Trabzonspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Trabzonspor were clear favourites.
Trabzonspor were the stronger side on L90 Strength (40 vs 17). Trabzonspor had 5 days of rest, Konyaspor 5 and had to travel 713 km.
Away travel713 kmRest days5 · 5Matches / 14d1 · 1
Trabzonspor62%
Draw22%
Konyaspor16%
Trabzonspor61%
Draw23%
Konyaspor17%
Trabzonspor61%
Draw22%
Konyaspor17%
Trabzonspor54%
Draw24%
Konyaspor22%
Trabzonspor61%
Draw22%
Konyaspor16%
Over 2.5 58%
Both score 54%
Likeliest score 2–0
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Trabzon)
No weather data yet
RefereeAlper Akarsu
- Cards per match 4.9
- Penalties per match 0.38
- Matches 21
Team strength
Trabzonspor
Konyaspor
40
L90 StrengthIn forecast
17
46
Current StrengthIn forecast
18
54
AttackIn forecast
13
48
DefenceIn forecast
31
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisKonyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
TrabzonsporKonyaspor
1.69
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.38
0.85
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.54
1.31
xGVia Att/Def
1.13
1.32
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.35
+0.38
Goals minus xGContext
+0.25
85%
Scored inContext
77%
46%
Clean sheetsContext
15%
14.15
ShotsContext
13.54
5.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.38
35%
On target shareContext
32%
9.58
Shots in the boxContext
7.85
63%
Box shareContext
58%
12%
ConversionContext
10%
2.45
OffsidesContext
2.09
14.08
Shots allowedContext
11.85
3.92
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.83
4.08
BlocksContext
3.08
4.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.45
90%
Save rateContext
63%
51%
PossessionIn forecast
53%
401
PassesContext
392
341
Accurate passesContext
323
85%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.99
Team ratingContext
6.85
11.85
FoulsContext
11.92
14.23
Fouls sufferedContext
12.92
1.46
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.15
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.90
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.00
1.10
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.80
1.30
xGVia Att/Def
1.02
1.51
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.29
+0.60
Goals minus xGContext
-0.02
80%
Scored inContext
70%
30%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
14.50
ShotsContext
13.50
5.70
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.30
39%
On target shareContext
32%
10.44
Shots in the boxContext
7.60
66%
Box shareContext
56%
13%
ConversionContext
7%
2.56
OffsidesContext
2.13
15.60
Shots allowedContext
10.30
4.10
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.78
4.40
BlocksContext
2.78
4.29
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.00
88%
Save rateContext
52%
51%
PossessionIn forecast
54%
399
PassesContext
398
339
Accurate passesContext
330
85%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.98
Team ratingContext
6.74
12.10
FoulsContext
12.20
13.80
Fouls sufferedContext
13.10
1.40
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.20
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Trabzonspor
Rest5 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km1,807 km in 14d
Schedule load5%Low
Konyaspor
Rest5 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel713 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Trabzonspor |
Konyaspor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 5 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 5Süper Lig 2025-2026, 24 Nov | 5Süper Lig 2025-2026, 24 Nov |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 713 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 1,807 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 3 | 1 / 1 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 8 | 6.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Trabzonspor
Confirmed XI
24A. Onana(G)
19M. Eskihellaç
44A. Batagov
5O. Yokuşlu
20Wagner Pina
8B. Bouchouari
42Christ Inao Oulaï
70K. Olaigbe
10E. Muçi
22O. Zubkov
30E. Onuachu
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
13B. Güngördü(G)
12G. Sityá
37M. Eriş
5U. Yazğılı
23Y. Andzouana
21J. Jo
10E. Bardhi
42M. Bjørlo
77M. İbrahimoğlu
40J. Muleka
22M. Nayir
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Trabzonspor
Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Konyaspor
Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.06 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Trabzonspor+0.6 pp
- Draw-0.4 pp
- Konyaspor-0.2 pp
Home / Away this season
Trabzonspor · Home
2.14points per game · 7 home games
- W-D-L
- 4-3-0
- Scored
- 1.57
- Conceded
- 0.43
Konyaspor · Away
1.33points per game · 6 away games
- W-D-L
- 2-2-2
- Scored
- 1.50
- Conceded
- 1.50
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 10 this season
| Opponent | Trabzonspor | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Istanbul Basaksehir | W 4–3 A | W 2–1 H |
| Alanyaspor | D 1–1 H | L 1–2 H |
| Galatasaray | D 0–0 A | L 1–3 A |
| Eyüpspor | W 2–0 H | W 4–1 A |
| Fatih Karagümrük | W 4–3 A | L 0–2 A |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | D 1–1 H | W 3–0 H |
| Samsunspor | D 1–1 H | L 1–3 H |
| Antalyaspor | W 1–0 H | D 0–0 H |
| Kasimpasa | W 1–0 A | D 1–1 A |
| Kocaelispor | W 1–0 H | L 2–3 H |
| Points | 22 of 30 · 2.20 per game | 11 of 30 · 1.10 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings
3 Trabzonspor wins0 draws1 Konyaspor wins
Goals per game2.00 – 1.25
Over 2.575%
Both scored75%
Clean sheets0% · 25%
- 3 Mar 2025Konyaspor1–0Trabzonspor
- 29 Sep 2024Trabzonspor3–2Konyaspor
- 3 Apr 2024Konyaspor1–3Trabzonspor
- 10 Nov 2023Trabzonspor2–1Konyaspor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Trabzonspor | Konyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.69 | 1.38 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.85 | 1.54 | |
| Match goals | 2.54 | 2.92 | 3.01 |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 92% | |
| Over 2.5 | 31% | 62% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 31% | |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 69% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 46% | 15% | |
| Failed to score | 15% | 23% | |
| Games | 13 | 13 |
| Trabzonspor | Konyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.90 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.10 | 1.80 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 2.80 | 3.01 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 90% | |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 30% | |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 30% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Trabzonspor | Konyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.73 | 6.15 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.82 | 4.92 | |
| Match total | 9.55 | 11.07 | 9.64 |
| Over 8.5 | 64% 7/11 | 62% 8/13 | |
| Over 9.5 | 55% 6/11 | 62% 8/13 | |
| Over 10.5 | 27% 3/11 | 54% 7/13 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.62 | 2.08 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.38 | 2.38 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 4.46 | 4.74 |
| Over 3.5 | 62% 8/13 | 62% 8/13 | |
| Over 4.5 | 31% 4/13 | 31% 4/13 | |
| Trabzonspor | Konyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.00 | 6.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.63 | 4.50 | |
| Match total | 9.63 | 11.00 | 9.64 |
| Over 8.5 | 63% 5/8 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 4/8 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 38% 3/8 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.60 | 2.10 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.70 | 2.40 | |
| Match total | 4.30 | 4.50 | 4.74 |
| Over 3.5 | 70% 7/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Alper Akarsu 21 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.71league 4.46
Red cards0.14league 0.27
Cards 5+52%league 48%
Fouls23.0league 26.1
Penalties0.38league 0.28
Home wins43%league 37%
Trabzonspor1 with this referee
Record0-0-1
Cards · opp.2.0 · 5.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- L8 Mar 25H · Hatayspor1–22
Konyaspor3 with this referee
Record0-2-1
Cards · opp.2.3 · 2.0
Pens for · against0 · 2
- D5 Oct 25A · Kasimpasa1–12
- D14 Dec 24A · Rizespor1–12
- L28 Jan 24H · Istanbul Basaksehir2–33
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Trabzonspor13 games · scored 22 · conceded 11
4
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
3
31-45
4
46-60
2
1
61-75
5
4
76-90
Konyaspor13 games · scored 18 · conceded 20
1
2
0-15
4
4
16-30
3
4
31-45
5
4
46-60
5
61-75
5
1
76-90
Trabzonspor10 games · scored 19 · conceded 11
4
0-15
3
3
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
5
4
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 10 · conceded 18
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
2
4
31-45
4
2
46-60
5
61-75
2
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
