Premier League Gameweek 38 Sun, May 24 2026 · 16:00 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.15 – 0.41
  • João Palhinha 43’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Palhinha goal decides it for Tottenham

Tottenham entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Palhinha goal. Tottenham finished with the higher xG (1.15 vs 0.41).

Tottenham ✓47%
Draw25%
Everton29%

Model vs reality

Tottenham goals
1
Model 1.74 · xG 1.15
Everton goals
0
Model 1.32 · xG 0.41
Total goals
1
Model 3.06 · xG 1.56
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 59%
Both scored
No
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJoão PalhinhaTottenham · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeMichael Oliver
  • VenueTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Table before kick-offTottenham 17th · Everton 12th

Timeline

  1. J. O'BrienYellow card · Foul
    13’
  2. João Palhinha 1–0
    43’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ T. GeorgeFor M. Röhl
    62’
  5. ⇄ H. ArmstrongFor J. O'Brien
    62’
  6. ⇄ R. Kolo MuaniFor Richarlison
    73’
  7. ⇄ P. SarrFor M. Tel
    73’
  8. P. SarrYellow card · Simulation
    80’
  9. ⇄ A. GrayFor R. Bentancur
    82’
  10. ⇄ J. MaddisonFor C. Gallagher
    82’
  11. ⇄ BetoFor T. Barry
    84’
  12. ⇄ C. AlcarazFor K. Dewsbury-Hall
    84’
  13. ⇄ S. ColemanFor T. Iroegbunam
    84’
  14. João PalhinhaYellow card · Handball
    87’
  15. J. TarkowskiYellow card · Foul
    89’
  16. ⇄ R. DrăgușinFor I. Udogie
    90’
  17. A. KinskýYellow card · Time wasting
    90+7’
  18. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Tottenham20 shots · 15 in box, 5 outside
Everton10 shots · 8 in box, 2 outside
TottenhamEverton
50% Possession 50%
1.15 Expected goals (xG) 0.41
1.96 Expected points (xPts) 0.72
20 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 1
9 Shots off target 6
9 Blocked shots 3
15 Shots inside the box 8
5 Shots outside the box 2
381 Passes 384
84% Pass accuracy 82%
7 Corners 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
15 Fouls 18
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.11 Team rating 6.59

Line-ups

Tottenham 4-2-3-1

316.9 A. Kinský(G)
137.3 I. Udogie ↓90’ 376.9 M. van de Ven 47.2 K. Danso 237.7 Pedro Porro
68.0★ João Palhinha 306.9 R. Bentancur ↓82’
117.2 M. Tel ↓73’ 226.9 C. Gallagher ↓82’ 246.7 D. Spence
96.7 Richarlison ↓73’
  • 31A. Kinský (G)6.9
  • 13I. Udogie↓90’7.3
  • 37M. van de Ven6.9
  • 4K. Danso7.2
  • 23Pedro Porro7.7
  • 6João Palhinha ★8.0
  • 30R. Bentancur↓82’6.9
  • 11M. Tel↓73’7.2
  • 22C. Gallagher↓82’6.9
  • 24D. Spence6.7
  • 9Richarlison↓73’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 39R. Kolo Muani↑73’6.6
  • 3R. Drăgușin↑90’6.9
  • 14A. Gray↑82’6.7
  • 10J. Maddison↑82’6.7
  • 29P. Sarr↑73’6.5

Unused: G. Vicario, D. Solanke, Y. Bissouma, L. Bergvall

Everton 4-2-3-1

16.9 J. Pickford(G)
166.3 V. Mykolenko 56.6 M. Keane 66.5 J. Tarkowski 156.3 J. O'Brien ↓62’
426.3 T. Iroegbunam ↓84’ 377.7 J. Garner
226.2 K. Dewsbury-Hall ↓84’ 106.9 I. Ndiaye 346.7 M. Röhl ↓62’
116.0 T. Barry ↓84’
  • 1J. Pickford (G)6.9
  • 16V. Mykolenko6.3
  • 5M. Keane6.6
  • 6J. Tarkowski6.5
  • 15J. O'Brien↓62’6.3
  • 42T. Iroegbunam↓84’6.3
  • 37J. Garner7.7
  • 22K. Dewsbury-Hall↓84’6.2
  • 10I. Ndiaye6.9
  • 34M. Röhl↓62’6.7
  • 11T. Barry↓84’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 9Beto↑84’6.5
  • 24C. Alcaraz↑84’6.9
  • 19T. George↑62’6.3
  • 45H. Armstrong↑62’6.7
  • 23S. Coleman↑84’6.9

Unused: M. Travers, T. Dibling, A. Aznou, D. McNeil

Player stats

Top rated
João PalhinhaTottenham8.0
2nd
Pedro PorroTottenham7.7
3rd
J. GarnerEverton7.7

Tottenham

Everton

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.