Premier League Gameweek 8 Sun, Oct 19 2025 · 14:00 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Tottenham
1–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 0.75 – 0.32
Aston Villa
  • R. Bentancur 5’
  • 37’ M. Rogers
  • 77’ E. Buendía
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Aston Villa come from behind to beat Tottenham

Tottenham led 1–0 after 5 minutes through a Bentancur goal. But Rogers and Buendía scored to turn it around for Aston Villa, who won 2–1. Aston Villa won despite the lower xG; Tottenham created the better chances (0.75 vs 0.32). On the chances created, Tottenham deserved more: 1.7 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Tottenham38%
Draw26%
Aston Villa ✓36%

Model vs reality

Tottenham goals
1
Model 1.47 · xG 0.75
Aston Villa goals
2
Model 1.43 · xG 0.32
Total goals
3
Model 2.91 · xG 1.07
Score 1–2
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. BuendíaAston Villa · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeSimon Hooper
  • VenueTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Table before kick-offTottenham 5th · Aston Villa 13th

Timeline

  1. R. Bentancur 1–0Assist João Palhinha
    5’
  2. M. van de VenYellow card · Foul
    22’
  3. M. Rogers 1–1
    37’
  4. Half time · 1–1
  5. ⇄ RicharlisonFor M. Tel
    60’
  6. ⇄ O. WatkinsFor D. Malen
    61’
  7. ⇄ E. BuendíaFor E. Guessand
    61’
  8. K. DansoYellow card · Foul
    67’
  9. E. Buendía 1–2Assist L. Digne
    77’
  10. ⇄ R. Kolo MuaniFor W. Odobert
    79’
  11. ⇄ L. BergvallFor X. Simons
    79’
  12. ⇄ R. BarkleyFor A. Onana
    82’
  13. ⇄ I. MaatsenFor L. Digne
    82’
  14. ⇄ B. JohnsonFor D. Spence
    86’
  15. ⇄ P. SarrFor R. Bentancur
    86’
  16. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Tottenham10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
Aston Villa8 shots · 2 in box, 6 outside
TottenhamAston Villa
53% Possession 47%
0.75 Expected goals (xG) 0.32
1.71 Expected points (xPts) 0.86
10 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
5 Shots off target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
7 Shots inside the box 2
3 Shots outside the box 6
382 Passes 348
88% Pass accuracy 84%
6 Corners 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Fouls 7
6 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.64 Team rating 6.86

Line-ups

Tottenham 4-2-3-1

16.3 G. Vicario(G)
246.3 D. Spence ↓86’ 376.9 M. van de Ven 46.6 K. Danso 236.6 Pedro Porro
307.6 R. Bentancur ↓86’ 67.7 João Palhinha A
286.3 W. Odobert ↓79’ 76.5 X. Simons ↓79’ 206.0 M. Kudus
116.2 M. Tel ↓60’
  • 1G. Vicario (G)6.3
  • 24D. Spence↓86’6.3
  • 37M. van de Ven6.9
  • 4K. Danso6.6
  • 23Pedro Porro6.6
  • 30R. Bentancur↓86’7.6
  • 6João PalhinhaA7.7
  • 28W. Odobert↓79’6.3
  • 7X. Simons↓79’6.5
  • 20M. Kudus6.0
  • 11M. Tel↓60’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 39R. Kolo Muani↑79’6.2
  • 22B. Johnson↑86’6.6
  • 9Richarlison↑60’6.3
  • 29P. Sarr↑86’6.5
  • 15L. Bergvall↑79’6.9

Unused: A. Kinský, A. Gray, J. Byfield

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

236.2 E. Martínez(G)
126.9 L. Digne A↓82’ 146.7 Pau Torres 46.9 E. Konsa 26.9 M. Cash
246.7 A. Onana ↓82’ 447.9 B. Kamara
76.6 J. McGinn 277.3 M. Rogers 296.3 E. Guessand ↓61’
176.5 D. Malen ↓61’
  • 23E. Martínez (G)6.2
  • 12L. DigneA↓82’6.9
  • 14Pau Torres6.7
  • 4E. Konsa6.9
  • 2M. Cash6.9
  • 24A. Onana↓82’6.7
  • 44B. Kamara7.9
  • 7J. McGinn6.6
  • 27M. Rogers7.3
  • 29E. Guessand↓61’6.3
  • 17D. Malen↓61’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 6R. Barkley↑82’6.6
  • 11O. Watkins↑61’6.3
  • 22I. Maatsen↑82’7.2
  • 10E. Buendía ★↑61’8.2

Unused: M. Bizot, V. Lindelöf, H. Elliott, L. Bogarde, J. Sancho

Player stats

Top rated
E. BuendíaAston Villa8.2
2nd
B. KamaraAston Villa7.9
3rd
João PalhinhaTottenham7.7

Tottenham

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Vicario G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 88% 24 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
D. Spence D 86 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 29 2 0 0/2 0/0 6.3
M. van de Ven D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 96% 55 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.9
K. Danso D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 62 0 2 0/0 0/1 6.6
Pedro Porro D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 82% 49 1 0 1/2 1/3 6.6
R. Bentancur M 86 1 0 1 (1) 1 84% 45 3 0 0/0 0/0 7.6
João Palhinha M 90 0 1 2 (1) 1 82% 34 10 2 0/1 0/0 7.7
W. Odobert F 79 0 0 2 (1) 1 82% 17 0 0 4/5 0/0 6.3
X. Simons M 79 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 24 4 1 0/1 3/1 6.5
M. Kudus M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 86% 21 2 0 0/6 2/0 6.0
M. Tel F 60 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 1 0 0/1 2/0 6.2
R. Kolo Muani F 11 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
B. Johnson F 4 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Richarlison F 30 0 0 0 (0) 1 50% 6 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
P. Sarr M 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
L. Bergvall M 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.9

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Martínez G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 63% 32 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
L. Digne D 82 0 1 0 (0) 1 73% 22 3 0 0/1 0/1 6.9
Pau Torres D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 48 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
E. Konsa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 51 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.9
M. Cash D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 90% 31 1 0 0/0 0/2 6.9
A. Onana M 82 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 33 3 1 0/2 1/0 6.7
B. Kamara M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 46 4 0 3/4 1/4 7.9
J. McGinn M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 88% 17 4 0 0/0 2/1 6.6
M. Rogers F 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 65% 23 0 0 2/4 0/1 7.3
E. Guessand F 61 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 8 2 0 0/1 1/1 6.3
D. Malen F 61 0 0 1 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
R. Barkley M 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
O. Watkins F 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 13 0 0 1/4 0/0 6.3
I. Maatsen D 8 0 0 1 (0) 1 100% 4 2 1 0/0 0/0 7.2
E. Buendía M 29 1 0 1 (1) 0 100% 10 2 0 1/1 1/1 8.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.