Eredivisie Knockout phase Sat, Jan 10 2026 · 17:45 De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
First leg0–1 1–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.87 – 0.40
  • D. Rots 85’
  • 66’ S. Shoretire
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Twente snatch a late draw

Twente entered as favourites, yet PEC Zwolle led 1–0 after 66 minutes through a Shoretire goal. But Rots scored to rescue a draw for Twente. Twente finished with the higher xG (1.87 vs 0.40). On the chances created, Twente deserved more: 2.4 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Twente58%
Draw ✓23%
PEC Zwolle19%

Model vs reality

Twente goals
1
Model 1.91 · xG 1.87
PEC Zwolle goals
1
Model 0.99 · xG 0.40
Total goals
2
Model 2.90 · xG 2.27
Score 1–1
11%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchT. de GraaffPEC Zwolle
8.3
  • RefereeRobin Hensgens
  • CoachesJ. van den Brom · —
  • VenueDe Grolsch Veste
  • Table before kick-offTwente 7th · PEC Zwolle 14th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. S. ShoretireYellow card · Tripping
    53’
  3. ⇄ Y. NamliFor T. Oosting
    57’
  4. K. de RooijYellow card · Foul
    61’
  5. S. Shoretire 0–1
    66’
  6. ⇄ M. PjacaFor S. Ørjasæter
    69’
  7. ⇄ T. van den BeltFor D. Weidmann
    69’
  8. ⇄ R. van WolfswinkelFor K. Hlynsson
    69’
  9. ⇄ J. FaberskiFor K. de Rooij
    73’
  10. B. van RooijYellow card · Roughing
    81’
  11. ⇄ Jamiro MonteiroFor S. Shoretire
    82’
  12. ⇄ O. AertssenFor T. Gooijer
    82’
  13. D. Rots 1–1Assist M. Rots
    85’
  14. R. ThomasYellow card · Foul
    87’
  15. ⇄ L. Vennegoor of HesselinkFor S. Lammers
    90+1’
  16. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Twente24 shots · 14 in box, 10 outside
PEC Zwolle3 shots · 2 in box, 1 outside
TwentePEC Zwolle
64% Possession 36%
1.87 Expected goals (xG) 0.40
2.39 Expected points (xPts) 0.41
24 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 2
10 Shots off target 1
7 Blocked shots 0
14 Shots inside the box 2
10 Shots outside the box 1
574 Passes 321
86% Pass accuracy 73%
5 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.00 Team rating 6.90

Line-ups

Twente 4-2-3-1

16.3 L. Unnerstall(G)
397.2 M. Rots A 37.3 R. Pröpper 237.0 S. Lemkin 287.3 B. van Rooij
427.0 D. Weidmann ↓69’ 46.7 M. Kjølø
277.2 S. Ørjasæter ↓69’ 147.3 K. Hlynsson ↓69’ 117.6 D. Rots
106.5 S. Lammers ↓90’
  • 1L. Unnerstall (G)6.3
  • 39M. RotsA7.2
  • 3R. Pröpper7.3
  • 23S. Lemkin7.0
  • 28B. van Rooij7.3
  • 42D. Weidmann↓69’7.0
  • 4M. Kjølø6.7
  • 27S. Ørjasæter↓69’7.2
  • 14K. Hlynsson↓69’7.3
  • 11D. Rots7.6
  • 10S. Lammers↓90’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 20T. van den Belt↑69’6.3
  • 7M. Pjaca↑69’7.0
  • 9R. van Wolfswinkel↑69’6.6
  • 25L. Vennegoor of Hesselink↑90’

Unused: S. Karssies, P. Tytoń, Ruud Nijstad, Guilherme Peixoto, M. Bruns, A. Verschueren, N. Ünüvar

Coach: J. van den Brom

PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1

168.3★ T. de Graaff(G)
26.9 S. Floranus 46.9 A. MacNulty 286.7 S. Graves 67.9 T. Gooijer ↓82’
86.3 Z. Buurmeester 306.5 R. Thomas
226.5 K. de Rooij ↓73’ 256.7 T. Oosting ↓57’ 77.3 S. Shoretire ↓82’
106.2 Koen Kostons
  • 16T. de Graaff (G) ★8.3
  • 2S. Floranus6.9
  • 4A. MacNulty6.9
  • 28S. Graves6.7
  • 6T. Gooijer↓82’7.9
  • 8Z. Buurmeester6.3
  • 30R. Thomas6.5
  • 22K. de Rooij↓73’6.5
  • 25T. Oosting↓57’6.7
  • 7S. Shoretire↓82’7.3
  • 10Koen Kostons6.2

Substitutes used

  • 9Y. Namli↑57’6.3
  • 19J. Faberski↑73’6.6
  • 3O. Aertssen↑82’6.3
  • 35Jamiro Monteiro↑82’6.5

Unused: Len Bakker, D. Verduin, D. Ruward, D. Mbayo, J. Pereira da Gama, N. Fichtinger, G. Reiziger, T. Buitink

Player stats

Top rated
T. de GraaffPEC Zwolle8.3
2nd
T. GooijerPEC Zwolle7.9
3rd
D. RotsTwente7.6

Twente

PEC Zwolle

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.