La Liga Gameweek 17 Fri, Dec 19 2025 · 20:00 Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
1–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.42 – 0.19
  • Hugo Duro 52’
  • 23’ Samú Costa
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Valencia and Mallorca share the points

Valencia entered as narrow favourites, yet Mallorca led 1–0 at half-time through a Costa goal. But Duro scored to rescue a draw for Valencia. Valencia finished with the higher xG (1.42 vs 0.19). On the chances created, Valencia deserved more: 2.3 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Valencia44%
Draw ✓28%
Mallorca28%

Model vs reality

Valencia goals
1
Model 1.40 · xG 1.42
Mallorca goals
1
Model 1.08 · xG 0.19
Total goals
2
Model 2.48 · xG 1.61
Score 1–1
13%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 45%
Both scored
Yes
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchPepeluValencia
8.3
  • RefereeAlejandro Quintero Gonzalez
  • Coaches— · Arrasate
  • VenueEstadio de Mestalla
  • Table before kick-offValencia 17th · Mallorca 14th

Timeline

  1. Samú Costa 0–1Assist Raíllo
    23’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. Samú CostaYellow card · Holding
    46’
  4. Hugo Duro 1–1Assist Thierry Correia
    52’
  5. ⇄ DarderFor Manu Morlanes
    58’
  6. ⇄ M. KumbullaFor J. Virgili
    66’
  7. F. UgrinicYellow card · Tripping
    66’
  8. ⇄ L. RamazaniFor Luis Rioja
    72’
  9. ⇄ Javi GuerraFor F. Ugrinic
    72’
  10. ⇄ D. FoulquierFor Thierry Correia
    76’
  11. ⇄ A. DanjumaFor André Almeida
    76’
  12. Leo RománYellow card · Delay of game
    79’
  13. Mateo JosephYellow card · Holding
    87’
  14. ⇄ Mateu MoreyFor Antonio Sánchez
    87’
  15. ⇄ T. AsanoFor Mateo Joseph
    87’
  16. ⇄ Diego LópezFor L. Beltrán
    87’
  17. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Valencia17 shots · 9 in box, 8 outside
Mallorca4 shots · 2 in box, 2 outside
ValenciaMallorca
71% Possession 29%
1.42 Expected goals (xG) 0.19
2.34 Expected points (xPts) 0.40
17 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 2
5 Shots off target 1
10 Blocked shots 1
9 Shots inside the box 2
8 Shots outside the box 2
568 Passes 241
88% Pass accuracy 71%
12 Corners 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 4
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.87 Team rating 6.79

Line-ups

Valencia 4-4-2

256.3 Julen Agirrezabala(G)
146.6 José Gayà 37.2 Copete 56.3 César Tárrega 126.3 Thierry Correia A↓76’
106.9 André Almeida ↓76’ 188.3★ Pepelu 236.6 F. Ugrinic ↓72’ 117.2 Luis Rioja ↓72’
156.3 L. Beltrán ↓87’ 97.7 Hugo Duro
  • 25Julen Agirrezabala (G)6.3
  • 14José Gayà6.6
  • 3Copete7.2
  • 5César Tárrega6.3
  • 12Thierry CorreiaA↓76’6.3
  • 10André Almeida↓76’6.9
  • 18Pepelu ★8.3
  • 23F. Ugrinic↓72’6.6
  • 11Luis Rioja↓72’7.2
  • 15L. Beltrán↓87’6.3
  • 9Hugo Duro7.7

Substitutes used

  • 17L. Ramazani↑72’6.5
  • 8Javi Guerra↑72’6.3
  • 20D. Foulquier↑76’6.6
  • 16Diego López↑87’6.3
  • 7A. Danjuma↑76’7.0

Unused: Vicent Abril, Cristian Rivero, Jesús Vázquez, M. Diakhaby, Rubén Iranzo, B. Santamaría, Dani Raba

Mallorca 4-2-3-1

16.6 Leo Román(G)
227.2 J. Mojica 217.2 Raíllo A 246.5 M. Valjent 236.3 Pablo Maffeo
128.2 Samú Costa 86.7 Manu Morlanes ↓58’
176.3 J. Virgili ↓66’ 186.2 Mateo Joseph ↓87’ 66.9 Antonio Sánchez ↓87’
76.6 V. Muriqi
  • 1Leo Román (G)6.6
  • 22J. Mojica7.2
  • 21RaílloA7.2
  • 24M. Valjent6.5
  • 23Pablo Maffeo6.3
  • 12Samú Costa8.2
  • 8Manu Morlanes↓58’6.7
  • 17J. Virgili↓66’6.3
  • 18Mateo Joseph↓87’6.2
  • 6Antonio Sánchez↓87’6.9
  • 7V. Muriqi6.6

Substitutes used

  • 10Darder↑58’6.6
  • 4M. Kumbulla↑66’6.3
  • 2Mateu Morey↑87’6.3
  • 11T. Asano↑87’6.2

Unused: L. Bergström, David López, I. Salhi, Toni Lato, Javi Llabrés, Marc Domenech, Pablo Torre, Abdón Prats

Coach: Arrasate

Player stats

Top rated
PepeluValencia8.3
2nd
Samú CostaMallorca8.2
3rd
Hugo DuroValencia7.7

Valencia

Mallorca

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.