Serie A Gameweek 16 Thu, Jan 15 2026 · 17:30 Stadio Marc’Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
2–3 Full time · HT 1–3 xG 1.17 – 0.74
  • G. Orban 13’
  • R. Freuler 72’ (OG)
  • 21’ R. Orsolini
  • 29’ J. Odgaard
  • 44’ S. Castro
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bologna come from behind to beat Verona

Bologna entered as favourites, yet Verona led 1–0 after 13 minutes through a Orban goal. But Orsolini, Odgaard and Castro scored to turn it around for Bologna, who won 3–2. Bologna won despite the lower xG; Verona created the better chances (1.17 vs 0.74). On the chances created, Verona deserved more: 1.7 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Verona22%
Draw27%
Bologna ✓51%

Model vs reality

Verona goals
2
Model 0.94 · xG 1.17
Bologna goals
3
Model 1.55 · xG 0.74
Total goals
5
Model 2.49 · xG 1.91
Score 2–3
2%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 45%
Both scored
Yes
Model 49%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchR. OrsoliniBologna · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeMaurizio Mariani
  • CoachesP. Zanetti · —
  • VenueStadio Marc’Antonio Bentegodi
  • Table before kick-offVerona 20th · Bologna 9th

Timeline

  1. Unai NúñezYellow card
    12’
  2. G. Orban 1–0Assist A. Sarr
    13’
  3. R. Orsolini 1–1Assist R. Freuler
    21’
  4. J. Odgaard 1–2Assist B. Domínguez
    29’
  5. M. VitíkYellow card · Holding
    42’
  6. S. Castro 1–3Assist T. Pobega
    44’
  7. Half time · 1–3
  8. ⇄ T. SlotsagerFor Unai Núñez
    46’
  9. ⇄ R. GagliardiniFor Al Musrati
    53’
  10. ⇄ GiovaneFor S. Serdar
    53’
  11. R. OrsoliniYellow card · Roughing
    59’
  12. ⇄ C. ImmobileFor S. Castro
    65’
  13. ⇄ N. MoroFor T. Pobega
    66’
  14. R. Freuler (own goal) 2–3
    72’
  15. ⇄ Fallou ChamFor C. Niasse
    77’
  16. ⇄ L. FergusonFor J. Odgaard
    79’
  17. ⇄ N. ZorteaFor E. Holm
    80’
  18. ⇄ D. MosqueraFor A. Sarr
    82’
  19. ⇄ G. FabbianFor R. Orsolini
    90’
  20. Full time · 2–3

Team stats

Verona15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
Bologna14 shots · 6 in box, 8 outside
VeronaBologna
39% Possession 61%
1.17 Expected goals (xG) 0.74
1.69 Expected points (xPts) 1.01
15 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
4 Shots off target 7
6 Blocked shots 2
10 Shots inside the box 6
5 Shots outside the box 8
340 Passes 532
74% Pass accuracy 82%
4 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Fouls 14
5 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.66 Team rating 6.89

Line-ups

Verona 3-5-2

16.3 L. Montipò(G)
66.2 N. Valentini 156.9 V. Nelsson 55.9 Unai Núñez ↓46’
126.3 D. Bradarić 247.0 A. Bernede 736.2 Al Musrati ↓53’ 86.3 S. Serdar ↓53’ 366.9 C. Niasse ↓77’
167.7 G. Orban 96.6 A. Sarr A↓82’
  • 1L. Montipò (G)6.3
  • 6N. Valentini6.2
  • 15V. Nelsson6.9
  • 5Unai Núñez↓46’5.9
  • 12D. Bradarić6.3
  • 24A. Bernede7.0
  • 73Al Musrati↓53’6.2
  • 8S. Serdar↓53’6.3
  • 36C. Niasse↓77’6.9
  • 16G. Orban7.7
  • 9A. SarrA↓82’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 19T. Slotsager↑46’6.9
  • 17Giovane↑53’6.6
  • 63R. Gagliardini↑53’7.3
  • 70Fallou Cham↑77’6.3
  • 25D. Mosquera↑82’6.3

Unused: G. Toniolo, S. Perilli, D. Oyegoke, E. Ebosse, A. Harroui, Isaac

Coach: P. Zanetti

Bologna 4-2-3-1

137.2 F. Ravaglia(G)
336.9 Juan Miranda 146.9 T. Heggem 417.2 M. Vitík 25.9 E. Holm ↓80’
46.9 T. Pobega A↓66’ 86.0 R. Freuler A
306.2 B. Domínguez A 217.7 J. Odgaard ↓79’ 78.2★ R. Orsolini ↓90’
96.9 S. Castro ↓65’
  • 13F. Ravaglia (G)7.2
  • 33Juan Miranda6.9
  • 14T. Heggem6.9
  • 41M. Vitík7.2
  • 2E. Holm↓80’5.9
  • 4T. PobegaA↓66’6.9
  • 8R. FreulerA6.0
  • 30B. DomínguezA6.2
  • 21J. Odgaard↓79’7.7
  • 7R. Orsolini ★↓90’8.2
  • 9S. Castro↓65’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 6N. Moro↑66’6.7
  • 17C. Immobile↑65’6.6
  • 20N. Zortea↑80’6.5
  • 80G. Fabbian↑90’
  • 19L. Ferguson↑79’6.7

Unused: M. Pessina, Ł. Skorupski, C. Lykogiannis, N. Casale, L. De Silvestri, I. Sulemana, J. Rowe, T. Dallinga

Player stats

Top rated
R. OrsoliniBologna8.2
2nd
G. OrbanVerona7.7
3rd
J. OdgaardBologna7.7

Verona

Bologna

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.