Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Fri, Feb 27 2026 · 19:45 Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Luik
First leg2–0 1–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.61 – 0.46
  • M. Ilaimaharitra 5’ (P)
  • 24’ P. Fall
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Standard Liege and RAAL La Louvière share the points

Standard Liege entered as favourites and led 1–0 after 5 minutes through a Ilaimaharitra goal. But Fall scored to rescue a draw for RAAL La Louvière. Standard Liege finished with the higher xG (1.61 vs 0.46). On the chances created, Standard Liege deserved more: 2.2 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Standard Liege48%
Draw ✓29%
RAAL La Louvière23%

Model vs reality

Standard Liege goals
1
Model 1.39 · xG 1.61
RAAL La Louvière goals
1
Model 0.89 · xG 0.46
Total goals
2
Model 2.28 · xG 2.07
Score 1–1
13%
Most likely 1–0 (14%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 40%
Both scored
Yes
Model 45%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchT. MohrStandard Liege
8.0
  • RefereeSimon Bourdeaud'hui
  • VenueStade Maurice Dufrasne
  • Table before kick-offStandard Liege 9th · RAAL La Louvière 15th

Timeline

  1. M. Ilaimaharitra (pen) 1–0
    5’
  2. P. Fall 1–1Assist J. Liongola
    24’
  3. Half time · 1–1
  4. ⇄ S. GueuletteFor T. Lutonda
    46’
  5. ⇄ Mo El HankouriFor A. Abid
    59’
  6. ⇄ J. HomawooFor D. Bates
    59’
  7. ⇄ C. Makate BokoyaFor N. Nsingi
    61’
  8. ⇄ T. NkadaFor D. Eckert Ayensa
    68’
  9. ⇄ Bernard NgueneFor R. Saïd
    68’
  10. M. PeanoYellow card
    77’
  11. S. GueuletteYellow card
    79’
  12. ⇄ N. MehssatouFor T. Mohr
    81’
  13. Wagane FayeYellow card
    89’
  14. M. IlaimaharitraYellow card
    90+3’
  15. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Standard Liege9 shots · 7 in box, 2 outside
RAAL La Louvière10 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
Standard LiegeRAAL La Louvière
53% Possession 47%
1.61 Expected goals (xG) 0.46
2.22 Expected points (xPts) 0.54
9 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
5 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
7 Shots inside the box 6
2 Shots outside the box 4
348 Passes 319
74% Pass accuracy 71%
4 Corners 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Fouls 13
5 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.73 Team rating 6.68

Line-ups

Standard Liege 3-4-3

216.5 L. Pirard(G)
186.9 H. Lawrence 46.5 D. Bates ↓59’ 257.2 I. Hautekiet
35.9 Gustav Mortensen 237.3 M. Ilaimaharitra 206.6 I. Karamoko 78.0★ T. Mohr ↓81’
175.9 R. Saïd ↓68’ 106.2 D. Eckert Ayensa ↓68’ 117.2 A. Abid ↓59’
  • 21L. Pirard (G)6.5
  • 18H. Lawrence6.9
  • 4D. Bates↓59’6.5
  • 25I. Hautekiet7.2
  • 3Gustav Mortensen5.9
  • 23M. Ilaimaharitra7.3
  • 20I. Karamoko6.6
  • 7T. Mohr ★↓81’8.0
  • 17R. Saïd↓68’5.9
  • 10D. Eckert Ayensa↓68’6.2
  • 11A. Abid↓59’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 24J. Homawoo↑59’6.5
  • 27Mo El Hankouri↑59’6.5
  • 8N. Mehssatou↑81’6.6
  • 26Bernard Nguene↑68’6.7
  • 59T. Nkada↑68’6.2

Unused: B. Dizdarević, B. Bolingoli-Mbombo, L. Kuavita, Charli Spoden, R. Mitongo

RAAL La Louvière 3-4-1-2

216.3 M. Peano(G)
136.5 M. Maisonneuve 997.2 Y. Okou 46.3 Wagane Faye
117.3 J. Liongola A 56.2 T. Lutonda ↓46’ 156.3 S. Lahssaini 196.7 Darío Benavides
236.9 J. Ito
77.3 P. Fall 276.3 N. Nsingi ↓61’
  • 21M. Peano (G)6.3
  • 13M. Maisonneuve6.5
  • 99Y. Okou7.2
  • 4Wagane Faye6.3
  • 11J. LiongolaA7.3
  • 5T. Lutonda↓46’6.2
  • 15S. Lahssaini6.3
  • 19Darío Benavides6.7
  • 23J. Ito6.9
  • 7P. Fall7.3
  • 27N. Nsingi↓61’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 8S. Gueulette↑46’6.2
  • 29C. Makate Bokoya↑61’6.7

Unused: C. De Schrevel, N. Gillot, M. Riou, D. Lamego, N. Makembo, Owen Maes, Bryan Soumaré

Player stats

Top rated
T. MohrStandard Liege8.0
2nd
M. IlaimaharitraStandard Liege7.3
3rd
J. LiongolaRAAL La Louvière7.3

Standard Liege

RAAL La Louvière

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.