Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Dec 20 2025 · 19:45 Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels
First leg4–1 2–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.09 – 0.81
  • P. David 36’
  • A. Khalaili 75’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Union St. Gilloise beat Zulte Waregem

Union St. Gilloise entered as clear favourites and won 2–0 through goals from David and Khalaili. The chances were even, with xG of 1.09 and 0.81. On the chances created, Zulte Waregem deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Union St. Gilloise ✓62%
Draw22%
Zulte Waregem16%

Model vs reality

Union St. Gilloise goals
2
Model 1.96 · xG 1.09
Zulte Waregem goals
0
Model 0.89 · xG 0.81
Total goals
2
Model 2.85 · xG 1.90
Score 2–0
11%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchO. NiangUnion St. Gilloise · 1 assist
8.0
  • RefereeNathan Verboomen
  • VenueStade Joseph Mariën
  • Table before kick-offUnion St. Gilloise 1st · Zulte Waregem 10th

Timeline

  1. E. LofolomoYellow card
    15’
  2. P. David 1–0Assist A. Ait El Hadj
    36’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. VAR A. KhalailiGoal Disallowed - offside
    56’
  5. ⇄ R. SchoofsFor A. Ait El Hadj
    69’
  6. ⇄ K. RodríguezFor M. Giger
    70’
  7. ⇄ N. MituljikićFor M. Aké
    74’
  8. A. Khalaili 2–0Assist O. Niang
    75’
  9. C. BurgessYellow card
    79’
  10. ⇄ G. da Silva CarvalhoFor O. Niang
    87’
  11. ⇄ L. PatrisFor A. Khalaili
    87’
  12. ⇄ T. HedlFor T. Claes
    87’
  13. ⇄ B. De JaegereFor W. Paugain
    88’
  14. ⇄ I. PavlićFor P. David
    90+4’
  15. L. LemoineYellow card
    90+5’
  16. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

Union St. Gilloise8 shots · 8 in box
Zulte Waregem9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
Union St. GilloiseZulte Waregem
42% Possession 58%
1.09 Expected goals (xG) 0.81
1.57 Expected points (xPts) 1.12
8 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 0
1 Shots off target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
8 Shots inside the box 6
0 Shots outside the box 3
376 Passes 531
75% Pass accuracy 80%
4 Corners 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Fouls 6
5 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.13 Team rating 6.52

Line-ups

Union St. Gilloise 3-4-2-1

377.2 K. Scherpen(G)
486.9 F. Leysen 167.3 C. Burgess 266.3 R. Sykes
228.0★ O. Niang A↓87’ 47.7 M. Rasmussen 67.3 K. Van de Perre 257.3 A. Khalaili ↓87’
107.0 A. Ait El Hadj A↓69’ 206.0 M. Giger ↓70’
127.6 P. David ↓90’
  • 37K. Scherpen (G)7.2
  • 48F. Leysen6.9
  • 16C. Burgess7.3
  • 26R. Sykes6.3
  • 22O. Niang ★A↓87’8.0
  • 4M. Rasmussen7.7
  • 6K. Van de Perre7.3
  • 25A. Khalaili↓87’7.3
  • 10A. Ait El HadjA↓69’7.0
  • 20M. Giger↓70’6.0
  • 12P. David↓90’7.6

Substitutes used

  • 17R. Schoofs↑69’6.2
  • 27L. Patris↑87’6.7
  • 14I. Pavlić↑90’
  • 13K. Rodríguez↑70’6.3
  • 11G. da Silva Carvalho↑87’6.6

Unused: V. Chambaere, M. Barry, G. François, M. Fuseini

Zulte Waregem 3-4-3

136.7 B. Gabriël(G)
56.3 Jakob Kiilerich 46.3 L. Lemoine 65.9 E. Lofolomo
177.0 E. Soglo 86.2 T. Claes ↓87’ 366.9 S. Ujka 127.0 W. Paugain ↓88’
396.2 M. Aké ↓74’ 186.3 A. Ementa 246.9 Jeppe Erenbjerg
  • 13B. Gabriël (G)6.7
  • 5Jakob Kiilerich6.3
  • 4L. Lemoine6.3
  • 6E. Lofolomo5.9
  • 17E. Soglo7.0
  • 8T. Claes↓87’6.2
  • 36S. Ujka6.9
  • 12W. Paugain↓88’7.0
  • 39M. Aké↓74’6.2
  • 18A. Ementa6.3
  • 24Jeppe Erenbjerg6.9

Substitutes used

  • 7N. Mituljikić↑74’6.2
  • 20T. Hedl↑87’6.5

Unused: L. Bostyn, Y. Cappelle, Benoit De Jaegere, Tuur Dierickx, S. Gavriel, Siebe Van Keymolen, J. Vossen

Player stats

Top rated
O. NiangUnion St. Gilloise8.0
2nd
M. RasmussenUnion St. Gilloise7.7
3rd
P. DavidUnion St. Gilloise7.6

Union St. Gilloise

Zulte Waregem

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.