Primeira Liga Gameweek 24 Fri, Feb 27 2026 · 20:45 Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
3–0 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 2.08 – 0.62
  • L. Suárez 6’, 16’
  • Daniel Bragança 90+4’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Sporting CP cruise past Estoril

Sporting CP entered as clear favourites and won 3–0 through goals from Suárez and Bragança. Sporting CP finished with the higher xG (2.08 vs 0.62).

Sporting CP ✓74%
Draw17%
Estoril9%

Model vs reality

Sporting CP goals
3
Model 2.41 · xG 2.08
Estoril goals
0
Model 0.73 · xG 0.62
Total goals
3
Model 3.13 · xG 2.70
Score 3–0
10%
Most likely 2–0 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 61%
Both scored
No
Model 47%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchL. SuárezSporting CP · 2 goals
8.3
  • RefereeSergio Guelho
  • VenueEstádio José Alvalade
  • Table before kick-offSporting CP 2nd · Estoril 7th

Timeline

  1. L. Suárez 1–0Assist Trincão
    6’
  2. L. Suárez 2–0Assist M. Hjulmand
    16’
  3. Half time · 2–0
  4. ⇄ Pedro CarvalhoFor Gonçalo Costa
    46’
  5. ⇄ A. TsounguiFor A. Marqués
    46’
  6. A. TsounguiYellow card · Holding
    56’
  7. João CarvalhoYellow card
    64’
  8. Iván FresnedaYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    64’
  9. ⇄ Souleymane FayeFor Luis Guilherme
    72’
  10. ⇄ João SimõesFor H. Morita
    72’
  11. Ricard SánchezYellow card · Holding
    77’
  12. ⇄ PizziFor Jandro Orellana
    80’
  13. ⇄ K. EdwardsFor R. Guitane
    80’
  14. ⇄ G. VagiannidisFor Iván Fresneda
    83’
  15. ⇄ Daniel BragançaFor Geny Catamo
    83’
  16. ⇄ Nuno SantosFor Trincão
    83’
  17. M. AraújoYellow card · Foul
    87’
  18. Daniel Bragança 3–0Assist Nuno Santos
    90+4’
  19. Full time · 3–0

Team stats

Sporting CP13 shots · 11 in box, 2 outside
Estoril7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
Sporting CPEstoril
53% Possession 47%
2.08 Expected goals (xG) 0.62
2.33 Expected points (xPts) 0.48
13 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
5 Shots off target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
11 Shots inside the box 5
2 Shots outside the box 2
524 Passes 462
87% Pass accuracy 87%
4 Corners 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 3
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.44 Team rating 6.48

Line-ups

Sporting CP 4-2-3-1

17.9 Rui Silva(G)
207.0 M. Araújo 257.6 G. Inácio 267.5 O. Diomande 226.9 Iván Fresneda ↓83’
57.6 H. Morita ↓72’ 427.9 M. Hjulmand A
316.6 Luis Guilherme ↓72’ 177.3 Trincão A↓83’ 107.7 Geny Catamo ↓83’
978.3★ L. Suárez
  • 1Rui Silva (G)7.9
  • 20M. Araújo7.0
  • 25G. Inácio7.6
  • 26O. Diomande7.5
  • 22Iván Fresneda↓83’6.9
  • 5H. Morita↓72’7.6
  • 42M. HjulmandA7.9
  • 31Luis Guilherme↓72’6.6
  • 17TrincãoA↓83’7.3
  • 10Geny Catamo↓83’7.7
  • 97L. Suárez ★8.3

Substitutes used

  • 13G. Vagiannidis↑83’6.2
  • 52João Simões↑72’6.3
  • 11Nuno SantosA↑83’6.7
  • 23Daniel Bragança↑83’6.3
  • 15Souleymane Faye↑72’6.7

Unused: João Virgínia, Eduardo Quaresma, Rafael Nel, Pote

Estoril 4-3-1-2

16.6 Joel Robles(G)
206.0 Gonçalo Costa ↓46’ 47.2 Ferro 256.3 F. Bacher 26.2 Ricard Sánchez
126.3 João Carvalho 107.2 J. Holsgrove 66.2 Jandro Orellana ↓80’
995.9 R. Guitane ↓80’
96.3 A. Marqués ↓46’ 146.2 Y. Begraoui
  • 1Joel Robles (G)6.6
  • 20Gonçalo Costa↓46’6.0
  • 4Ferro7.2
  • 25F. Bacher6.3
  • 2Ricard Sánchez6.2
  • 12João Carvalho6.3
  • 10J. Holsgrove7.2
  • 6Jandro Orellana↓80’6.2
  • 99R. Guitane↓80’5.9
  • 9A. Marqués↓46’6.3
  • 14Y. Begraoui6.2

Substitutes used

  • 5A. Tsoungui↑46’7.7
  • 22Pedro Carvalho↑46’6.2
  • 21Pizzi↑80’6.5
  • 11K. Edwards↑80’6.3

Unused: M. Turk, Jan Montes, Longin Bimai, N. Lominadze, Peixinho

Player stats

Top rated
L. SuárezSporting CP8.3
2nd
Rui SilvaSporting CP7.9
3rd
M. HjulmandSporting CP7.9

Sporting CP

Estoril

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.