Serie A Gameweek 27 Sun, Mar 1 2026 · 17:00 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino
Torino
2–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.69 – 0.94
Lazio
  • G. Simeone 21’
  • D. Zapata 53’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Torino beat Lazio

Lazio entered as narrow favourites, but Torino won 2–0 through goals from Simeone and Zapata. The chances were even, with xG of 0.69 and 0.94. On the chances created, Lazio deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Torino ✓30%
Draw29%
Lazio41%

Model vs reality

Torino goals
2
Model 1.06 · xG 0.69
Lazio goals
0
Model 1.28 · xG 0.94
Total goals
2
Model 2.34 · xG 1.63
Score 2–0
5%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 41%
Both scored
No
Model 48%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. ZapataTorino · 1 goal
7.6
  • RefereeRosario Abisso
  • VenueStadio Olimpico Grande Torino
  • Table before kick-offTorino 15th · Lazio 10th

Timeline

  1. G. Simeone 1–0
    21’
  2. G. GineitisYellow card · Holding
    45+1’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ T. NoslinFor P. Ratkov
    46’
  5. ⇄ O. Dele-BashiruFor R. Belahyane
    46’
  6. D. Zapata 2–0Assist Rafael Obrador
    53’
  7. ⇄ G. IsaksenFor M. Cancellieri
    65’
  8. ⇄ Nuno TavaresFor L. Pellegrini
    65’
  9. ⇄ I. IlićFor G. Gineitis
    68’
  10. ⇄ N. NkounkouFor Rafael Obrador
    72’
  11. ⇄ C. CasadeiFor D. Zapata
    73’
  12. N. VlašićYellow card · Roughing
    79’
  13. ⇄ B. DiaFor M. Zaccagni
    80’
  14. ⇄ S. KulenovićFor G. Simeone
    84’
  15. ⇄ A. TamèzeFor M. Prati
    85’
  16. A. TamèzeYellow card · Roughing
    90+1’
  17. S. KulenovićYellow card · Tripping
    90+2’
  18. Nuno TavaresYellow card · Tripping
    90+3’
  19. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

Torino13 shots · 8 in box, 5 outside
Lazio12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
TorinoLazio
44% Possession 56%
0.69 Expected goals (xG) 0.94
1.12 Expected points (xPts) 1.54
13 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
3 Shots off target 4
5 Blocked shots 5
8 Shots inside the box 8
5 Shots outside the box 4
453 Passes 584
87% Pass accuracy 88%
6 Corners 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Fouls 5
0 Offsides 2
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.13 Team rating 6.39

Line-ups

Torino 3-5-2

16.9 A. Paleari(G)
777.3 E. Ebosse 447.2 A. Ismajli 237.3 Saúl Coco
337.2 Rafael Obrador A↓72’ 106.9 N. Vlašić 46.9 M. Prati ↓85’ 667.2 G. Gineitis ↓68’ 206.9 V. Lazaro
917.6★ D. Zapata ↓73’ 187.6 G. Simeone ↓84’
  • 1A. Paleari (G)6.9
  • 77E. Ebosse7.3
  • 44A. Ismajli7.2
  • 23Saúl Coco7.3
  • 33Rafael ObradorA↓72’7.2
  • 10N. Vlašić6.9
  • 4M. Prati↓85’6.9
  • 66G. Gineitis↓68’7.2
  • 20V. Lazaro6.9
  • 91D. Zapata ★↓73’7.6
  • 18G. Simeone↓84’7.6

Substitutes used

  • 8I. Ilić↑68’6.3
  • 25N. Nkounkou↑72’6.6
  • 22C. Casadei↑73’6.7
  • 61A. Tamèze↑85’
  • 17S. Kulenović↑84’

Unused: F. Israel, Lapo Siviero, G. Maripán, L. Marianucci, C. Biraghi, F. Anjorin, M. Pedersen, C. Adams, A. Njie

Lazio 4-3-3

945.9 I. Provedel(G)
35.9 L. Pellegrini ↓65’ 256.3 Oliver Provstgaard 137.0 A. Romagnoli 776.6 A. Marušić
246.3 K. Taylor 326.6 D. Cataldi 216.3 R. Belahyane ↓46’
106.3 M. Zaccagni ↓80’ 206.7 P. Ratkov ↓46’ 226.3 M. Cancellieri ↓65’
  • 94I. Provedel (G)5.9
  • 3L. Pellegrini↓65’5.9
  • 25Oliver Provstgaard6.3
  • 13A. Romagnoli7.0
  • 77A. Marušić6.6
  • 24K. Taylor6.3
  • 32D. Cataldi6.6
  • 21R. Belahyane↓46’6.3
  • 10M. Zaccagni↓80’6.3
  • 20P. Ratkov↓46’6.7
  • 22M. Cancellieri↓65’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 7O. Dele-Bashiru↑46’6.3
  • 14T. Noslin↑46’6.2
  • 17Nuno Tavares↑65’7.0
  • 18G. Isaksen↑65’6.5
  • 19B. Dia↑80’6.5

Unused: A. Furlanetto, E. Motta, M. Lazzari, Patric, Valerio Farcomeni, A. Przyborek

Player stats

Top rated
D. ZapataTorino7.6
2nd
G. SimeoneTorino7.6
3rd
E. EbosseTorino7.3

Torino

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Paleari G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 77% 35 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
E. Ebosse D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 76 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.3
A. Ismajli D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 60 0 2 0/0 0/0 7.2
Saúl Coco D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 63 1 0 0/0 2/0 7.3
Rafael Obrador D 72 0 1 0 (0) 1 87% 39 5 1 1/1 1/0 7.2
N. Vlašić M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 92% 26 1 0 2/5 1/1 6.9
M. Prati M 85 0 0 2 (0) 1 76% 29 3 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
G. Gineitis M 68 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 31 1 1 2/3 1/0 7.2
V. Lazaro D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 85% 39 3 3 0/1 2/0 6.9
D. Zapata F 73 1 0 1 (1) 0 85% 13 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.6
G. Simeone F 84 1 0 3 (3) 2 67% 24 0 1 4/5 2/1 7.6
I. Ilić M 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
N. Nkounkou D 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
C. Casadei M 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
A. Tamèze M 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
S. Kulenović F 6 0 0 1 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Lazio

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
I. Provedel G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 88% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
L. Pellegrini D 65 0 0 0 (0) 1 81% 54 0 0 0/0 0/2 5.9
Oliver Provstgaard D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 96% 89 0 1 0/0 1/1 6.3
A. Romagnoli D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 97% 75 0 1 0/0 1/1 7.0
A. Marušić D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 87% 60 1 3 0/5 0/1 6.6
K. Taylor M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 81% 47 1 0 1/3 0/1 6.3
D. Cataldi M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 90% 61 4 0 0/1 0/0 6.6
R. Belahyane M 46 0 0 1 (1) 1 82% 22 1 0 1/1 1/1 6.3
M. Zaccagni M 80 0 0 1 (0) 1 86% 36 1 0 0/1 1/3 6.3
P. Ratkov F 46 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 6 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
M. Cancellieri F 65 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 18 1 1 0/0 0/1 6.3
O. Dele-Bashiru M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 20 0 0 2/2 0/0 6.3
T. Noslin F 44 0 0 1 (1) 0 75% 12 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
Nuno Tavares D 25 0 0 0 (0) 2 95% 40 0 0 1/1 0/0 7.0
G. Isaksen F 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.5
B. Dia F 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.