Bundesliga Gameweek 21 Sat, Feb 7 2026 · 14:30 Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.45 – 1.27
Borussia Dortmund
  • K. Koulierakis 52’
  • 38’ J. Brandt
  • 87’ S. Guirassy
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Guirassy’s late goal settles it for Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund entered as clear favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Brandt and Guirassy. VfL Wolfsburg replied through a Koulierakis goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.45 and 1.27. On the chances created, VfL Wolfsburg deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

VfL Wolfsburg18%
Draw21%
Borussia Dortmund ✓61%

Model vs reality

VfL Wolfsburg goals
1
Model 1.09 · xG 1.45
Borussia Dortmund goals
2
Model 2.14 · xG 1.27
Total goals
3
Model 3.23 · xG 2.72
Score 1–2
10%
Most likely 1–2 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 63%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. SchlotterbeckBorussia Dortmund
7.9
  • RefereeTimo Gerach
  • CoachesD. Bauer · —
  • VenueVolkswagen Arena
  • Table before kick-offVfL Wolfsburg 14th · Borussia Dortmund 2nd

Timeline

  1. ⇄ J. BurgerFor K. Fischer
    17’
  2. J. Brandt 0–1Assist J. Ryerson
    38’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. A. DaghimYellow card · Tripping
    47’
  5. N. SchlotterbeckYellow card
    51’
  6. K. Koulierakis 1–1Assist C. Eriksen
    52’
  7. ⇄ J. LindstrømFor K. Paredes
    64’
  8. ⇄ L. MajerFor K. Shiogai
    65’
  9. ⇄ Fábio SilvaFor J. Ryerson
    69’
  10. ⇄ D. PejčinovićFor M. Amoura
    83’
  11. ⇄ M. SvanbergFor A. Daghim
    83’
  12. S. Guirassy 1–2Assist Fábio Silva
    87’
  13. ⇄ C. ChukwuemekaFor J. Brandt
    88’
  14. ⇄ S. ÖzcanFor F. Nmecha
    88’
  15. ⇄ A. BensebainiFor N. Süle
    88’
  16. ⇄ Luca ReggianiFor M. Beier
    90+4’
  17. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

VfL Wolfsburg12 shots · 6 in box, 6 outside
Borussia Dortmund21 shots · 14 in box, 7 outside
VfL WolfsburgBorussia Dortmund
34% Possession 66%
1.45 Expected goals (xG) 1.27
1.50 Expected points (xPts) 1.25
12 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 4
8 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 14
6 Shots inside the box 14
6 Shots outside the box 7
297 Passes 570
76% Pass accuracy 87%
4 Corners 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
12 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.86 Team rating 6.98

Line-ups

VfL Wolfsburg 4-2-3-1

15.9 K. Grabara(G)
67.3 J. Belocian 47.2 K. Koulierakis 37.3 D. Vavro 26.3 K. Fischer ↓17’
277.6 M. Arnold 247.0 C. Eriksen A
406.9 K. Paredes ↓64’ 76.2 K. Shiogai ↓65’ 117.2 A. Daghim ↓83’
96.3 M. Amoura ↓83’
  • 1K. Grabara (G)5.9
  • 6J. Belocian7.3
  • 4K. Koulierakis7.2
  • 3D. Vavro7.3
  • 2K. Fischer↓17’6.3
  • 27M. Arnold7.6
  • 24C. EriksenA7.0
  • 40K. Paredes↓64’6.9
  • 7K. Shiogai↓65’6.2
  • 11A. Daghim↓83’7.2
  • 9M. Amoura↓83’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 10L. Majer↑65’6.2
  • 32M. Svanberg↑83’6.3
  • 19J. Lindstrøm↑64’6.3
  • 17D. Pejčinović↑83’6.7

Unused: Jan Bürger, M. Müller, J. Adjetey, Y. Gerhardt, Pharell Hensel

Coach: D. Bauer

Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1

16.5 G. Kobel(G)
47.9★ N. Schlotterbeck 36.9 W. Anton 257.2 N. Süle ↓88’
246.9 D. Svensson 87.3 F. Nmecha ↓88’ 77.2 J. Bellingham 266.3 J. Ryerson A↓69’
146.2 M. Beier ↓90’ 107.3 J. Brandt ↓88’
97.0 S. Guirassy
  • 1G. Kobel (G)6.5
  • 4N. Schlotterbeck ★7.9
  • 3W. Anton6.9
  • 25N. Süle↓88’7.2
  • 24D. Svensson6.9
  • 8F. Nmecha↓88’7.3
  • 7J. Bellingham7.2
  • 26J. RyersonA↓69’6.3
  • 14M. Beier↓90’6.2
  • 10J. Brandt↓88’7.3
  • 9S. Guirassy7.0

Substitutes used

  • 5A. Bensebaini↑88’
  • 49Luca Reggiani↑90’
  • 6S. Özcan↑88’
  • 17C. Chukwuemeka↑88’
  • 21Fábio SilvaA↑69’6.6

Unused: A. Meyer, Samuele Inacio, Mathis Albert

Player stats

Top rated
N. SchlotterbeckBorussia Dortmund7.9
2nd
M. ArnoldVfL Wolfsburg7.6
3rd
J. BelocianVfL Wolfsburg7.3

VfL Wolfsburg

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
K. Grabara G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 54% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
J. Belocian D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 33 4 0 2/3 0/1 7.3
K. Koulierakis D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 81% 36 0 3 0/0 2/0 7.2
D. Vavro D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 19 0 1 0/0 0/2 7.3
K. Fischer D 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
M. Arnold M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 84% 38 2 2 0/0 0/1 7.6
C. Eriksen M 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 78% 36 3 1 0/0 2/0 7.0
K. Paredes M 64 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 15 2 2 1/2 1/0 6.9
K. Shiogai F 65 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 10 0 1 0/1 1/0 6.2
A. Daghim F 83 0 0 0 (0) 5 75% 20 0 0 2/3 1/2 7.2
M. Amoura F 83 0 0 8 (1) 0 62% 13 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.3
L. Majer M 25 0 0 1 (0) 0 69% 13 1 0 0/2 2/0 6.2
M. Svanberg M 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
J. Lindstrøm M 26 0 0 0 (0) 1 71% 14 2 0 1/1 1/0 6.3
D. Pejčinović F 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Borussia Dortmund

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Kobel G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 76% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
N. Schlotterbeck D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 87% 84 1 1 1/1 2/0 7.9
W. Anton D 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 91% 82 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
N. Süle D 88 0 0 1 (1) 0 94% 81 0 1 0/1 0/1 7.2
D. Svensson D 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 91% 46 2 0 2/3 1/2 6.9
F. Nmecha M 88 0 0 1 (0) 2 92% 53 1 0 4/5 0/1 7.3
J. Bellingham M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 88% 48 3 3 0/0 0/4 7.2
J. Ryerson D 69 0 1 1 (0) 2 76% 29 1 0 1/2 1/1 6.3
M. Beier F 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 71% 28 1 1 2/2 0/1 6.2
J. Brandt M 88 1 0 1 (1) 1 86% 57 0 0 1/2 2/0 7.3
S. Guirassy F 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 75% 20 0 0 1/1 4/2 7.0
A. Bensebaini D 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Luca Reggiani D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
S. Özcan M 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/1 0/0 —
C. Chukwuemeka M 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Fábio Silva F 21 0 1 0 (0) 1 77% 13 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.