Udinese vs Como – 22 Aug 2026

Serie A Gameweek 1 Sat, Aug 22 · 17:30 Bluenergy Stadium, Udine

Udinese

1–1Full time

Como

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Como were slight favourites.

Como were the stronger side on L90 Strength (64 vs 40). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Como. Udinese had 90 days of rest, Como 89.9 and had to travel 322 km. Conditions were neutral.

Away travel322 kmRest days90 · 89.9Matches / 14d0 · 0

Udinese28%

Draw25%

Como47%

Expected goals 1.17 – 1.61

Udinese31%

Draw26%

Como44%

Expected goals 1.20 – 1.49

Udinese28%

Draw25%

Como47%

Expected goals 1.17 – 1.59

Udinese22%

Draw23%

Como55%

Expected goals 1.05 – 1.80

Udinese29%

Draw25%

Como46%

Expected goals 1.17 – 1.54

Over 2.5 53% Both score 55% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Udine)

24°COvercast

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 18 km/h
Humidity 56%

Referee · ItalyAlberto Ruben Arena

Cards per match 3.3
Penalties per match 0.17
Matches 12

Team strength

Udinese

Como

40 L90 StrengthIn forecast 64

32 Current StrengthIn forecast 65

22 AttackIn forecast 72

18 DefenceIn forecast 67

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Udinese

Attack—

Defense risk—

Como

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Udinese

Como

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.90

0.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.80

1.16 xGVia Att/Def 1.61

1.35 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.80

+0.04 Goals minus xGContext +0.29

50% Scored inContext 80%

50% Clean sheetsContext 60%

11.60 ShotsContext 15.60

4.40 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.30

38% On target shareContext 34%

7.60 Shots in the boxContext 10.90

65% Box shareContext 71%

10% ConversionContext 12%

2.57 OffsidesContext 2.13

14.60 Shots allowedContext 7.70

3.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 2.33

4.10 BlocksContext 3.00

3.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.00

79% Save rateContext 74%

46% PossessionIn forecast 63%

397 PassesContext 504

336 Accurate passesContext 448

85% Pass accuracyContext 89%

6.90 Team ratingContext 6.93

12.00 FoulsContext 11.60

10.00 Fouls sufferedContext 12.80

2.10 Yellow cardsContext 2.20

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Udinese

Rest90 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Como

Rest89.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel322 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Udinese	Como
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	90Serie A 2025-2026, 24 May	89.9Serie A 2025-2026, 24 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	322 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	7	8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Udinese Confirmed XI

3-4-2-1

40M. Okoye(G)

28O. Solet 16M. Palma 14J. Abankwah

11H. Kamara 24J. Piotrowski 8J. Karlström 23M. Vojvoda

32J. Ekkelenkamp 10N. Zaniolo

7Idrissa Gueye

+3 more reported missing outside this XI

Como Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1J. Butez(G)

3Álex Valle 99T. Chalobah 4Jacobo Ramón 27Yan Couto

6Luis Milla 5M. Perrone

17Jesús Rodríguez 20M. Baturina 10N. Paz

9A. Douvikas

+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Udinese Absences are shown before kick-off

Como Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Udinese-0.2 pp
Draw-0.1 pp
Como+0.3 pp

Home / Away this season

Udinese · Home No home games yet this season.

Como · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

1 Udinese wins1 draws2 Como wins

Goals per game0.50 – 1.25 Over 2.525% Both scored25% Clean sheets50% · 50%

6 Apr 2026Udinese0–0Como
3 Jan 2026Como1–0Udinese
20 Jan 2025Como4–1Udinese
1 Sep 2024Udinese1–0Como

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Udinese	Como	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.78
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	53%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	55%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	Udinese	Como	Forecast
Scored per game	1.20	1.90
Conceded per game	0.70	0.80
Match goals	1.90	2.70	2.78
Over 1.5	50%	60%
Over 2.5	20%	50%	53%
Over 3.5	10%	30%
Both teams scored	10%	40%	55%
Clean sheets	50%	60%
Failed to score	50%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Udinese	Como
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	Udinese	Como
Corners
Corners won	4.20	5.70
Corners conceded	4.60	2.60
Match total	8.80	8.30
Over 8.5	40% 4/10	30% 3/10
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	20% 2/10	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	2.20	2.20
Opponent cards	1.40	2.80
Match total	3.60	5.00
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Alberto Ruben Arena Italy · 12 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.25

Red cards0.08

Cards 5+8%

Fouls21.8

Penalties0.17

Home wins42%

Udinese2 with this referee

Record0-1-1 Cards · opp.2.0 · 1.5 Pens for · against0 · 1

L3 Jan 26A · Como0–13
D5 Oct 25H · Cagliari1–11

Como2 with this referee

Record2-0-0 Cards · opp.1.0 · 2.0 Pens for · against1 · 0

W3 Jan 26H · Udinese1–01
W27 Apr 25H · Genoa1–01

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.