Ligue 1 Gameweek 25 Sat, Mar 7 2026 · 20:05 Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Toulouse
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.83 – 0.49
Marseille
  • 18’ M. Greenwood
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Greenwood goal decides it for Marseille

Marseille won 1–0 through a Greenwood goal. Marseille won despite the lower xG; Toulouse created the better chances (0.83 vs 0.49). On the chances created, Toulouse deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Toulouse36%
Draw27%
Marseille ✓37%

Model vs reality

Toulouse goals
0
Model 1.38 · xG 0.83
Marseille goals
1
Model 1.40 · xG 0.49
Total goals
1
Model 2.78 · xG 1.32
Score 0–1
8%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 52%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. GreenwoodMarseille · 1 goal
7.7
  • RefereeBastien Dechepy
  • VenueStadium de Toulouse
  • Table before kick-offToulouse 12th · Marseille 4th

Timeline

  1. F. MedinaYellow card · Roughing
    12’
  2. M. Greenwood 0–1Assist Igor Paixão
    18’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ S. HidalgoFor Emersonn
    46’
  5. A. DønnumYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    59’
  6. M. GreenwoodYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    59’
  7. T. WeahYellow card · Roughing
    60’
  8. M. McKenzieYellow card · Tripping
    64’
  9. ⇄ A. GouiriFor M. Greenwood
    66’
  10. ⇄ Tochukwu NnadiFor G. Kondogbia
    66’
  11. ⇄ A. VossahFor C. Cásseres
    69’
  12. ⇄ J. Russell-RoweFor W. Kamanzi
    78’
  13. ⇄ Julián VignoloFor D. Methalie
    79’
  14. ⇄ A. VermeerenFor Q. Timber
    82’
  15. ⇄ EmersonFor P. Aubameyang
    83’
  16. ⇄ M. SauerFor Pape Diop
    84’
  17. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Toulouse12 shots · 9 in box, 3 outside
Marseille9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
ToulouseMarseille
49% Possession 51%
0.83 Expected goals (xG) 0.49
1.62 Expected points (xPts) 1.00
12 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 3
7 Shots off target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
9 Shots inside the box 6
3 Shots outside the box 3
432 Passes 456
83% Pass accuracy 85%
4 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
15 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.67 Team rating 6.97

Line-ups

Toulouse 3-4-2-1

16.2 G. Restes(G)
36.7 M. McKenzie 26.9 R. Nicolaisen 196.7 D. Sidibé
246.2 D. Methalie ↓79’ 186.7 Pape Diop ↓84’ 236.6 C. Cásseres ↓69’ 127.3 W. Kamanzi ↓78’
107.3 G. Gboho 156.3 A. Dønnum
206.2 Emersonn ↓46’
  • 1G. Restes (G)6.2
  • 3M. McKenzie6.7
  • 2R. Nicolaisen6.9
  • 19D. Sidibé6.7
  • 24D. Methalie↓79’6.2
  • 18Pape Diop↓84’6.7
  • 23C. Cásseres↓69’6.6
  • 12W. Kamanzi↓78’7.3
  • 10G. Gboho7.3
  • 15A. Dønnum6.3
  • 20Emersonn↓46’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 11S. Hidalgo↑46’6.7
  • 45A. Vossah↑69’6.7
  • 77M. Sauer↑84’
  • 7Julián Vignolo↑79’7.2
  • 13J. Russell-Rowe↑78’6.5

Unused: C. Haug, Naime Said Mchindra, S. Koumbassa, Gaëtan Bakhouche

Marseille 3-4-1-2

17.6 G. Rulli(G)
326.7 F. Medina 57.3 L. Balerdi 287.3 B. Pavard
146.7 Igor Paixão A 236.2 P. Højbjerg 197.0 G. Kondogbia ↓66’ 226.7 T. Weah
277.2 Q. Timber ↓82’
176.9 P. Aubameyang ↓83’ 107.7★ M. Greenwood ↓66’
  • 1G. Rulli (G)7.6
  • 32F. Medina6.7
  • 5L. Balerdi7.3
  • 28B. Pavard7.3
  • 14Igor PaixãoA6.7
  • 23P. Højbjerg6.2
  • 19G. Kondogbia↓66’7.0
  • 22T. Weah6.7
  • 27Q. Timber↓82’7.2
  • 17P. Aubameyang↓83’6.9
  • 10M. Greenwood ★↓66’7.7

Substitutes used

  • 6Tochukwu Nnadi↑66’6.5
  • 9A. Gouiri↑66’6.3
  • 33Emerson↑83’6.7
  • 18A. Vermeeren↑82’6.5

Unused: J. de Lange, C. Egan-Riley, H. Traorè, E. Nwaneri, Ange Lago

Player stats

Top rated
M. GreenwoodMarseille7.7
2nd
G. RulliMarseille7.6
3rd
W. KamanziToulouse7.3

Toulouse

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Restes G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 58% 24 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
M. McKenzie D 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 88% 41 2 2 0/0 2/2 6.7
R. Nicolaisen D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 49 0 2 0/0 0/1 6.9
D. Sidibé D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 45 2 1 0/1 2/0 6.7
D. Methalie D 79 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 20 3 2 1/3 2/0 6.2
Pape Diop M 84 0 0 1 (1) 0 90% 49 4 2 0/1 2/0 6.7
C. Cásseres M 69 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 46 2 1 0/1 1/1 6.6
W. Kamanzi D 78 0 0 1 (0) 1 88% 33 3 1 2/2 0/1 7.3
G. Gboho F 90 0 0 2 (0) 2 80% 41 2 1 3/5 0/5 7.3
A. Dønnum M 90 0 0 1 (0) 5 72% 39 1 0 0/1 2/1 6.3
Emersonn F 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
S. Hidalgo F 44 0 0 2 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Vossah M 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 15 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
M. Sauer M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Julián Vignolo F 11 0 0 1 (1) 1 75% 4 0 0 1/1 0/0 7.2
J. Russell-Rowe F 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Marseille

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Rulli G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 78% 46 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.6
F. Medina D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 51 1 2 0/0 1/0 6.7
L. Balerdi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 65 2 1 0/0 0/1 7.3
B. Pavard D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 64 5 1 0/0 2/1 7.3
Igor Paixão F 90 0 1 3 (1) 3 67% 18 2 0 1/5 1/2 6.7
P. Højbjerg M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 83% 65 1 0 1/2 2/0 6.2
G. Kondogbia M 66 0 0 1 (0) 0 85% 47 3 0 0/0 1/1 7.0
T. Weah M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 25 5 0 0/2 2/1 6.7
Q. Timber M 82 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 25 6 1 2/6 0/4 7.2
P. Aubameyang F 83 0 0 1 (0) 0 75% 8 0 0 2/2 0/2 6.9
M. Greenwood F 66 1 0 2 (1) 2 90% 21 0 0 1/2 0/1 7.7
Tochukwu Nnadi M 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 0 1 0/0 2/0 6.5
A. Gouiri F 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 2/3 1/0 6.3
Emerson D 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Vermeeren M 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.