Premier League Gameweek 16 Sun, Dec 14 2025 · 14:00 Stadium of Light, Sunderland
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.30 – 0.24
  • N. Woltemade 46’ (OG)
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Sunderland beat Newcastle

Newcastle entered as favourites, but Sunderland won 1–0 through an own goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.30 and 0.24. On the chances created, Newcastle deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Sunderland ✓23%
Draw24%
Newcastle53%

Model vs reality

Sunderland goals
1
Model 1.12 · xG 0.30
Newcastle goals
0
Model 1.79 · xG 0.24
Total goals
1
Model 2.91 · xG 0.54
Score 1–0
6%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. ThiawNewcastle
8.0
  • RefereePeter Bankes
  • VenueStadium of Light
  • Table before kick-offSunderland 10th · Newcastle 12th

Timeline

  1. B. BrobbeyYellow card · Argument
    27’
  2. N. MukieleYellow card · Foul
    34’
  3. ⇄ F. SchärFor D. Burn
    42’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. N. Woltemade (own goal) 1–0
    46’
  6. S. TonaliYellow card · Foul
    57’
  7. ReinildoYellow card · Foul
    58’
  8. ⇄ J. WillockFor S. Tonali
    59’
  9. ⇄ J. MurphyFor A. Elanga
    59’
  10. ⇄ H. BarnesFor A. Gordon
    59’
  11. ⇄ W. IsidorFor B. Brobbey
    70’
  12. ⇄ T. HumeFor B. Traoré
    70’
  13. ⇄ Y. WissaFor N. Woltemade
    75’
  14. ⇄ R. MundleFor C. Talbi
    83’
  15. E. Le FéeYellow card · Time wasting
    86’
  16. W. IsidorYellow card · Argument
    90+4’
  17. J. WillockYellow card · Argument
    90+4’
  18. Bruno GuimarãesYellow card · Argument
    90+4’
  19. M. ThiawYellow card · Argument
    90+5’
  20. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Sunderland5 shots · 3 in box, 2 outside
Newcastle6 shots · 2 in box, 4 outside
SunderlandNewcastle
47% Possession 53%
0.30 Expected goals (xG) 0.24
1.26 Expected points (xPts) 1.12
5 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 2
2 Shots off target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Shots inside the box 2
2 Shots outside the box 4
394 Passes 444
77% Pass accuracy 85%
3 Corners 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Fouls 10
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.88 Team rating 6.67

Line-ups

Sunderland 4-2-3-1

227.0 R. Roefs(G)
177.2 Reinildo 157.0 O. Alderete 57.3 D. Ballard 206.9 N. Mukiele
277.0 N. Sadiki 347.2 G. Xhaka
76.6 C. Talbi ↓83’ 286.5 E. Le Fée 256.3 B. Traoré ↓70’
96.6 B. Brobbey ↓70’
  • 22R. Roefs (G)7.0
  • 17Reinildo7.2
  • 15O. Alderete7.0
  • 5D. Ballard7.3
  • 20N. Mukiele6.9
  • 27N. Sadiki7.0
  • 34G. Xhaka7.2
  • 7C. Talbi↓83’6.6
  • 28E. Le Fée6.5
  • 25B. Traoré↓70’6.3
  • 9B. Brobbey↓70’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 14R. Mundle↑83’6.3
  • 18W. Isidor↑70’6.3
  • 32T. Hume↑70’6.9

Unused: A. Patterson, C. Rigg, L. Geertruida, D. Neil, S. Adingra, Eliezer Mayenda

Newcastle 4-3-3

326.6 A. Ramsdale(G)
37.0 L. Hall 337.0 D. Burn ↓42’ 128.0★ M. Thiaw 216.0 V. Livramento
676.7 L. Miley 86.9 S. Tonali ↓59’ 397.3 Bruno Guimarães
106.6 A. Gordon ↓59’ 275.5 N. Woltemade ↓75’ 206.2 A. Elanga ↓59’
  • 32A. Ramsdale (G)6.6
  • 3L. Hall7.0
  • 33D. Burn↓42’7.0
  • 12M. Thiaw ★8.0
  • 21V. Livramento6.0
  • 67L. Miley6.7
  • 8S. Tonali↓59’6.9
  • 39Bruno Guimarães7.3
  • 10A. Gordon↓59’6.6
  • 27N. Woltemade↓75’5.5
  • 20A. Elanga↓59’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 28J. Willock↑59’6.3
  • 9Y. Wissa↑75’6.2
  • 5F. Schär↑42’6.3
  • 23J. Murphy↑59’6.6
  • 11H. Barnes↑59’6.3

Unused: J. Ruddy, J. Ramsey, Joelinton, A. Murphy

Player stats

Top rated
M. ThiawNewcastle8.0
2nd
D. BallardSunderland7.3
3rd
Bruno GuimarãesNewcastle7.3

Sunderland

Newcastle

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.