St. Truiden vs Kortrijk

Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Dec 20 · 15:00 Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond

St. Truiden 12th · 8 pts · 8 played LWLLL

VS— Compare

Kortrijk 18th · 3 pts · 8 played LLLWL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Rest days6.9 · 8Matches / 14d1 · 1

Real contextStrength only

St. Truiden—%

Draw—%

Kortrijk—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (St.-Trond)

Forecast from 5 Dec

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak St. Truiden 3 Losses in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Team strength

St. Truiden

Kortrijk

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

35 Current StrengthIn forecast 12

37 AttackIn forecast 10

32 DefenceIn forecast 16

11 Form indexContext 13

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

St. Truiden

Attack—

Defense risk—

Kortrijk

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

St. Truiden

Kortrijk

1.88 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.25

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.25

2.01 xGVia Att/Def 0.81

1.75 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.15

-0.13 Goals minus xGContext -0.56

63% Scored inContext 25%

13% Clean sheetsContext 13%

17.00 ShotsContext 11.25

5.14 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.63

27% On target shareContext 23%

11.88 Shots in the boxContext 6.88

68% Box shareContext 59%

11% ConversionContext 2%

1.86 OffsidesContext 3.00

13.63 Shots allowedContext 14.25

4.88 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.25

3.00 BlocksContext 3.00

3.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.25

69% Save rateContext 62%

56% PossessionIn forecast 44%

520 PassesContext 396

437 Accurate passesContext 314

84% Pass accuracyContext 79%

6.82 Team ratingContext 6.47

10.38 FoulsContext 12.00

9.63 Fouls sufferedContext 9.88

2.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.75

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.13

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

1.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.30

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.90

2.01 xGVia Att/Def 0.81

1.75 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.15

-0.21 Goals minus xGContext -0.51

70% Scored inContext 30%

20% Clean sheetsContext 20%

17.00 ShotsContext 10.40

5.14 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.60

27% On target shareContext 25%

11.88 Shots in the boxContext 6.30

68% Box shareContext 60%

11% ConversionContext 3%

1.86 OffsidesContext 2.86

13.63 Shots allowedContext 14.60

4.88 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.20

3.10 BlocksContext 3.20

3.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50

69% Save rateContext 67%

56% PossessionIn forecast 43%

520 PassesContext 383

437 Accurate passesContext 297

84% Pass accuracyContext 78%

6.82 Team ratingContext 6.57

10.80 FoulsContext 11.80

9.60 Fouls sufferedContext 9.60

2.20 Yellow cardsContext 1.60

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

St. Truiden LWLLL

Rest6.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 11 · 3 pts vs 8.8 for an average club · -5.4 vs expected

L11 OctA · KV Mechelen3–41.5 xPts
L20 SepH · KVC Westerlo0–21.9 xPts
L12 SepA · SK Beveren0–21.7 xPts
W5 SepH · RAAL La Louvière4–02.1 xPts
L2 SepH · Union St. Gilloise0–31.3 xPts

Kortrijk LLLWL

Rest8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel—0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 13 · 3 pts vs 8.2 for an average club · -1.1 vs expected

L10 OctA · Genk0–30.5 xPts
W20 SepH · SK Beveren1–01.2 xPts
L13 SepA · RAAL La Louvière0–31.0 xPts
L6 SepH · Zulte Waregem0–21.0 xPts
L3 SepA · Anderlecht0–10.5 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	St. Truiden	Kortrijk
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6.9Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 13 Dec	8Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 12 Dec
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	—
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 2	0 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	6.9	6

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

St. Truiden Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs KV Mechelen (A) 3–4, 11 Oct

16L. Kokubo(G)

3T. Hata 5S. Taniguchi 4K. Takai 60R. Vanwesemael

8A. Sissako 14R. Merlen

10I. Sebaoui 71R. Araki 38Kaito Matsuzawa

9S. Baždar

Kortrijk Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs Genk (A) 0–3, 10 Oct

1P. Gunnarsson(G)

3M. Anderson 4H. Murray-Campbell 21A. Drouhin 36R. Kohon

70A. Phillips 35B. Lambert 19B. Dejaegere

68T. Ambrose 10G. Koyalipou 11S. Campbell

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

St. Truiden Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Kortrijk Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

St. Truiden · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 1-1-2
Scored: 1.25
Conceded: 1.50

Kortrijk · Away 0.00points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-4
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 2.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

Opponent	St. Truiden	Kortrijk
SK Beveren	L 0–2 A	W 1–0 H
RAAL La Louvière	W 4–0 H	L 0–3 A
Antwerp	W 4–1 A	L 0–3 H
Points	6 of 9 · 2.00 per game	3 of 9 · 1.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

2 St. Truiden wins0 draws0 Kortrijk wins

Goals per game1.00 – 0.00 Over 2.50% Both scored0% Clean sheets100% · 0%

9 Feb 2024St. Truiden1–0Kortrijk
6 Aug 2023Kortrijk0–1St. Truiden

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	St. Truiden	Kortrijk
Scored per game	1.88	0.25
Conceded per game	2.00	2.25
Match goals	3.88	2.50
Over 1.5	100%	75%
Over 2.5	63%	63%
Over 3.5	50%	13%
Both teams scored	50%	13%
Clean sheets	13%	13%
Failed to score	38%	75%
Games	8	8

	St. Truiden	Kortrijk
Scored per game	1.80	0.25
Conceded per game	2.00	2.25
Match goals	3.80	2.50
Over 1.5	90%	75%
Over 2.5	60%	63%
Over 3.5	50%	13%
Both teams scored	50%	13%
Clean sheets	20%	13%
Failed to score	30%	75%
Games	10	8

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	St. Truiden	Kortrijk	League
Corners
Corners won	5.38	3.43
Corners conceded	3.63	6.29
Match total	9.01	9.72	10.01
Over 8.5	50% 4/8	71% 5/7
Over 9.5	38% 3/8	57% 4/7
Over 10.5	25% 2/8	43% 3/7
Cards
Cards	2.00	2.00
Opponent cards	1.25	1.63
Match total	3.25	3.63	3.36
Over 3.5	38% 3/8	63% 5/8
Over 4.5	25% 2/8	25% 2/8

	St. Truiden	Kortrijk	League
Corners
Corners won	5.50	3.67
Corners conceded	3.50	6.56
Match total	9.00	10.23	10.01
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	78% 7/9
Over 9.5	40% 4/10	67% 6/9
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	56% 5/9
Cards
Cards	2.20	1.80
Opponent cards	1.30	1.50
Match total	3.50	3.30	3.36
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.