Premier League Gameweek 26 Tue, Feb 10 2026 · 19:30 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
1–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.85 – 2.48
  • A. Gray 64’
  • 45’ M. Thiaw
  • 68’ J. Ramsey
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Newcastle beat Tottenham

Tottenham entered as narrow favourites, but Newcastle won 2–1 through goals from Thiaw and Ramsey. Tottenham replied through a Gray goal. Newcastle finished with the higher xG (2.48 vs 1.85). On the chances created, Tottenham deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Tottenham42%
Draw25%
Newcastle ✓34%

Model vs reality

Tottenham goals
1
Model 1.68 · xG 1.85
Newcastle goals
2
Model 1.50 · xG 2.48
Total goals
3
Model 3.18 · xG 4.33
Score 1–2
8%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 62%
Both scored
Yes
Model 64%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchP. SarrTottenham · 1 assist
8.3
  • RefereeAnthony Taylor
  • VenueTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Table before kick-offTottenham 15th · Newcastle 12th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ M. TelFor W. Odobert
    35’
  2. P. SarrYellow card · Simulation
    41’
  3. M. Thiaw 0–1
    45’
  4. VAR J. WillockGoal cancelled
    45+1’
  5. Half time · 0–1
  6. ⇄ João PalhinhaFor Y. Bissouma
    46’
  7. D. BurnYellow card · Foul
    59’
  8. D. SpenceYellow card · Foul
    62’
  9. A. Gray 1–1Assist P. Sarr
    64’
  10. X. SimonsYellow card · Simulation
    67’
  11. J. Ramsey 1–2Assist A. Gordon
    68’
  12. ⇄ R. Kolo MuaniFor C. Gallagher
    70’
  13. ⇄ J. MurphyFor A. Elanga
    75’
  14. ⇄ S. TonaliFor J. Ramsey
    75’
  15. ⇄ N. WoltemadeFor J. Willock
    88’
  16. ⇄ W. OsulaFor A. Gordon
    88’
  17. Bruno GuimarãesYellow card · Foul
    89’
  18. ⇄ L. HallFor Bruno Guimarães
    90+1’
  19. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Tottenham16 shots · 10 in box, 6 outside
Newcastle21 shots · 17 in box, 4 outside
TottenhamNewcastle
53% Possession 47%
1.85 Expected goals (xG) 2.48
1.06 Expected points (xPts) 1.75
16 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 5
6 Shots off target 7
8 Blocked shots 9
10 Shots inside the box 17
6 Shots outside the box 4
407 Passes 339
84% Pass accuracy 82%
2 Corners 12
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
15 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 2
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.09 Team rating 7.02

Line-ups

Tottenham 4-3-3

17.7 G. Vicario(G)
246.3 D. Spence 377.0 M. van de Ven 36.3 R. Drăgușin 147.7 A. Gray
298.3★ P. Sarr A 86.7 Y. Bissouma ↓46’ 226.5 C. Gallagher ↓70’
77.6 X. Simons 196.7 D. Solanke 286.9 W. Odobert ↓35’
  • 1G. Vicario (G)7.7
  • 24D. Spence6.3
  • 37M. van de Ven7.0
  • 3R. Drăgușin6.3
  • 14A. Gray7.7
  • 29P. Sarr ★A8.3
  • 8Y. Bissouma↓46’6.7
  • 22C. Gallagher↓70’6.5
  • 7X. Simons7.6
  • 19D. Solanke6.7
  • 28W. Odobert↓35’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 6João Palhinha↑46’7.3
  • 39R. Kolo Muani↑70’6.9
  • 11M. Tel↑35’6.7

Unused: A. Kinský, Souza, J. Byfield, L. Williams-Barnett, James Roswell, C. Olusesi

Newcastle 4-3-3

16.7 N. Pope(G)
336.3 D. Burn 47.2 S. Botman 127.2 M. Thiaw 27.2 K. Trippier
417.7 J. Ramsey ↓75’ 398.2 Bruno Guimarães ↓90’ 285.9 J. Willock ↓88’
116.9 H. Barnes 107.2 A. Gordon A↓88’ 206.9 A. Elanga ↓75’
  • 1N. Pope (G)6.7
  • 33D. Burn6.3
  • 4S. Botman7.2
  • 12M. Thiaw7.2
  • 2K. Trippier7.2
  • 41J. Ramsey↓75’7.7
  • 39Bruno Guimarães↓90’8.2
  • 28J. Willock↓88’5.9
  • 11H. Barnes6.9
  • 10A. GordonA↓88’7.2
  • 20A. Elanga↓75’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 27N. Woltemade↑88’6.6
  • 3L. Hall↑90’
  • 23J. Murphy↑75’6.6
  • 8S. Tonali↑75’6.7
  • 18W. Osula↑88’6.5

Unused: A. Ramsdale, Y. Wissa, L. Shahar, A. Murphy

Player stats

Top rated
P. SarrTottenham8.3
2nd
Bruno GuimarãesNewcastle8.2
3rd
G. VicarioTottenham7.7

Tottenham

Newcastle

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.