La Liga Gameweek 7 Tue, Sep 30 2025 · 19:00 Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Valencia
1–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.67 – 0.77
Oviedo
  • A. Danjuma 4’
  • 85’ L. Ilić
  • 86’ S. Rondón
  • 90+3’ L. Ilić
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Oviedo come from behind to beat Valencia

Valencia entered as clear favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Danjuma goal. But Ilić and Rondón scored to turn it around for Oviedo, who won 2–1. Oviedo played with ten men from the 90th minute after Ilić was sent off. Oviedo won despite the lower xG; Valencia created the better chances (1.67 vs 0.77). On the chances created, Valencia deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Valencia63%
Draw23%
Oviedo ✓14%

Model vs reality

Valencia goals
1
Model 1.89 · xG 1.67
Oviedo goals
2
Model 0.79 · xG 0.77
Total goals
3
Model 2.68 · xG 2.44
Score 1–2
4%
Most likely 1–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 50%
Both scored
Yes
Model 47%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchAarón EscandellOviedo
7.3
  • RefereeRicardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
  • Coaches— · V. Paunovic
  • VenueEstadio de Mestalla
  • Table before kick-offValencia 12th · Oviedo 19th

Timeline

  1. A. Danjuma 1–0Assist Luis Rioja
    4’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. ⇄ Diego LópezFor André Almeida
    55’
  4. ⇄ PepeluFor Javi Guerra
    55’
  5. ⇄ L. BeltránFor Hugo Duro
    55’
  6. César TárregaYellow card · Foul
    56’
  7. Federico ViñasYellow card · Tripping
    61’
  8. ⇄ L. IlićFor J. Brekalo
    65’
  9. Alberto ReinaYellow card · Elbowing
    70’
  10. L. IlićYellow card · Elbowing
    71’
  11. ✕ A. DanjumaMissed penalty
    75’
  12. ⇄ I. ChairaFor Alberto Reina
    76’
  13. ⇄ S. RondónFor Federico Viñas
    76’
  14. ⇄ Dani RabaFor A. Danjuma
    78’
  15. L. Ilić 1–1
    85’
  16. S. Rondón 1–2Assist Lucas Ahijado
    86’
  17. ⇄ L. RamazaniFor Luis Rioja
    86’
  18. ⇄ David CostasFor H. Hassan
    88’
  19. L. IlićSecond yellow · Roughing
    90+3’
  20. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Valencia16 shots · 12 in box, 4 outside
Oviedo10 shots · 5 in box, 5 outside
ValenciaOviedo
57% Possession 43%
1.67 Expected goals (xG) 0.77
2.01 Expected points (xPts) 0.75
16 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
8 Shots off target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
12 Shots inside the box 5
4 Shots outside the box 5
528 Passes 413
88% Pass accuracy 81%
4 Corners 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
13 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 4
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
6.70 Team rating 6.86

Line-ups

Valencia 4-4-2

257.2 Julen Agirrezabala(G)
146.6 José Gayà 46.9 M. Diakhaby 56.3 César Tárrega 206.3 D. Foulquier
76.7 A. Danjuma ↓78’ 86.3 Javi Guerra ↓55’ 226.9 B. Santamaría 117.2 Luis Rioja A↓86’
106.9 André Almeida ↓55’ 96.3 Hugo Duro ↓55’
  • 25Julen Agirrezabala (G)7.2
  • 14José Gayà6.6
  • 4M. Diakhaby6.9
  • 5César Tárrega6.3
  • 20D. Foulquier6.3
  • 7A. Danjuma↓78’6.7
  • 8Javi Guerra↓55’6.3
  • 22B. Santamaría6.9
  • 11Luis RiojaA↓86’7.2
  • 10André Almeida↓55’6.9
  • 9Hugo Duro↓55’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 18Pepelu↑55’6.9
  • 15L. Beltrán↑55’6.3
  • 16Diego López↑55’6.9
  • 17L. Ramazani↑86’6.3
  • 19Dani Raba↑78’6.3

Unused: Cristian Rivero, S. Dimitrievski, Copete, E. Cömert, Thierry Correia, Jesús Vázquez, F. Ugrinic

Oviedo 4-3-3

137.3★ Aarón Escandell(G)
36.9 Abdel Rahim 166.3 David Carmo 127.3 Dani Calvo 247.3 Lucas Ahijado A
117.2 S. Colombatto 206.2 L. Dendoncker 55.5 Alberto Reina ↓76’
186.9 J. Brekalo ↓65’ 96.9 Federico Viñas ↓76’ 107.3 H. Hassan ↓88’
  • 13Aarón Escandell (G) ★7.3
  • 3Abdel Rahim6.9
  • 16David Carmo6.3
  • 12Dani Calvo7.3
  • 24Lucas AhijadoA7.3
  • 11S. Colombatto7.2
  • 20L. Dendoncker6.2
  • 5Alberto Reina↓76’5.5
  • 18J. Brekalo↓65’6.9
  • 9Federico Viñas↓76’6.9
  • 10H. Hassan↓88’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 21L. Ilić↑65’7.3
  • 4David Costas↑88’
  • 7I. Chaira↑76’6.2
  • 23S. Rondón↑76’7.7

Unused: H. Moldovan, Javi López, Oier Luengo, E. Bailly, B. Dominguès, Kwasi Sibo, Lamine Gueye, Álex Forés

Coach: V. Paunovic

Player stats

Top rated
Aarón EscandellOviedo7.3
2nd
Dani CalvoOviedo7.3
3rd
Lucas AhijadoOviedo7.3

Valencia

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Julen Agirrezabala G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 88% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
José Gayà D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 49 2 1 1/3 2/1 6.6
M. Diakhaby D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 88% 68 0 1 1/1 1/1 6.9
César Tárrega D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 96% 50 0 0 0/0 2/1 6.3
D. Foulquier D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 51 0 1 1/1 0/0 6.3
A. Danjuma F 78 1 0 6 (3) 0 78% 18 0 0 1/2 2/1 6.7
Javi Guerra M 55 0 0 1 (0) 0 79% 34 1 1 0/1 2/1 6.3
B. Santamaría M 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 89% 56 0 0 1/3 1/1 6.9
Luis Rioja F 86 0 1 0 (0) 3 85% 39 2 2 2/5 0/0 7.2
André Almeida M 55 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 24 0 1 0/1 0/3 6.9
Hugo Duro F 55 0 0 1 (0) 0 79% 19 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
Pepelu M 35 0 0 0 (0) 2 84% 32 1 0 1/1 1/0 6.9
L. Beltrán F 35 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 13 0 0 1/3 0/0 6.3
Diego López F 35 0 0 0 (0) 2 93% 15 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
L. Ramazani F 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Dani Raba F 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 10 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Oviedo

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Aarón Escandell G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 75% 32 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Abdel Rahim M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 81% 42 2 0 1/1 0/1 6.9
David Carmo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 50 0 1 0/0 2/0 6.3
Dani Calvo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 56 2 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Lucas Ahijado D 90 0 1 1 (0) 1 72% 32 5 1 1/1 0/0 7.3
S. Colombatto M 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 92% 50 1 0 0/0 2/0 7.2
L. Dendoncker M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 83% 29 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.2
Alberto Reina M 76 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 28 2 1 1/2 3/1 5.5
J. Brekalo M 65 0 0 1 (1) 2 73% 37 1 0 0/1 0/1 6.9
Federico Viñas F 76 0 0 0 (0) 0 64% 14 1 3 1/1 2/5 6.9
H. Hassan F 88 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 25 0 1 2/2 0/1 7.3
L. Ilić M 25 1 0 1 (1) 0 83% 6 2 0 0/1 1/1 7.3
David Costas D 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
I. Chaira F 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
S. Rondón F 14 1 0 1 (1) 0 50% 4 0 0 1/1 0/0 7.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.