Premier League Gameweek 30 Sat, Mar 14 2026 · 15:00 Stadium of Light, Sunderland
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.90 – 1.68
  • 58’ Y. Minteh
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Minteh goal decides it for Brighton

Brighton entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Minteh goal. Brighton finished with the higher xG (1.68 vs 0.90). On the chances created, Sunderland deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Sunderland28%
Draw27%
Brighton ✓45%

Model vs reality

Sunderland goals
0
Model 1.12 · xG 0.90
Brighton goals
1
Model 1.48 · xG 1.68
Total goals
1
Model 2.60 · xG 2.58
Score 0–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 48%
Both scored
No
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchL. DunkBrighton
8.0
  • RefereeThomas Kirk
  • VenueStadium of Light
  • Table before kick-offSunderland 11th · Brighton 14th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. VAR C. RiggGoal cancelled
    50’
  3. D. GómezYellow card · Foul
    51’
  4. Y. Minteh 0–1
    58’
  5. ⇄ L. O'NienFor D. Ballard
    64’
  6. Y. MintehYellow card · Off the ball foul
    74’
  7. G. XhakaYellow card · Argument
    75’
  8. ⇄ M. De CuyperFor Y. Minteh
    76’
  9. ⇄ Eliezer MayendaFor B. Brobbey
    78’
  10. ⇄ D. CirkinFor C. Talbi
    85’
  11. ⇄ Y. AyariFor J. Hinshelwood
    88’
  12. ⇄ J. VeltmanFor D. Gómez
    90+4’
  13. ⇄ M. O'RileyFor D. Welbeck
    90+5’
  14. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Sunderland14 shots · 8 in box, 6 outside
Brighton12 shots · 9 in box, 3 outside
SunderlandBrighton
48% Possession 52%
0.90 Expected goals (xG) 1.68
0.84 Expected points (xPts) 1.92
14 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 4
5 Shots off target 3
5 Blocked shots 5
8 Shots inside the box 9
6 Shots outside the box 3
422 Passes 471
79% Pass accuracy 79%
7 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.74 Team rating 7.17

Line-ups

Sunderland 4-1-4-1

317.2 M. Ellborg(G)
326.3 T. Hume 157.2 O. Alderete 56.7 D. Ballard ↓64’ 66.7 L. Geertruida
347.2 G. Xhaka
76.9 C. Talbi ↓85’ 277.3 N. Sadiki 196.2 M. Diarra 116.2 C. Rigg
96.2 B. Brobbey ↓78’
  • 31M. Ellborg (G)7.2
  • 32T. Hume6.3
  • 15O. Alderete7.2
  • 5D. Ballard↓64’6.7
  • 6L. Geertruida6.7
  • 34G. Xhaka7.2
  • 7C. Talbi↓85’6.9
  • 27N. Sadiki7.3
  • 19M. Diarra6.2
  • 11C. Rigg6.2
  • 9B. Brobbey↓78’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 3D. Cirkin↑85’6.3
  • 13L. O'Nien↑64’7.0
  • 12Eliezer Mayenda↑78’6.3

Unused: S. Moore, H. Jones, J. Whittaker, J. Jones, Jenson Jones, W. Isidor

Brighton 4-2-3-1

17.3 B. Verbruggen(G)
247.5 F. Kadıoğlu 58.0★ L. Dunk 67.5 J. van Hecke 277.0 M. Wieffer
307.3 P. Groß 207.2 J. Milner
118.0 Y. Minteh ↓76’ 136.5 J. Hinshelwood ↓88’ 256.2 D. Gómez ↓90’
186.6 D. Welbeck ↓90’
  • 1B. Verbruggen (G)7.3
  • 24F. Kadıoğlu7.5
  • 5L. Dunk ★8.0
  • 6J. van Hecke7.5
  • 27M. Wieffer7.0
  • 30P. Groß7.3
  • 20J. Milner7.2
  • 11Y. Minteh↓76’8.0
  • 13J. Hinshelwood↓88’6.5
  • 25D. Gómez↓90’6.2
  • 18D. Welbeck↓90’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 34J. Veltman↑90’
  • 33M. O'Riley↑90’
  • 26Y. Ayari↑88’6.7
  • 29M. De Cuyper↑76’6.5

Unused: J. Steele, S. March, O. Boscagli, G. Rutter, Harry Howell

Player stats

Top rated
L. DunkBrighton8.0
2nd
Y. MintehBrighton8.0
3rd
F. KadıoğluBrighton7.5

Sunderland

Brighton

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.