Serie A Gameweek 7 Sat, Oct 18 2025 · 17:00 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.97 – 1.83
  • G. Simeone 32’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Simeone goal decides it for Torino

Napoli entered as favourites, but Torino won 1–0 through a Simeone goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.97 and 1.83. On the chances created, Napoli deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Torino ✓24%
Draw27%
Napoli49%

Model vs reality

Torino goals
1
Model 1.03 · xG 1.97
Napoli goals
0
Model 1.57 · xG 1.83
Total goals
1
Model 2.60 · xG 3.80
Score 1–0
7%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 48%
Both scored
No
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchG. SimeoneTorino · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeMatteo Marcenaro
  • VenueStadio Olimpico Grande Torino
  • Table before kick-offTorino 16th · Napoli 1st

Timeline

  1. Juan JesusYellow card · Tripping
    10’
  2. G. Simeone 1–0
    32’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. F. IsraelYellow card · Delay of game
    47’
  5. ⇄ C. NgongeFor G. Simeone
    62’
  6. ⇄ N. LangFor M. Olivera
    63’
  7. ⇄ A. BuongiornoFor Juan Jesus
    64’
  8. ⇄ G. AmbrosinoFor L. Lucca
    74’
  9. ⇄ M. PolitanoFor David Neres
    74’
  10. ⇄ C. BiraghiFor N. Nkounkou
    75’
  11. ⇄ G. GineitisFor N. Vlašić
    75’
  12. ⇄ E. ElmasFor B. Gilmour
    82’
  13. ⇄ D. ZapataFor C. Adams
    84’
  14. ⇄ A. IsmajliFor K. Asllani
    84’
  15. VAR N. LangGoal Disallowed - offside
    90+4’
  16. N. LangYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+4’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Torino12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
Napoli22 shots · 14 in box, 8 outside
TorinoNapoli
31% Possession 69%
1.97 Expected goals (xG) 1.83
1.48 Expected points (xPts) 1.31
12 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 5
8 Shots off target 13
2 Blocked shots 4
8 Shots inside the box 14
4 Shots outside the box 8
279 Passes 608
77% Pass accuracy 89%
2 Corners 11
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.94 Team rating 6.81

Line-ups

Torino 5-3-2

816.3 F. Israel(G)
257.7 N. Nkounkou ↓75’ 237.2 Saúl Coco 136.9 G. Maripán 617.0 A. Tamèze 165.9 M. Pedersen
107.2 N. Vlašić ↓75’ 327.2 K. Asllani ↓84’ 226.6 C. Casadei
197.0 C. Adams ↓84’ 188.2★ G. Simeone ↓62’
  • 81F. Israel (G)6.3
  • 25N. Nkounkou↓75’7.7
  • 23Saúl Coco7.2
  • 13G. Maripán6.9
  • 61A. Tamèze7.0
  • 16M. Pedersen5.9
  • 10N. Vlašić↓75’7.2
  • 32K. Asllani↓84’7.2
  • 22C. Casadei6.6
  • 19C. Adams↓84’7.0
  • 18G. Simeone ★↓62’8.2

Substitutes used

  • 26C. Ngonge↑62’6.5
  • 34C. Biraghi↑75’6.9
  • 44A. Ismajli↑84’6.3
  • 66G. Gineitis↑75’6.6
  • 91D. Zapata↑84’6.5

Unused: M. Popa, A. Paleari, A. Masina, A. Dembélé, E. İlkhan, I. Ilić, V. Lazaro, A. Njie

Napoli 4-1-4-1

327.7 V. Milinković-Savić(G)
175.9 M. Olivera ↓63’ 56.3 Juan Jesus ↓64’ 317.0 S. Beukema 227.0 G. Di Lorenzo
67.2 B. Gilmour ↓82’
376.9 L. Spinazzola 116.3 K. De Bruyne 996.7 F. Anguissa 76.9 David Neres ↓74’
276.5 L. Lucca ↓74’
  • 32V. Milinković-Savić (G)7.7
  • 17M. Olivera↓63’5.9
  • 5Juan Jesus↓64’6.3
  • 31S. Beukema7.0
  • 22G. Di Lorenzo7.0
  • 6B. Gilmour↓82’7.2
  • 37L. Spinazzola6.9
  • 11K. De Bruyne6.3
  • 99F. Anguissa6.7
  • 7David Neres↓74’6.9
  • 27L. Lucca↓74’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 4A. Buongiorno↑64’7.0
  • 70N. Lang↑63’7.3
  • 20E. Elmas↑82’6.5
  • 21M. Politano↑74’6.7
  • 69G. Ambrosino↑74’6.5

Unused: Mathias Ferrante, A. Meret, L. Marianucci, Miguel Gutiérrez, P. Mazzocchi, A. Vergara

Player stats

Top rated
G. SimeoneTorino8.2
2nd
N. NkounkouTorino7.7
3rd
V. Milinković-SavićNapoli7.7

Torino

Napoli

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.