over 3.5	100%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	0%	50%
Clean sheets	0%	100%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Sevilla	Getafe	League
Corners
Corners won	1.00	3.00
Corners conceded	10.00	7.00
Match total	11.00	10.00	8.65
Over 8.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Over 9.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Over 10.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Cards
Cards	2.00	2.00
Opponent cards	0.00	3.00
Match total	2.00	5.00	3.82
Over 3.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Over 4.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1

	Sevilla	Getafe	League
Corners
Corners won	4.10	3.90
Corners conceded	4.70	4.50
Match total	8.80	8.40	8.65
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	30% 3/10
Over 9.5	20% 2/10	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	20% 2/10	10% 1/10
Cards
Cards	2.50	2.50
Opponent cards	2.60	2.20
Match total	5.10	4.70	3.82
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos Spain · 22 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.82league 3.42

Red cards0.23league 0.32

Cards 5+68%league 26%

Fouls27.5league 22.8

Penalties0.27league 0.42

Home wins32%league 47%

Sevilla5 with this referee

Record1-2-2 Cards · opp.3.4 · 1.8 Pens for · against1 · 0

L11 May 24A · Villarreal2–35
L25 Feb 24A · Real Madrid0–13
D3 Dec 23H · Villarreal1–13
D7 Oct 23H · Rayo Vallecano2–25
W23 May 21H · Alaves1–01

Getafe1 with this referee

Record0-1-0 Cards · opp.6.0 · 6.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

D27 Sep 23A · Athletic Club2–26

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.