La Liga Gameweek 23 Sun, Feb 8 2026 · 20:00 Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Valencia
0–2 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.44 – 1.00
Real Madrid
  • 65’ Álvaro Fernández
  • 90+1’ K. Mbappé
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Real Madrid beat Valencia

Real Madrid entered as favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Fernández and Mbappé. Real Madrid finished with the higher xG (1.00 vs 0.44). On the chances created, Valencia deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Valencia23%
Draw25%
Real Madrid ✓52%

Model vs reality

Valencia goals
0
Model 1.09 · xG 0.44
Real Madrid goals
2
Model 1.73 · xG 1.00
Total goals
2
Model 2.82 · xG 1.44
Score 0–2
9%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchÁlvaro FernándezReal Madrid · 1 goal
7.6
  • RefereeJavier Alberola Rojas
  • VenueEstadio de Mestalla
  • Table before kick-offValencia 17th · Real Madrid 2nd

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. Álvaro Fernández 0–1Assist D. Huijsen
    65’
  3. Álvaro FernándezYellow card · Foul
    69’
  4. ⇄ G. RodríguezFor Pepelu
    72’
  5. ⇄ Thierry CorreiaFor Unai Núñez
    73’
  6. ⇄ Brahim DíazFor Gonzalo García
    76’
  7. ⇄ T. Alexander-ArnoldFor David Jiménez
    76’
  8. ⇄ L. RamazaniFor Luis Rioja
    81’
  9. ⇄ Javi GuerraFor F. Ugrinic
    81’
  10. ⇄ U. SadiqFor L. Beltrán
    82’
  11. ⇄ Franco MastantuonoFor A. Güler
    82’
  12. CopeteYellow card
    88’
  13. K. Mbappé 0–2Assist Brahim Díaz
    90+1’
  14. ⇄ Jorge CesteroFor F. Valverde
    90+2’
  15. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Valencia7 shots · 4 in box, 3 outside
Real Madrid10 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
ValenciaReal Madrid
40% Possession 60%
0.44 Expected goals (xG) 1.00
0.83 Expected points (xPts) 1.81
7 Shots 10
0 Shots on target 6
5 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Shots inside the box 6
3 Shots outside the box 4
353 Passes 553
79% Pass accuracy 89%
5 Corners 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
10 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.56 Team rating 6.90

Line-ups

Valencia 4-4-2

16.6 S. Dimitrievski(G)
146.3 José Gayà 36.3 Copete 246.7 E. Cömert 47.0 Unai Núñez ↓73’
76.5 A. Danjuma 236.6 F. Ugrinic ↓81’ 186.9 Pepelu ↓72’ 116.3 Luis Rioja ↓81’
96.5 Hugo Duro 156.6 L. Beltrán ↓82’
  • 1S. Dimitrievski (G)6.6
  • 14José Gayà6.3
  • 3Copete6.3
  • 24E. Cömert6.7
  • 4Unai Núñez↓73’7.0
  • 7A. Danjuma6.5
  • 23F. Ugrinic↓81’6.6
  • 18Pepelu↓72’6.9
  • 11Luis Rioja↓81’6.3
  • 9Hugo Duro6.5
  • 15L. Beltrán↓82’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 12Thierry Correia↑73’6.3
  • 8Javi Guerra↑81’6.5
  • 17L. Ramazani↑81’6.3
  • 2G. Rodríguez↑72’6.7
  • 6U. Sadiq↑82’6.5

Unused: Cristian Rivero, César Tárrega, Jesús Vázquez, André Almeida, B. Santamaría, Diego López, Dani Raba

Real Madrid 4-4-2

16.3 T. Courtois(G)
187.6★ Álvaro Fernández 247.6 D. Huijsen A 177.2 Raúl Asencio 356.3 David Jiménez ↓76’
67.3 E. Camavinga 147.6 A. Tchouaméni 87.2 F. Valverde ↓90’ 156.6 A. Güler ↓82’
166.2 Gonzalo García ↓76’ 105.9 K. Mbappé
  • 1T. Courtois (G)6.3
  • 18Álvaro Fernández ★7.6
  • 24D. HuijsenA7.6
  • 17Raúl Asencio7.2
  • 35David Jiménez↓76’6.3
  • 6E. Camavinga7.3
  • 14A. Tchouaméni7.6
  • 8F. Valverde↓90’7.2
  • 15A. Güler↓82’6.6
  • 16Gonzalo García↓76’6.2
  • 10K. Mbappé5.9

Substitutes used

  • 12T. Alexander-Arnold↑76’6.7
  • 28Jorge Cestero↑90’
  • 21Brahim DíazA↑76’6.7
  • 30Franco Mastantuono↑82’6.3

Unused: A. Lunin, Sergio Mestre, Dani Carvajal, Fran García, A. Rüdiger, D. Alaba, Dani Ceballos

Player stats

Top rated
Álvaro FernándezReal Madrid7.6
2nd
D. HuijsenReal Madrid7.6
3rd
A. TchouaméniReal Madrid7.6

Valencia

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. Dimitrievski G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 49% 35 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
José Gayà D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 28 4 0 0/1 1/1 6.3
Copete D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 34 0 2 0/0 1/0 6.3
E. Cömert D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 39 1 3 0/0 0/0 6.7
Unai Núñez D 73 0 0 1 (0) 0 77% 26 3 2 0/0 0/1 7.0
A. Danjuma F 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 72% 18 1 0 0/2 0/0 6.5
F. Ugrinic M 81 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 34 1 0 0/1 0/2 6.6
Pepelu M 72 0 0 1 (0) 1 80% 35 1 2 0/0 0/2 6.9
Luis Rioja F 81 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 24 1 0 0/2 0/0 6.3
Hugo Duro F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 9 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.5
L. Beltrán F 82 0 0 2 (0) 1 88% 24 3 1 0/2 5/4 6.6
Thierry Correia D 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 10 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
Javi Guerra M 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
L. Ramazani F 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
G. Rodríguez M 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 16 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
U. Sadiq F 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.5

Real Madrid

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
T. Courtois G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 65% 20 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Álvaro Fernández D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 85% 52 1 1 2/2 3/0 7.6
D. Huijsen D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 91% 66 1 0 0/0 1/1 7.6
Raúl Asencio D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 55 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
David Jiménez D 76 0 0 1 (1) 0 97% 35 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
E. Camavinga M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 94% 54 4 1 0/0 3/1 7.3
A. Tchouaméni M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 91% 66 4 1 0/0 1/2 7.6
F. Valverde M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 89% 75 2 0 1/1 0/0 7.2
A. Güler M 82 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 57 2 0 0/1 2/2 6.6
Gonzalo García F 76 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 16 0 0 0/2 1/0 6.2
K. Mbappé F 90 1 0 4 (3) 2 79% 34 0 0 1/5 2/0 5.9
T. Alexander-Arnold D 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 13 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Jorge Cestero M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Brahim Díaz M 14 0 1 0 (0) 0 86% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Franco Mastantuono M 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.