Primeira Liga Gameweek 25 Mon, Mar 9 2026 · 20:15 Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.50 – 1.23
  • 70’ Jalen Blesa
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Blesa goal decides it for Rio Ave

Tondela entered as narrow favourites, but Rio Ave won 1–0 through a Blesa goal. Rio Ave finished with the higher xG (1.23 vs 0.50). On the chances created, Tondela deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Tondela44%
Draw30%
Rio Ave ✓26%

Model vs reality

Tondela goals
0
Model 1.29 · xG 0.50
Rio Ave goals
1
Model 0.92 · xG 1.23
Total goals
1
Model 2.21 · xG 1.73
Score 0–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 38%
Both scored
No
Model 44%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchBebetoTondela
7.3
  • RefereeHelder Malheiro
  • VenueEstádio João Cardoso
  • Table before kick-offTondela 17th · Rio Ave 16th

Timeline

  1. A. NtoiYellow card
    29’
  2. M. VrousaiYellow card
    35’
  3. ✕ Diogo BezerraMissed penalty
    45+3’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. ⇄ Ryan GuilhermeFor A. Ntoi
    60’
  6. ⇄ S. SitholeFor Juan Rodríguez
    62’
  7. Jalen Blesa 0–1Assist D. Špikić
    70’
  8. ⇄ Tamble MonteiroFor D. Špikić
    71’
  9. ⇄ João ToméFor O. Pohlmann
    71’
  10. ⇄ Hélder TavaresFor João Silva
    74’
  11. ⇄ J. SiebatcheuFor J. Hodge
    74’
  12. ⇄ Tiago MansoFor M. Aïko
    80’
  13. ⇄ M. OuattaraFor Bebeto
    80’
  14. N. AbbeyYellow card
    87’
  15. ⇄ Leonardo ButaFor N. Abbey
    89’
  16. ⇄ F. PetrassoFor Jalen Blesa
    89’
  17. Diogo BezerraYellow card
    90+4’
  18. Gustavo ManchaYellow card
    90+5’
  19. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Tondela6 shots · 5 in box, 1 outside
Rio Ave9 shots · 7 in box, 2 outside
TondelaRio Ave
47% Possession 53%
0.50 Expected goals (xG) 1.23
0.76 Expected points (xPts) 1.94
6 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
3 Shots off target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Shots inside the box 7
1 Shots outside the box 2
401 Passes 449
79% Pass accuracy 84%
2 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
14 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
6.72 Team rating 6.76

Line-ups

Tondela 3-4-2-1

316.5 Bernardo Fontes(G)
206.7 Brayan Medina 46.3 Christian Marques 446.2 João Silva ↓74’
276.7 Rodrigo Conceição 327.0 Juan Rodríguez ↓62’ 107.2 J. Hodge ↓74’ 27.3★ Bebeto ↓80’
907.2 M. Aïko ↓80’ 76.9 Pedro Henryque
236.3 B. Mbunga Kimpioka
  • 31Bernardo Fontes (G)6.5
  • 20Brayan Medina6.7
  • 4Christian Marques6.3
  • 44João Silva↓74’6.2
  • 27Rodrigo Conceição6.7
  • 32Juan Rodríguez↓62’7.0
  • 10J. Hodge↓74’7.2
  • 2Bebeto ★↓80’7.3
  • 90M. Aïko↓80’7.2
  • 7Pedro Henryque6.9
  • 23B. Mbunga Kimpioka6.3

Substitutes used

  • 15S. Sithole↑62’6.3
  • 29J. Siebatcheu↑74’6.7
  • 8Hélder Tavares↑74’6.7
  • 48Tiago Manso↑80’6.3

Unused: M. Moudjatovic, Lucas Cañizares, João Afonso, A. van der Heide, Xabi Huarte

Rio Ave 4-2-3-1

997.3 E. van der Gouw(G)
66.3 N. Abbey ↓89’ 396.7 Gustavo Mancha 327.0 J. Brabec 176.9 M. Vrousai
56.2 A. Ntoi ↓60’ 446.9 T. Nikitscher
186.5 D. Špikić A↓71’ 807.3 O. Pohlmann ↓71’ 75.9 Diogo Bezerra
117.3 Jalen Blesa ↓89’
  • 99E. van der Gouw (G)7.3
  • 6N. Abbey↓89’6.3
  • 39Gustavo Mancha6.7
  • 32J. Brabec7.0
  • 17M. Vrousai6.9
  • 5A. Ntoi↓60’6.2
  • 44T. Nikitscher6.9
  • 18D. ŠpikićA↓71’6.5
  • 80O. Pohlmann↓71’7.3
  • 7Diogo Bezerra5.9
  • 11Jalen Blesa↓89’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 8Ryan Guilherme↑60’6.9
  • 20João Tomé↑71’6.6
  • 9Tamble Monteiro↑71’6.5
  • 23F. Petrasso↑89’
  • 24Leonardo Buta↑89’

Unused: C. Miszta, G. Liavas, A. Papakanellos, João Graça

Player stats

Top rated
BebetoTondela7.3
2nd
E. van der GouwRio Ave7.3
3rd
O. PohlmannRio Ave7.3

Tondela

Rio Ave

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.