Serie A Gameweek 33 Sat, Apr 18 2026 · 14:00 Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
Udinese
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.94 – 1.23
Parma
  • 51’ N. Elphege
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Elphege goal decides it for Parma

Udinese entered as favourites, but Parma won 1–0 through a Elphege goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.94 and 1.23. On the chances created, Udinese deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Udinese50%
Draw30%
Parma ✓20%

Model vs reality

Udinese goals
0
Model 1.35 · xG 0.94
Parma goals
1
Model 0.75 · xG 1.23
Total goals
1
Model 2.10 · xG 2.17
Score 0–1
9%
Most likely 1–0 (16%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 35%
Both scored
No
Model 40%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchGabriel StrefezzaParma · 1 assist
8.0
  • RefereeDavide Di Marco
  • VenueBluenergy Stadium
  • Table before kick-offUdinese 11th · Parma 14th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ N. ElphegeFor Mateo Pellegrino
    46’
  3. N. Elphege 0–1Assist Gabriel Strefezza
    51’
  4. ⇄ Idrissa GueyeFor J. Piotrowski
    64’
  5. ⇄ Juan ArizalaFor H. Kamara
    64’
  6. ⇄ C. OrdoñezFor Adrián Bernabé
    66’
  7. ⇄ J. OndrejkaFor Gabriel Strefezza
    66’
  8. N. ZanioloYellow card · Tripping
    71’
  9. ⇄ N. EstévezFor H. Nicolussi
    72’
  10. ⇄ Oier ZarragaFor K. Ehizibue
    73’
  11. ⇄ A. BuksaFor J. Ekkelenkamp
    73’
  12. ⇄ Sascha BritschgiFor A. Ndiaye
    75’
  13. ⇄ B. MlacicFor T. Kristensen
    81’
  14. J. KarlströmYellow card
    84’
  15. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Udinese12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
Parma10 shots · 8 in box, 2 outside
UdineseParma
56% Possession 44%
0.94 Expected goals (xG) 1.23
1.14 Expected points (xPts) 1.57
12 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 1
8 Shots off target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
8 Shots inside the box 8
4 Shots outside the box 2
423 Passes 335
87% Pass accuracy 83%
9 Corners 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.68 Team rating 6.95

Line-ups

Udinese 3-4-1-2

406.2 M. Okoye(G)
287.6 O. Solet 276.5 C. Kabasele 316.5 T. Kristensen ↓81’
116.9 H. Kamara ↓64’ 246.6 J. Piotrowski ↓64’ 86.6 J. Karlström 196.6 K. Ehizibue ↓73’
106.3 N. Zaniolo
147.0 A. Atta 326.9 J. Ekkelenkamp ↓73’
  • 40M. Okoye (G)6.2
  • 28O. Solet7.6
  • 27C. Kabasele6.5
  • 31T. Kristensen↓81’6.5
  • 11H. Kamara↓64’6.9
  • 24J. Piotrowski↓64’6.6
  • 8J. Karlström6.6
  • 19K. Ehizibue↓73’6.6
  • 10N. Zaniolo6.3
  • 14A. Atta7.0
  • 32J. Ekkelenkamp↓73’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 20Juan Arizala↑64’6.9
  • 22B. Mlacic↑81’6.5
  • 6Oier Zarraga↑73’6.7
  • 18A. Buksa↑73’6.7
  • 7Idrissa Gueye↑64’6.0

Unused: R. Sava, D. Padelli, L. Miller, A. Camara, V. Bayo

Parma 3-5-2

316.9 Z. Suzuki(G)
37.0 A. Ndiaye ↓75’ 376.7 Mariano Troilo 397.0 A. Circati
147.0 E. Valeri 416.9 H. Nicolussi ↓72’ 167.2 L. Keita 107.0 Adrián Bernabé ↓66’ 156.7 E. Delprato
78.0★ Gabriel Strefezza A↓66’ 96.3 Mateo Pellegrino ↓46’
  • 31Z. Suzuki (G)6.9
  • 3A. Ndiaye↓75’7.0
  • 37Mariano Troilo6.7
  • 39A. Circati7.0
  • 14E. Valeri7.0
  • 41H. Nicolussi↓72’6.9
  • 16L. Keita7.2
  • 10Adrián Bernabé↓66’7.0
  • 15E. Delprato6.7
  • 7Gabriel Strefezza ★A↓66’8.0
  • 9Mateo Pellegrino↓46’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 23N. Elphege↑46’7.5
  • 27Sascha Britschgi↑75’6.3
  • 24C. Ordoñez↑66’6.2
  • 8N. Estévez↑72’6.5
  • 17J. Ondrejka↑66’6.3

Unused: E. Corvi, F. Rinaldi, L. Valenti, O. Sørensen, F. Carboni, G. Oristanio, P. Almqvist

Player stats

Top rated
Gabriel StrefezzaParma8.0
2nd
O. SoletUdinese7.6
3rd
N. ElphegeParma7.5

Udinese

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Okoye G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 85% 13 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
O. Solet D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 92% 72 2 1 2/2 1/0 7.6
C. Kabasele D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 31 1 1 1/1 1/0 6.5
T. Kristensen D 81 0 0 1 (0) 0 88% 43 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.5
H. Kamara D 64 0 0 1 (0) 1 82% 34 1 0 1/1 1/0 6.9
J. Piotrowski M 64 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 25 1 1 0/1 1/0 6.6
J. Karlström M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 87% 45 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
K. Ehizibue D 73 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 24 1 2 0/1 0/0 6.6
N. Zaniolo M 90 0 0 3 (0) 2 81% 36 0 0 2/7 3/4 6.3
A. Atta M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 87% 53 0 1 4/6 1/0 7.0
J. Ekkelenkamp M 73 0 0 1 (0) 0 80% 20 1 0 1/1 0/1 6.9
Juan Arizala M 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 11 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
B. Mlacic D 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Oier Zarraga M 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Buksa F 17 0 0 0 (0) 1 50% 2 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
Idrissa Gueye F 26 0 0 2 (1) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.0

Parma

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Z. Suzuki G 90 0 0 2 sv 1 65% 34 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
A. Ndiaye D 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 36 1 1 1/1 0/0 7.0
Mariano Troilo D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 38 0 0 0/0 3/1 6.7
A. Circati D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 90% 29 2 1 0/0 0/0 7.0
E. Valeri D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 23 2 2 0/1 1/0 7.0
H. Nicolussi M 72 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 49 3 0 2/3 0/0 6.9
L. Keita M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 40 2 3 0/0 0/2 7.2
Adrián Bernabé M 66 0 0 0 (0) 2 92% 26 3 1 0/3 0/4 7.0
E. Delprato D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 11 0 1 1/2 0/0 6.7
Gabriel Strefezza F 66 0 1 1 (0) 3 67% 27 4 0 1/2 1/1 8.0
Mateo Pellegrino F 46 0 0 1 (0) 1 67% 6 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.3
N. Elphege F 44 1 0 2 (1) 0 57% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
Sascha Britschgi M 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
C. Ordoñez M 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
N. Estévez M 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
J. Ondrejka F 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.