La Liga Gameweek 30 Sun, Apr 5 2026 · 15:15 Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Valencia
2–3 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.81 – 1.04
Celta Vigo
  • G. Rodríguez 12’, 90+3’
  • 56’ I. Moriba
  • 60’ Fer López
  • 81’ W. Swedberg
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Celta Vigo come from behind to beat Valencia

Valencia led 1–0 at half-time through a Rodríguez goal. But Moriba, López and Swedberg scored to turn it around for Celta Vigo, who won 3–2. The chances were even, with xG of 0.81 and 1.04. On the chances created, Valencia deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Valencia36%
Draw30%
Celta Vigo ✓34%

Model vs reality

Valencia goals
2
Model 1.18 · xG 0.81
Celta Vigo goals
3
Model 1.14 · xG 1.04
Total goals
5
Model 2.32 · xG 1.85
Score 2–3
2%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 41%
Both scored
Yes
Model 48%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchG. RodríguezValencia · 2 goals
8.9
  • RefereeIosu Galech Apezteguia
  • VenueEstadio de Mestalla
  • Table before kick-offValencia 13th · Celta Vigo 6th

Timeline

  1. G. Rodríguez 1–0
    12’
  2. Javi RodríguezYellow card
    43’
  3. Marcos AlonsoYellow card · Roughing
    44’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ Jones El-AbdellaouiFor Javi Rodríguez
    46’
  6. ⇄ W. SwedbergFor Hugo Álvarez
    46’
  7. ⇄ Fer LópezFor Pablo Durán
    46’
  8. I. Moriba 1–1
    56’
  9. Fer López 1–2Assist W. Swedberg
    60’
  10. ⇄ U. SadiqFor Hugo Duro
    63’
  11. ⇄ F. UgrinicFor Unai Núñez
    63’
  12. ⇄ Thierry CorreiaFor André Almeida
    63’
  13. ⇄ L. BeltránFor Javi Guerra
    64’
  14. Hugo SoteloYellow card · Foul
    71’
  15. ⇄ Borja IglesiasFor Ferran Jutglà
    71’
  16. ⇄ A. DanjumaFor José Gayà
    78’
  17. W. Swedberg 1–3Assist I. Moriba
    81’
  18. G. RodríguezYellow card · Roughing
    84’
  19. ⇄ Yoel LagoFor Óscar Mingueza
    88’
  20. G. Rodríguez 2–3Assist U. Sadiq
    90+3’
  21. Full time · 2–3

Team stats

Valencia13 shots · 7 in box, 6 outside
Celta Vigo9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
ValenciaCelta Vigo
42% Possession 58%
0.81 Expected goals (xG) 1.04
1.15 Expected points (xPts) 1.53
13 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
7 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
7 Shots inside the box 6
6 Shots outside the box 3
343 Passes 500
81% Pass accuracy 88%
6 Corners 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Fouls 20
0 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.66 Team rating 6.62

Line-ups

Valencia 4-4-2

16.2 S. Dimitrievski(G)
146.3 José Gayà ↓78’ 246.5 E. Cömert 56.0 César Tárrega 46.3 Unai Núñez ↓63’
106.5 André Almeida ↓63’ 28.9★ G. Rodríguez 86.2 Javi Guerra ↓64’ 116.9 Luis Rioja
176.3 L. Ramazani 96.9 Hugo Duro ↓63’
  • 1S. Dimitrievski (G)6.2
  • 14José Gayà↓78’6.3
  • 24E. Cömert6.5
  • 5César Tárrega6.0
  • 4Unai Núñez↓63’6.3
  • 10André Almeida↓63’6.5
  • 2G. Rodríguez ★8.9
  • 8Javi Guerra↓64’6.2
  • 11Luis Rioja6.9
  • 17L. Ramazani6.3
  • 9Hugo Duro↓63’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 23F. Ugrinic↑63’6.3
  • 7A. Danjuma↑78’6.6
  • 15L. Beltrán↑64’6.7
  • 6U. SadiqA↑63’7.0
  • 12Thierry Correia↑63’6.6

Unused: Diego López, Pepelu, Jesús Vázquez, R. Saravia, Dani Raba, B. Santamaría, Cristian Rivero

Celta Vigo 3-4-3

135.3 I. Radu(G)
206.3 Marcos Alonso 46.3 J. Aidoo 326.5 Javi Rodríguez ↓46’
56.7 Sergio Carreira 67.2 I. Moriba A 227.2 Hugo Sotelo 36.5 Óscar Mingueza ↓88’
236.7 Hugo Álvarez ↓46’ 186.7 Pablo Durán ↓46’ 95.9 Ferran Jutglà ↓71’
  • 13I. Radu (G)5.3
  • 20Marcos Alonso6.3
  • 4J. Aidoo6.3
  • 32Javi Rodríguez↓46’6.5
  • 5Sergio Carreira6.7
  • 6I. MoribaA7.2
  • 22Hugo Sotelo7.2
  • 3Óscar Mingueza↓88’6.5
  • 23Hugo Álvarez↓46’6.7
  • 18Pablo Durán↓46’6.7
  • 9Ferran Jutglà↓71’5.9

Substitutes used

  • 7Borja Iglesias↑71’6.5
  • 8Fer López↑46’7.9
  • 39Jones El-Abdellaoui↑46’6.9
  • 29Yoel Lago↑88’
  • 19W. SwedbergA↑46’7.9

Unused: Javi Rueda, Andrés Antañón, Carlos Domínguez, Iván Villar, Manu Fernández, F. Cervi, Alvaro Núñez

Player stats

Top rated
G. RodríguezValencia8.9
2nd
Fer LópezCelta Vigo7.9
3rd
W. SwedbergCelta Vigo7.9

Valencia

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. Dimitrievski G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 78% 32 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
José Gayà D 78 0 0 1 (0) 0 65% 23 1 0 0/0 1/2 6.3
E. Cömert D 90 0 0 3 (1) 1 76% 51 3 1 0/0 2/1 6.5
César Tárrega D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 30 1 0 0/0 3/3 6.0
Unai Núñez D 63 0 0 0 (0) 1 74% 23 2 1 0/1 2/1 6.3
André Almeida M 63 0 0 1 (1) 1 92% 25 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.5
G. Rodríguez M 90 2 0 2 (2) 1 88% 40 6 0 0/1 1/3 8.9
Javi Guerra M 64 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 17 1 1 0/0 1/1 6.2
Luis Rioja F 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 81% 31 2 1 2/2 2/2 6.9
L. Ramazani F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 86% 14 1 0 0/1 0/2 6.3
Hugo Duro F 63 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 6 1 0 0/0 0/2 6.9
F. Ugrinic M 27 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 14 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
A. Danjuma F 12 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 9 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.6
L. Beltrán F 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 11 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
U. Sadiq F 27 0 1 2 (0) 1 67% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
Thierry Correia D 27 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 11 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6

Celta Vigo

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
I. Radu G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 48% 25 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.3
Marcos Alonso D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 82 0 2 0/0 2/0 6.3
J. Aidoo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 48 1 2 0/0 1/0 6.3
Javi Rodríguez D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 42 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
Sergio Carreira D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 63 0 1 0/1 0/2 6.7
I. Moriba M 90 1 1 1 (1) 2 83% 40 4 0 1/1 3/2 7.2
Hugo Sotelo M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 96% 56 2 0 0/0 2/1 7.2
Óscar Mingueza D 88 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 46 0 0 1/2 2/2 6.5
Hugo Álvarez M 46 0 0 0 (0) 1 97% 33 2 0 2/3 1/1 6.7
Pablo Durán F 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Ferran Jutglà F 71 0 0 3 (1) 1 79% 19 0 1 1/2 4/1 5.9
Borja Iglesias F 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 2/1 6.5
Fer López M 44 1 0 2 (1) 1 76% 17 1 1 0/0 0/0 7.9
Jones El-Abdellaoui F 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
Yoel Lago M 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 1 1 0/0 0/1 —
W. Swedberg M 44 1 1 2 (2) 1 86% 14 1 0 1/4 1/2 7.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.