Premier League Gameweek 29 Thu, Mar 5 2026 · 20:00 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
1–3 Full time · HT 1–3 xG 1.09 – 1.78
  • D. Solanke 34’
  • M. van de Ven 38’
  • 40’ (P), 45’ I. Sarr
  • 45’ J. Strand Larsen
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Crystal Palace come from behind to beat Tottenham

Tottenham entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 after 34 minutes through a Solanke goal. But Sarr and Larsen scored to turn it around for Crystal Palace, who won 3–1. Tottenham played with ten men from the 38th minute after de Ven was sent off. Crystal Palace finished with the higher xG (1.78 vs 1.09). On the chances created, Tottenham deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Tottenham46%
Draw25%
Crystal Palace ✓29%

Model vs reality

Tottenham goals
1
Model 1.71 · xG 1.09
Crystal Palace goals
3
Model 1.32 · xG 1.78
Total goals
4
Model 3.03 · xG 2.87
Score 1–3
3%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 58%
Both scored
Yes
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchI. SarrCrystal Palace · 2 goals
8.2
  • RefereeAndy Madley
  • VenueTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Table before kick-offTottenham 16th · Crystal Palace 14th

Timeline

  1. SouzaYellow card · Foul
    7’
  2. ⇄ N. ClyneFor D. Muñoz
    14’
  3. J. Strand LarsenYellow card · Foul
    22’
  4. P. SarrYellow card · Argument
    25’
  5. VAR I. SarrGoal cancelled
    32’
  6. D. Solanke 1–0Assist A. Gray
    34’
  7. M. van de VenRed card · Professional foul last man
    38’
  8. I. Sarr (pen) 1–1
    40’
  9. ⇄ Y. BissoumaFor R. Kolo Muani
    43’
  10. ⇄ C. GallagherFor Souza
    43’
  11. J. Strand Larsen 1–2Assist A. Wharton
    45’
  12. I. Sarr 1–3Assist A. Wharton
    45’
  13. Half time · 1–3
  14. ⇄ B. JohnsonFor E. Guessand
    67’
  15. ⇄ RicharlisonFor D. Solanke
    74’
  16. ⇄ X. SimonsFor Pedro Porro
    74’
  17. ⇄ W. HughesFor A. Wharton
    81’
  18. ⇄ C. UcheFor J. Strand Larsen
    81’
  19. Y. BissoumaYellow card · Argument
    82’
  20. N. ClyneYellow card · Foul
    90+2’
  21. Full time · 1–3

Team stats

Tottenham12 shots · 10 in box, 2 outside
Crystal Palace9 shots · 8 in box, 1 outside
TottenhamCrystal Palace
40% Possession 60%
1.09 Expected goals (xG) 1.78
0.93 Expected points (xPts) 1.84
12 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
3 Shots off target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
10 Shots inside the box 8
2 Shots outside the box 1
311 Passes 463
78% Pass accuracy 87%
6 Corners 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
14 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
6.64 Team rating 7.00

Line-ups

Tottenham 3-4-2-1

16.3 G. Vicario(G)
375.5 M. van de Ven 46.9 K. Danso 236.2 Pedro Porro ↓74’
386.2 Souza ↓43’ 296.5 P. Sarr 66.7 João Palhinha 147.7 A. Gray A
116.5 M. Tel 396.2 R. Kolo Muani ↓43’
197.2 D. Solanke ↓74’
  • 1G. Vicario (G)6.3
  • 37M. van de Ven5.5
  • 4K. Danso6.9
  • 23Pedro Porro↓74’6.2
  • 38Souza↓43’6.2
  • 29P. Sarr6.5
  • 6João Palhinha6.7
  • 14A. GrayA7.7
  • 11M. Tel6.5
  • 39R. Kolo Muani↓43’6.2
  • 19D. Solanke↓74’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 9Richarlison↑74’6.3
  • 8Y. Bissouma↑43’6.9
  • 22C. Gallagher↑43’6.3
  • 7X. Simons↑74’7.2

Unused: B. Austin, A. Kinský, R. Kyerematen, James Roswell, C. Olusesi

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

16.6 D. Henderson(G)
347.2 C. Riad 267.2 Chris Richards 237.5 J. Canvot
36.6 T. Mitchell 186.5 Daichi Kamada 207.7 A. Wharton AA↓81’ 26.6 D. Muñoz ↓14’
296.3 E. Guessand ↓67’ 78.2★ I. Sarr
227.2 J. Strand Larsen ↓81’
  • 1D. Henderson (G)6.6
  • 34C. Riad7.2
  • 26Chris Richards7.2
  • 23J. Canvot7.5
  • 3T. Mitchell6.6
  • 18Daichi Kamada6.5
  • 20A. WhartonA×2↓81’7.7
  • 2D. Muñoz↓14’6.6
  • 29E. Guessand↓67’6.3
  • 7I. Sarr ★8.2
  • 22J. Strand Larsen↓81’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 17N. Clyne↑14’6.0
  • 19W. Hughes↑81’6.7
  • 11B. Johnson↑67’6.5
  • 12C. Uche↑81’6.6

Unused: W. Benítez, B. Sosa, J. Lerma, Yeremy Pino, J. Devenny

Player stats

Top rated
I. SarrCrystal Palace8.2
2nd
A. GrayTottenham7.7
3rd
A. WhartonCrystal Palace7.7

Tottenham

Crystal Palace

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.