Eredivisie Knockout phase Sun, Nov 2 2025 · 15:45 Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Utrecht
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.16 – 1.91
NEC Nijmegen
  • Miguel Rodríguez 41’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Rodríguez goal decides it for Utrecht

Utrecht entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Rodríguez goal. Utrecht won despite the lower xG; NEC Nijmegen created the better chances (1.91 vs 1.16). On the chances created, NEC Nijmegen deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Utrecht ✓46%
Draw26%
NEC Nijmegen29%

Model vs reality

Utrecht goals
1
Model 1.64 · xG 1.16
NEC Nijmegen goals
0
Model 1.27 · xG 1.91
Total goals
1
Model 2.90 · xG 3.07
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 55%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchMiguel RodríguezUtrecht · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeSerdar Gozubuyuk
  • VenueStadion Galgenwaard
  • Table before kick-offUtrecht 10th · NEC Nijmegen 7th

Timeline

  1. Miguel Rodríguez 1–0Assist A. Blake
    41’
  2. B. LinssenYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    42’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. A. BlakeYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    53’
  5. ⇄ K. ShiogaiFor K. Ogawa
    60’
  6. ⇄ Y. CathlineFor A. Blake
    65’
  7. ⇄ N. LebretonFor B. Linssen
    72’
  8. ⇄ V. MisidjanFor T. Ouwejan
    73’
  9. P. SandlerYellow card · Foul
    75’
  10. ⇄ D. MinFor S. Haller
    75’
  11. ⇄ D. FonvilleFor P. Sandler
    83’
  12. ✕ T. CheryMissed penalty
    87’
  13. ⇄ D. van den BergFor G. Zechiël
    90’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Utrecht11 shots · 8 in box, 3 outside
NEC Nijmegen16 shots · 7 in box, 9 outside
UtrechtNEC Nijmegen
39% Possession 61%
1.16 Expected goals (xG) 1.91
0.91 Expected points (xPts) 1.87
11 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
5 Shots off target 7
2 Blocked shots 4
8 Shots inside the box 7
3 Shots outside the box 9
303 Passes 478
66% Pass accuracy 79%
2 Corners 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.95 Team rating 6.47

Line-ups

Utrecht 4-3-3

17.5 V. Barkas(G)
167.3 S. El Karouani 246.9 N. Viergever 406.2 M. Didden 26.9 S. Horemans
217.0 G. Zechiël ↓90’ 276.3 A. Engwanda 207.2 D. de Wit
156.6 A. Blake A↓65’ 916.6 S. Haller ↓75’ 228.0★ Miguel Rodríguez
  • 1V. Barkas (G)7.5
  • 16S. El Karouani7.3
  • 24N. Viergever6.9
  • 40M. Didden6.2
  • 2S. Horemans6.9
  • 21G. Zechiël↓90’7.0
  • 27A. Engwanda6.3
  • 20D. de Wit7.2
  • 15A. BlakeA↓65’6.6
  • 91S. Haller↓75’6.6
  • 22Miguel Rodríguez ★8.0

Substitutes used

  • 10Y. Cathline↑65’6.3
  • 6D. van den Berg↑90’
  • 9D. Min↑75’6.7

Unused: K. Gadellaa, M. Brouwer, M. Eerdhuijzen, D. Murkin, K. Finnsson, C. Bozdoğan, Z. Iqbal, M. Jonathans

NEC Nijmegen 3-4-2-1

16.7 G. Crettaz(G)
46.3 A. Kaplan 36.5 P. Sandler ↓83’ 147.0 E. Dasa
56.5 T. Ouwejan ↓73’ 236.0 K. Sano 67.3 D. Nejašmić 256.3 S. Ouaissa
306.3 B. Linssen ↓72’ 106.2 T. Chery
186.0 K. Ogawa ↓60’
  • 1G. Crettaz (G)6.7
  • 4A. Kaplan6.3
  • 3P. Sandler↓83’6.5
  • 14E. Dasa7.0
  • 5T. Ouwejan↓73’6.5
  • 23K. Sano6.0
  • 6D. Nejašmić7.3
  • 25S. Ouaissa6.3
  • 30B. Linssen↓72’6.3
  • 10T. Chery6.2
  • 18K. Ogawa↓60’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 9K. Shiogai↑60’6.3
  • 24D. Fonville↑83’6.3
  • 20N. Lebreton↑72’6.6
  • 7V. Misidjan↑73’6.3

Unused: J. Cillessen, R. Janse, B. Pereira, J. Willems, Róber, D. Proper, A. Darellas, Vito van Crooij

Player stats

Top rated
Miguel RodríguezUtrecht8.0
2nd
V. BarkasUtrecht7.5
3rd
S. El KarouaniUtrecht7.3

Utrecht

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
V. Barkas G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 64% 39 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.5
S. El Karouani D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 74% 23 5 0 0/0 0/1 7.3
N. Viergever D 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 79% 24 1 2 0/0 0/0 6.9
M. Didden D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 35 0 0 0/0 3/0 6.2
S. Horemans D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 68% 22 3 4 0/0 0/0 6.9
G. Zechiël M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 54% 26 2 1 0/0 3/3 7.0
A. Engwanda M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 21 2 2 0/0 2/0 6.3
D. de Wit M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 52% 33 1 1 0/2 0/1 7.2
A. Blake F 65 0 1 1 (0) 2 65% 17 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.6
S. Haller F 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 29 0 1 1/1 1/1 6.6
Miguel Rodríguez F 90 1 0 2 (1) 2 63% 24 0 1 2/5 1/3 8.0
Y. Cathline F 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
D. van den Berg M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
D. Min F 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 2/2 0/0 6.7

NEC Nijmegen

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Crettaz G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 69% 64 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Kaplan D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 84% 49 1 0 3/4 2/1 6.3
P. Sandler D 83 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 70 0 1 0/0 2/1 6.5
E. Dasa D 90 0 0 1 (0) 3 82% 45 0 4 0/0 0/1 7.0
T. Ouwejan D 73 0 0 1 (0) 2 63% 16 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.5
K. Sano M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 84% 50 0 2 0/1 2/2 6.0
D. Nejašmić M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 85 3 2 1/1 1/1 7.3
S. Ouaissa M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 88% 17 0 1 2/5 3/1 6.3
B. Linssen F 72 0 0 3 (2) 1 67% 12 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
T. Chery M 90 0 0 3 (1) 0 70% 44 1 0 1/2 1/0 6.2
K. Ogawa F 60 0 0 1 (0) 1 78% 9 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.0
K. Shiogai F 30 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 1/1 1/1 6.3
D. Fonville D 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
N. Lebreton M 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 2/1 6.6
V. Misidjan F 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.