SK Beveren
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
St. Truiden were slight favourites.
St. Truiden were the stronger side on L90 Strength (42 vs 26). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for St. Truiden. SK Beveren had 5.9 days of rest, St. Truiden 6.8 and had to travel.
Rest days5.9 · 6.8Matches / 14d1 · 3
SK Beveren29%
Draw23%
St. Truiden48%
SK Beveren34%
Draw26%
St. Truiden40%
SK Beveren29%
Draw23%
St. Truiden48%
SK Beveren23%
Draw21%
St. Truiden56%
SK Beveren30%
Draw23%
St. Truiden47%
Over 2.5 61%
Both score 62%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Beveren)
No weather data yet
Referee—Not recorded
Team strength
SK Beveren
St. Truiden
26
L90 StrengthIn forecast
42
25
Current StrengthIn forecast
35
18
AttackIn forecast
37
20
DefenceIn forecast
32
31
Form indexContext
46
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisSt. Truiden
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
SK BeverenSt. Truiden
1.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.40
2.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.60
0.74
xGVia Att/Def
2.21
2.28
xG allowedVia Att/Def
2.08
+0.26
Goals minus xGContext
+0.19
60%
Scored inContext
80%
40%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
11.20
ShotsContext
18.20
3.60
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.20
32%
On target shareContext
29%
7.60
Shots in the boxContext
12.40
68%
Box shareContext
65%
9%
ConversionContext
13%
1.80
OffsidesContext
2.25
15.20
Shots allowedContext
14.40
6.20
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.80
3.80
BlocksContext
3.00
4.60
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.40
74%
Save rateContext
71%
50%
PossessionIn forecast
54%
470
PassesContext
508
384
Accurate passesContext
429
82%
Pass accuracyContext
84%
6.87
Team ratingContext
6.98
9.60
FoulsContext
10.00
10.80
Fouls sufferedContext
9.60
2.00
Yellow cardsContext
2.20
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.00
2.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.60
0.74
xGVia Att/Def
1.95
2.28
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.68
+0.26
Goals minus xGContext
+0.05
60%
Scored inContext
90%
40%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
11.20
ShotsContext
16.25
3.60
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.50
32%
On target shareContext
28%
7.60
Shots in the boxContext
10.88
68%
Box shareContext
65%
9%
ConversionContext
13%
1.80
OffsidesContext
2.33
15.20
Shots allowedContext
13.88
6.20
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.13
3.80
BlocksContext
3.80
4.60
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.14
74%
Save rateContext
69%
50%
PossessionIn forecast
55%
470
PassesContext
507
384
Accurate passesContext
431
82%
Pass accuracyContext
85%
6.87
Team ratingContext
6.98
9.60
FoulsContext
10.30
10.80
Fouls sufferedContext
8.70
2.00
Yellow cardsContext
2.10
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
SK Beveren
LWLLW
Rest5.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 31 · 6 pts vs 8.2 for an average club · +0.4 vs expected
St. Truiden
DDWLW
Rest6.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel—0 km in 14d
Schedule load15%Low
Form 46 · 8 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · +0.2 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| SK Beveren |
St. Truiden |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 15 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 5.9Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 6 Sep | 6.8Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 5 Sep |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | — |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 4 | 1 / 3 / 5 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 8.1 | 8 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.
Squad & lineups
SK Beveren
Confirmed XI
1J. Schenk(G)
4C. Janssens
31B. Godeau
35Y. Gomis
21L. Jans
44C. Conde
18S. Dewaele
17J. Margaritha
22C. Brüls
5C. Lokesa
9M. Kaboré
St. Truiden
Confirmed XI
16L. Kokubo(G)
3T. Hata
26V. Musliu
22W. Janssens
60R. Vanwesemael
8A. Sissako
14R. Merlen
10I. Sebaoui
71R. Araki
38Kaito Matsuzawa
9S. Baždar
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences SK Beveren
Absences are shown before kick-off
St. Truiden
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- SK Beveren+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- St. Truiden+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
SK Beveren · Home
3.00points per game · 2 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-0-0
- Scored
- 2.00
- Conceded
- 0.00
St. Truiden · Away
2.00points per game · 2 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-0
- Scored
- 3.50
- Conceded
- 2.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 1 this season
| Opponent | SK Beveren | St. Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp | L 1–2 A | W 4–1 A |
| Points | 0 of 3 · 0.00 per game | 3 of 3 · 3.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| SK Beveren | St. Truiden | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 2.40 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.60 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 4.00 | 3.17 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 80% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 60% | |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 60% | 62% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% | |
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| SK Beveren | St. Truiden | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 1.80 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.70 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 3.50 | 3.17 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 70% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 60% | 62% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% | |
| Games | 5 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| SK Beveren | St. Truiden | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.80 | 5.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.00 | 4.60 | |
| Match total | 9.80 | 9.60 | 10.22 |
| Over 8.5 | 60% 3/5 | 40% 2/5 | |
| Over 9.5 | 40% 2/5 | 40% 2/5 | |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 2/5 | 40% 2/5 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.00 | 2.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match total | 3.00 | 3.20 | 3.02 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 2/5 | 40% 2/5 | |
| Over 4.5 | 20% 1/5 | 20% 1/5 | |
| SK Beveren | St. Truiden | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.80 | 5.10 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.00 | 4.20 | |
| Match total | 9.80 | 9.30 | 10.22 |
| Over 8.5 | 60% 3/5 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 40% 2/5 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 2/5 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.00 | 2.10 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.00 | 1.30 | |
| Match total | 3.00 | 3.40 | 3.02 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 2/5 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 20% 1/5 | 20% 2/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
SK Beveren5 games · scored 5 · conceded 10
1
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
31-45
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
1
76-90
St. Truiden5 games · scored 12 · conceded 8
2
0-15
3
16-30
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
2
76-90
SK Beveren5 games · scored 5 · conceded 10
1
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
31-45
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
1
76-90
St. Truiden10 games · scored 20 · conceded 16
2
0-15
1
6
16-30
4
2
31-45
2
3
46-60
5
1
61-75
6
4
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
