Primeira Liga Gameweek 4 Sun, Aug 31 2025 · 15:30 Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
Tondela
2–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.78 – 1.55
Estoril
  • Tiago Manso 73’ (P)
  • Ivan Cavaleiro 90+1’
  • 43’ Y. Begraoui
  • 90+3’ R. Guitane
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Estoril snatch a late draw

Estoril led 1–0 at half-time through a Begraoui goal. But Manso and Cavaleiro scored to rescue a draw for Tondela. Tondela finished with the higher xG (2.78 vs 1.55). On the chances created, Tondela deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Tondela35%
Draw ✓29%
Estoril37%

Model vs reality

Tondela goals
2
Model 1.22 · xG 2.78
Estoril goals
2
Model 1.26 · xG 1.55
Total goals
4
Model 2.48 · xG 4.33
Score 2–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 45%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchIvan CavaleiroTondela · 1 goal
7.7
  • RefereeSergio Guelho
  • CoachesIvo Vieira · —
  • VenueEstádio João Cardoso
  • Table before kick-offTondela 18th · Estoril 14th

Timeline

  1. Juan RodríguezYellow card
    15’
  2. K. BomaYellow card
    26’
  3. F. BacherYellow card
    31’
  4. Y. Begraoui 0–1Assist André Lacximicant
    43’
  5. Half time · 0–1
  6. ⇄ Ivan CavaleiroFor Pedro Henryque
    58’
  7. ⇄ Y. RodriguezFor Miro
    58’
  8. ⇄ Ricard SánchezFor Pedro Carvalho
    60’
  9. ⇄ FerroFor Tiago Parente
    60’
  10. ⇄ Patrick de PaulaFor N. Lominadze
    67’
  11. ⇄ A. MarquésFor André Lacximicant
    67’
  12. Pedro AmaralYellow card
    68’
  13. Tiago Manso (pen) 1–1
    73’
  14. ⇄ R. GuitaneFor Y. Begraoui
    74’
  15. ⇄ Xabi HuarteFor Yarlen
    74’
  16. ⇄ M. OuattaraFor Tiago Manso
    74’
  17. ⇄ Hélder TavaresFor S. Sithole
    80’
  18. Ivan Cavaleiro 2–1
    90+1’
  19. R. Guitane 2–2Assist João Carvalho
    90+3’
  20. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Tondela14 shots · 9 in box, 5 outside
Estoril17 shots · 10 in box, 7 outside
TondelaEstoril
51% Possession 49%
2.78 Expected goals (xG) 1.55
2.07 Expected points (xPts) 0.76
14 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 4
8 Shots off target 8
2 Blocked shots 5
9 Shots inside the box 10
5 Shots outside the box 7
295 Passes 288
72% Pass accuracy 68%
3 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Fouls 10
8 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.83 Team rating 6.52

Line-ups

Tondela 4-2-3-1

317.0 Bernardo Fontes(G)
606.9 N. Maviram 207.2 Brayan Medina 46.6 Christian Marques 26.6 Bebeto
156.6 S. Sithole ↓80’ 326.7 Juan Rodríguez
76.3 Pedro Henryque ↓58’ 676.9 Yarlen ↓74’ 487.3 Tiago Manso ↓74’
97.0 Miro ↓58’
  • 31Bernardo Fontes (G)7.0
  • 60N. Maviram6.9
  • 20Brayan Medina7.2
  • 4Christian Marques6.6
  • 2Bebeto6.6
  • 15S. Sithole↓80’6.6
  • 32Juan Rodríguez6.7
  • 7Pedro Henryque↓58’6.3
  • 67Yarlen↓74’6.9
  • 48Tiago Manso↓74’7.3
  • 9Miro↓58’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 11Y. Rodriguez↑58’6.2
  • 17Ivan Cavaleiro ★↑58’7.7
  • 14Xabi Huarte↑74’6.5
  • 8Hélder Tavares↑80’6.6
  • 70M. Ouattara↑74’6.6

Unused: Lucas Cañizares, R. Vita, João Afonso, André Ceitil

Coach: Ivo Vieira

Estoril 3-4-3

16.9 Joel Robles(G)
245.7 Pedro Amaral 255.6 F. Bacher 445.3 K. Boma
556.3 Tiago Parente ↓60’ 107.5 J. Holsgrove 76.9 N. Lominadze ↓67’ 226.7 Pedro Carvalho ↓60’
147.2 Y. Begraoui ↓74’ 126.5 João Carvalho A 197.7 André Lacximicant A↓67’
  • 1Joel Robles (G)6.9
  • 24Pedro Amaral5.7
  • 25F. Bacher5.6
  • 44K. Boma5.3
  • 55Tiago Parente↓60’6.3
  • 10J. Holsgrove7.5
  • 7N. Lominadze↓67’6.9
  • 22Pedro Carvalho↓60’6.7
  • 14Y. Begraoui↓74’7.2
  • 12João CarvalhoA6.5
  • 19André LacximicantA↓67’7.7

Substitutes used

  • 4Ferro↑60’6.2
  • 2Ricard Sánchez↑60’6.5
  • 45Patrick de Paula↑67’6.7
  • 9A. Marqués↑67’6.3
  • 99R. Guitane↑74’6.7

Unused: M. Turk, Or Israelov, Pizzi, Fabrício Garcia

Player stats

Top rated
Ivan CavaleiroTondela7.7
2nd
André LacximicantEstoril7.7
3rd
J. HolsgroveEstoril7.5

Tondela

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Bernardo Fontes G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 66% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
N. Maviram D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 67% 36 2 1 2/2 0/1 6.9
Brayan Medina D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 26 1 1 0/0 0/1 7.2
Christian Marques D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 31 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
Bebeto D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 57% 28 3 1 0/1 2/0 6.6
S. Sithole M 80 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 38 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Juan Rodríguez M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 30 3 1 0/0 3/0 6.7
Pedro Henryque M 58 0 0 1 (1) 1 62% 13 1 0 1/2 0/1 6.3
Yarlen F 74 0 0 0 (0) 0 38% 13 1 0 1/3 0/1 6.9
Tiago Manso D 74 1 0 2 (1) 1 74% 19 1 0 3/4 1/1 7.3
Miro F 58 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 1/1 0/1 7.0
Y. Rodriguez F 32 0 0 3 (1) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.2
Ivan Cavaleiro F 32 1 0 1 (1) 4 75% 12 0 0 1/2 0/1 7.7
Xabi Huarte M 16 0 0 2 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Hélder Tavares M 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
M. Ouattara F 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 57% 7 0 0 0/1 1/1 6.6

Estoril

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Joel Robles G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 44% 25 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Pedro Amaral D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 62% 29 0 1 0/0 1/0 5.7
F. Bacher D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 68% 19 1 0 0/0 2/0 5.6
K. Boma D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 31 0 2 1/1 3/0 5.3
Tiago Parente D 60 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
J. Holsgrove M 90 0 0 2 (1) 3 77% 44 1 1 0/2 0/3 7.5
N. Lominadze M 67 0 0 0 (0) 1 70% 27 0 2 0/0 0/1 6.9
Pedro Carvalho D 60 0 0 0 (0) 0 47% 19 1 0 0/2 0/0 6.7
Y. Begraoui F 74 1 0 1 (1) 0 65% 17 0 0 0/1 0/1 7.2
João Carvalho M 90 0 1 3 (1) 1 71% 21 1 0 0/3 1/0 6.5
André Lacximicant F 67 0 1 3 (1) 2 80% 10 1 0 1/1 0/0 7.7
Ferro D 30 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
Ricard Sánchez D 30 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 10 2 0 1/1 1/0 6.5
Patrick de Paula M 23 0 0 1 (0) 0 60% 10 1 0 1/2 0/0 6.7
A. Marqués F 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 1/3 0/1 6.3
R. Guitane M 16 1 0 0 (0) 1 88% 8 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.