Bundesliga Gameweek 11 Sat, Nov 22 2025 · 14:30 Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
1–3 Full time · HT 0–3 xG 1.92 – 1.09
  • D. Vavro 58’
  • 9’ J. Hofmann
  • 25’ E. Tapsoba
  • 33’ M. Tillman
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bayer Leverkusen beat VfL Wolfsburg

Bayer Leverkusen entered as favourites and won 3–1 through goals from Hofmann, Tapsoba and Tillman. VfL Wolfsburg replied through a Vavro goal. Bayer Leverkusen won despite the lower xG; VfL Wolfsburg created the better chances (1.92 vs 1.09). On the chances created, VfL Wolfsburg deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

VfL Wolfsburg20%
Draw23%
Bayer Leverkusen ✓57%

Model vs reality

VfL Wolfsburg goals
1
Model 1.10 · xG 1.92
Bayer Leverkusen goals
3
Model 1.96 · xG 1.09
Total goals
4
Model 3.06 · xG 3.01
Score 1–3
6%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. FlekkenBayer Leverkusen
8.6
  • RefereeRobert Hartmann
  • CoachesP. Simonis · —
  • VenueVolkswagen Arena
  • Table before kick-offVfL Wolfsburg 14th · Bayer Leverkusen 5th

Timeline

  1. J. Hofmann 0–1Assist Álex Grimaldo
    9’
  2. E. Tapsoba 0–2Assist Aleix García
    25’
  3. M. Tillman 0–3Assist P. Schick
    33’
  4. D. PejčinovićYellow card
    34’
  5. M. AmouraYellow card · Roughing
    40’
  6. Half time · 0–3
  7. ⇄ J. QuansahFor I. Maza
    46’
  8. ⇄ K. KoulierakisFor J. Seelt
    46’
  9. D. Vavro 1–3Assist M. Arnold
    58’
  10. ⇄ C. EriksenFor Y. Gerhardt
    61’
  11. ⇄ M. SvanbergFor P. Wimmer
    61’
  12. ⇄ J. WindFor D. Pejčinović
    61’
  13. VAR J. WindGoal Disallowed - offside
    62’
  14. ⇄ M. TerrierFor M. Tillman
    65’
  15. ⇄ Christian KofaneFor P. Schick
    75’
  16. ⇄ J. BelocianFor Álex Grimaldo
    75’
  17. R. AndrichYellow card · Tripping
    77’
  18. ⇄ J. BurgerFor S. Kumbedi
    84’
  19. ⇄ N. TellaFor E. Poku
    86’
  20. Full time · 1–3

Team stats

VfL Wolfsburg18 shots · 12 in box, 6 outside
Bayer Leverkusen6 shots · 3 in box, 3 outside
VfL WolfsburgBayer Leverkusen
38% Possession 62%
1.92 Expected goals (xG) 1.09
1.92 Expected points (xPts) 0.86
18 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 3
7 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
12 Shots inside the box 3
6 Shots outside the box 3
344 Passes 588
85% Pass accuracy 90%
8 Corners 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Fouls 5
1 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.51 Team rating 7.29

Line-ups

VfL Wolfsburg 4-2-3-1

15.6 K. Grabara(G)
256.3 A. Zehnter 145.9 J. Seelt ↓46’ 37.0 D. Vavro 266.3 S. Kumbedi ↓84’
277.9 M. Arnold A 316.7 Y. Gerhardt ↓61’
95.6 M. Amoura 107.2 L. Majer 396.2 P. Wimmer ↓61’
176.7 D. Pejčinović ↓61’
  • 1K. Grabara (G)5.6
  • 25A. Zehnter6.3
  • 14J. Seelt↓46’5.9
  • 3D. Vavro7.0
  • 26S. Kumbedi↓84’6.3
  • 27M. ArnoldA7.9
  • 31Y. Gerhardt↓61’6.7
  • 9M. Amoura5.6
  • 10L. Majer7.2
  • 39P. Wimmer↓61’6.2
  • 17D. Pejčinović↓61’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 4K. Koulierakis↑46’6.6
  • 24C. Eriksen↑61’6.6
  • 32M. Svanberg↑61’6.2
  • 23J. Wind↑61’6.3

Unused: M. Müller, Jan Bürger, Vinicius Souza, Pharell Hensel, A. Skov Olsen

Coach: P. Simonis

Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1

18.6★ M. Flekken(G)
127.9 E. Tapsoba 57.2 L. Badé 86.3 R. Andrich
206.7 Álex Grimaldo A↓75’ 247.9 Aleix García A 306.5 I. Maza ↓46’ 78.2 J. Hofmann
196.2 E. Poku ↓86’ 108.2 M. Tillman ↓65’
147.2 P. Schick A↓75’
  • 1M. Flekken (G) ★8.6
  • 12E. Tapsoba7.9
  • 5L. Badé7.2
  • 8R. Andrich6.3
  • 20Álex GrimaldoA↓75’6.7
  • 24Aleix GarcíaA7.9
  • 30I. Maza↓46’6.5
  • 7J. Hofmann8.2
  • 19E. Poku↓86’6.2
  • 10M. Tillman↓65’8.2
  • 14P. SchickA↓75’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 4J. Quansah↑46’6.2
  • 44J. Belocian↑75’6.5
  • 23N. Tella↑86’
  • 11M. Terrier↑65’6.3
  • 35Christian Kofane↑75’6.6

Unused: J. Blaswich, C. Echeverri, E. Ben Seghir, Alejo Sarco

Player stats

Top rated
M. FlekkenBayer Leverkusen8.6
2nd
J. HofmannBayer Leverkusen8.2
3rd
M. TillmanBayer Leverkusen8.2

VfL Wolfsburg

Bayer Leverkusen

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.