Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Jan 18 2026 · 18:15 Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond
First leg2–1 1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.96 – 1.76
  • I. Sebaoui 9’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Sebaoui goal decides it for St. Truiden

St. Truiden entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Sebaoui goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.96 and 1.76. On the chances created, OH Leuven deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

St. Truiden ✓56%
Draw24%
OH Leuven20%

Model vs reality

St. Truiden goals
1
Model 1.80 · xG 1.96
OH Leuven goals
0
Model 0.98 · xG 1.76
Total goals
1
Model 2.78 · xG 3.72
Score 1–0
11%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 53%
Both scored
No
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. MujaSt. Truiden
8.5
  • RefereeMassimiliano Ledda
  • VenueDaio Wasabi Stayen Stadium
  • Table before kick-offSt. Truiden 3rd · OH Leuven 15th

Timeline

  1. I. Sebaoui 1–0
    9’
  2. Y. MazizYellow card
    21’
  3. M. MaertensYellow card
    34’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ Ł. ŁakomyFor W. George
    46’
  6. ⇄ C. IkwuemesiFor M. Maertens
    46’
  7. B. VerstraeteYellow card
    57’
  8. R. MerlenYellow card
    75’
  9. ⇄ A. SissakoFor R. Merlen
    80’
  10. ⇄ T. HataFor A. Muja
    80’
  11. ⇄ T. AkimotoFor B. Verstraete
    80’
  12. ⇄ A. TraoréFor T. Verlinden
    81’
  13. ⇄ S. SchrijversFor Noë Dussenne
    81’
  14. ⇄ A. FerrariFor Keisuke Goto
    84’
  15. L. KokuboYellow card
    85’
  16. T. AkimotoYellow card
    86’
  17. C. IkwuemesiYellow card
    90+2’
  18. R. YamamotoYellow card · misses next match
    90+3’
  19. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

St. Truiden21 shots · 14 in box, 7 outside
OH Leuven19 shots · 11 in box, 8 outside
St. TruidenOH Leuven
49% Possession 51%
1.96 Expected goals (xG) 1.76
1.51 Expected points (xPts) 1.27
21 Shots 19
7 Shots on target 3
11 Shots off target 8
3 Blocked shots 8
14 Shots inside the box 11
7 Shots outside the box 8
431 Passes 443
80% Pass accuracy 79%
2 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Fouls 18
2 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
7.37 Team rating 6.64

Line-ups

St. Truiden 4-2-3-1

167.5 L. Kokubo(G)
607.5 R. Vanwesemael 267.2 V. Musliu 57.0 S. Taniguchi 208.3 R. Van Helden
67.3 R. Yamamoto 147.0 R. Merlen ↓80’
107.6 I. Sebaoui 137.2 R. Ito 78.5★ A. Muja ↓80’
426.2 Keisuke Goto ↓84’
  • 16L. Kokubo (G)7.5
  • 60R. Vanwesemael7.5
  • 26V. Musliu7.2
  • 5S. Taniguchi7.0
  • 20R. Van Helden8.3
  • 6R. Yamamoto7.3
  • 14R. Merlen↓80’7.0
  • 10I. Sebaoui7.6
  • 13R. Ito7.2
  • 7A. Muja ★↓80’8.5
  • 42Keisuke Goto↓84’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 3T. Hata↑80’6.9
  • 8A. Sissako↑80’6.6
  • 9A. Ferrari↑84’6.3

Unused: M. Lendfers, W. Janssens, A. Diriken, S. Juklerød, I. Delpupo, Kaito Matsuzawa

OH Leuven 3-4-2-1

17.3 T. Leysen(G)
346.9 R. Nyakossi 37.0 Noë Dussenne ↓81’ 286.9 E. Pletinckx
77.0 T. Verlinden ↓81’ 66.3 W. George 46.3 B. Verstraete ↓80’ 276.5 Óscar Gil
106.3 Y. Maziz 336.2 M. Maertens ↓46’
396.3 S. Kaba
  • 1T. Leysen (G)7.3
  • 34R. Nyakossi6.9
  • 3Noë Dussenne↓81’7.0
  • 28E. Pletinckx6.9
  • 7T. Verlinden↓81’7.0
  • 6W. George6.3
  • 4B. Verstraete↓80’6.3
  • 27Óscar Gil6.5
  • 10Y. Maziz6.3
  • 33M. Maertens↓46’6.2
  • 39S. Kaba6.3

Substitutes used

  • 24Ł. Łakomy↑46’6.9
  • 19C. Ikwuemesi↑46’6.3
  • 30T. Akimoto↑80’6.3
  • 8S. Schrijvers↑81’6.9
  • 9A. Traoré↑81’6.2

Unused: O. Jochmans, T. Ominami, T. Vlietinck, H. Teklab

Player stats

Top rated
A. MujaSt. Truiden8.5
2nd
R. Van HeldenSt. Truiden8.3
3rd
I. SebaouiSt. Truiden7.6

St. Truiden

OH Leuven

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.