La Liga Gameweek 15 Sun, Dec 7 2025 · 15:15 Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Valencia
1–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.91 – 0.32
Sevilla
  • Hugo Duro 90+3’
  • 58’ (OG) César Tárrega
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Valencia snatch a late draw

Valencia entered as favourites, yet Sevilla led 1–0 after 58 minutes through an own goal. But Duro scored to rescue a draw for Valencia. Valencia finished with the higher xG (0.91 vs 0.32). On the chances created, Valencia deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Valencia48%
Draw ✓27%
Sevilla25%

Model vs reality

Valencia goals
1
Model 1.56 · xG 0.91
Sevilla goals
1
Model 1.07 · xG 0.32
Total goals
2
Model 2.62 · xG 1.23
Score 1–1
13%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 49%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchHugo DuroValencia · 1 goal
7.5
  • RefereeGuillermo Cuadra Fernandez
  • Coaches— · M. Almeyda
  • VenueEstadio de Mestalla
  • Table before kick-offValencia 16th · Sevilla 14th

Timeline

  1. Peque FernándezYellow card
    23’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. César Tárrega (own goal) 0–1
    58’
  4. ⇄ L. BeltránFor Javi Guerra
    63’
  5. ⇄ Diego LópezFor A. Danjuma
    63’
  6. ⇄ F. UgrinicFor André Almeida
    63’
  7. ⇄ L. RamazaniFor Luis Rioja
    68’
  8. CopeteYellow card · Foul
    74’
  9. César AzpilicuetaYellow card · Tripping
    75’
  10. N. GudeljYellow card · Holding
    76’
  11. ⇄ Jesús VázquezFor José Gayà
    77’
  12. ⇄ Joan JordánFor Peque Fernández
    80’
  13. L. AgouméYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    82’
  14. ⇄ Alfon GonzálezFor Oso
    85’
  15. ⇄ A. SánchezFor L. Agoumé
    86’
  16. Thierry CorreiaYellow card · Foul
    88’
  17. A. López GalloYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    89’
  18. Hugo Duro 1–1Assist F. Ugrinic
    90+3’
  19. J. Carmona NavarroYellow card · Foul
    90+5’
  20. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Valencia11 shots · 8 in box, 3 outside
Sevilla4 shots · 3 in box, 1 outside
ValenciaSevilla
48% Possession 52%
0.91 Expected goals (xG) 0.32
1.85 Expected points (xPts) 0.76
11 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 1
5 Shots off target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
8 Shots inside the box 3
3 Shots outside the box 1
397 Passes 437
79% Pass accuracy 77%
2 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Fouls 16
3 Offsides 3
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
6.66 Team rating 6.61

Line-ups

Valencia 4-2-3-1

257.0 Julen Agirrezabala(G)
146.0 José Gayà ↓77’ 37.2 Copete 55.9 César Tárrega 126.2 Thierry Correia
186.9 Pepelu 86.2 Javi Guerra ↓63’
76.6 A. Danjuma ↓63’ 106.5 André Almeida ↓63’ 116.9 Luis Rioja ↓68’
97.5★ Hugo Duro
  • 25Julen Agirrezabala (G)7.0
  • 14José Gayà↓77’6.0
  • 3Copete7.2
  • 5César Tárrega5.9
  • 12Thierry Correia6.2
  • 18Pepelu6.9
  • 8Javi Guerra↓63’6.2
  • 7A. Danjuma↓63’6.6
  • 10André Almeida↓63’6.5
  • 11Luis Rioja↓68’6.9
  • 9Hugo Duro ★7.5

Substitutes used

  • 23F. UgrinicA↑63’7.2
  • 15L. Beltrán↑63’6.5
  • 16Diego López↑63’6.5
  • 21Jesús Vázquez↑77’6.3
  • 17L. Ramazani↑68’7.2

Unused: S. Dimitrievski, E. Cömert, Rubén Iranzo, D. Foulquier, B. Santamaría, Dani Raba, David Otorbi

Sevilla 5-4-1

16.2 O. Vlachodimos(G)
367.0 Oso ↓85’ 326.6 A. López Gallo 66.9 N. Gudelj 36.3 César Azpilicueta 26.2 J. Carmona Navarro
206.6 M. Sow 196.9 B. Mendy 186.9 L. Agoumé ↓86’ 147.2 Peque Fernández ↓80’
96.0 A. Adams
  • 1O. Vlachodimos (G)6.2
  • 36Oso↓85’7.0
  • 32A. López Gallo6.6
  • 6N. Gudelj6.9
  • 3César Azpilicueta6.3
  • 2J. Carmona Navarro6.2
  • 20M. Sow6.6
  • 19B. Mendy6.9
  • 18L. Agoumé↓86’6.9
  • 14Peque Fernández↓80’7.2
  • 9A. Adams6.0

Substitutes used

  • 8Joan Jordán↑80’6.5
  • 17Alfon González↑85’6.7
  • 10A. Sánchez↑86’6.7

Unused: Alberto Flores, Ø. Nyland, Fábio Cardoso, Ramón Martínez, Manu Bueno, Miguel Sierra, C. Ejuke

Coach: M. Almeyda

Player stats

Top rated
Hugo DuroValencia7.5
2nd
CopeteValencia7.2
3rd
F. UgrinicValencia7.2

Valencia

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Julen Agirrezabala G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 73% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
José Gayà D 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 57% 21 1 1 0/3 2/2 6.0
Copete D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 84% 69 1 1 1/2 0/2 7.2
César Tárrega D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 53 1 2 0/0 0/0 5.9
Thierry Correia D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 72% 39 0 1 0/1 2/1 6.2
Pepelu M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 58 3 0 0/0 3/0 6.9
Javi Guerra M 63 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 27 1 1 0/1 0/0 6.2
A. Danjuma F 63 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 9 0 0 1/3 0/0 6.6
André Almeida M 63 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 22 2 0 0/3 3/1 6.5
Luis Rioja F 68 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 16 1 0 1/1 0/2 6.9
Hugo Duro F 90 1 0 3 (1) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/0 0/2 7.5
F. Ugrinic M 27 0 1 0 (0) 1 75% 12 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.2
L. Beltrán F 27 0 0 3 (1) 0 63% 8 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.5
Diego López F 27 0 0 0 (0) 1 58% 12 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.5
Jesús Vázquez D 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 9 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
L. Ramazani F 22 0 0 1 (1) 0 80% 10 0 0 2/4 0/2 7.2

Sevilla

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
O. Vlachodimos G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 50% 40 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
Oso F 85 0 0 0 (0) 3 72% 29 1 1 1/1 0/1 7.0
A. López Gallo D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 63 3 3 0/1 2/1 6.6
N. Gudelj M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 44 1 1 0/0 2/0 6.9
César Azpilicueta D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 54 3 2 0/0 3/0 6.3
J. Carmona Navarro D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 33 4 0 0/1 4/3 6.2
M. Sow M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 30 5 0 0/0 2/1 6.6
B. Mendy M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 36 4 0 2/3 0/1 6.9
L. Agoumé M 86 0 0 1 (0) 0 76% 45 2 1 0/0 1/2 6.9
Peque Fernández F 80 0 0 1 (1) 0 75% 28 2 0 1/4 1/2 7.2
A. Adams F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 63% 16 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.0
Joan Jordán M 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 10 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Alfon González F 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
A. Sánchez F 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.