Bundesliga Gameweek 23 Sat, Feb 21 2026 · 14:30 Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
2–3 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.57 – 1.78
FC Augsburg
  • Y. Gerhardt 41’
  • K. Shiogai 70’
  • 59’ Rodrigo Ribeiro
  • 87’ (P) M. Gregoritsch
  • 90+3’ E. Rexhbeçaj
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

FC Augsburg come from behind to beat VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Gerhardt goal. But Ribeiro, Gregoritsch and Rexhbeçaj scored to turn it around for FC Augsburg, who won 3–2. The chances were even, with xG of 1.57 and 1.78. On the chances created, VfL Wolfsburg deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

VfL Wolfsburg39%
Draw26%
FC Augsburg ✓35%

Model vs reality

VfL Wolfsburg goals
2
Model 1.51 · xG 1.57
FC Augsburg goals
3
Model 1.40 · xG 1.78
Total goals
5
Model 2.91 · xG 3.35
Score 2–3
3%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. EriksenVfL Wolfsburg · 1 assist
8.0
  • RefereeDaniel Schlager
  • CoachesD. Bauer · —
  • VenueVolkswagen Arena
  • Table before kick-offVfL Wolfsburg 15th · FC Augsburg 11th

Timeline

  1. L. MajerYellow card · Foul
    17’
  2. Y. Gerhardt 1–0Assist C. Eriksen
    41’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. Rodrigo RibeiroYellow card · Foul
    50’
  5. K. SchlotterbeckYellow card
    55’
  6. ⇄ F. RiederFor M. Kömür
    58’
  7. Rodrigo Ribeiro 1–1Assist A. Claude-Maurice
    59’
  8. M. SvanbergYellow card · Foul
    64’
  9. ⇄ K. ShiogaiFor L. Majer
    65’
  10. ⇄ K. ParedesFor M. Svanberg
    65’
  11. ⇄ E. RexhbeçajFor H. Massengo
    68’
  12. ⇄ M. WolfFor D. Giannoulis
    69’
  13. K. Shiogai 2–1Assist M. Amoura
    70’
  14. ⇄ M. GregoritschFor Rodrigo Ribeiro
    81’
  15. ⇄ Uchenna OgunduFor Robin Fellhauer
    82’
  16. ⇄ D. PejčinovićFor M. Amoura
    82’
  17. K. JakićYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    86’
  18. M. Gregoritsch (pen) 2–2
    87’
  19. E. Rexhbeçaj 2–3Assist A. Claude-Maurice
    90+3’
  20. ⇄ J. BurgerFor S. Kumbedi
    90+5’
  21. ⇄ J. AdjeteyFor D. Vavro
    90+5’
  22. M. GregoritschYellow card · Foul
    90+8’
  23. Full time · 2–3

Team stats

VfL Wolfsburg9 shots · 5 in box, 4 outside
FC Augsburg15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
VfL WolfsburgFC Augsburg
49% Possession 51%
1.57 Expected goals (xG) 1.78
1.25 Expected points (xPts) 1.52
9 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
5 Shots off target 4
0 Blocked shots 5
5 Shots inside the box 10
4 Shots outside the box 5
436 Passes 439
88% Pass accuracy 85%
4 Corners 10
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.69 Team rating 6.68

Line-ups

VfL Wolfsburg 4-2-3-1

15.9 K. Grabara(G)
66.2 J. Belocian 156.3 M. Jenz 36.2 D. Vavro ↓90’ 266.2 S. Kumbedi ↓90’
317.6 Y. Gerhardt 248.0★ C. Eriksen A
326.3 M. Svanberg ↓65’ 106.6 L. Majer ↓65’ 117.0 A. Daghim
97.2 M. Amoura A↓82’
  • 1K. Grabara (G)5.9
  • 6J. Belocian6.2
  • 15M. Jenz6.3
  • 3D. Vavro↓90’6.2
  • 26S. Kumbedi↓90’6.2
  • 31Y. Gerhardt7.6
  • 24C. Eriksen ★A8.0
  • 32M. Svanberg↓65’6.3
  • 10L. Majer↓65’6.6
  • 11A. Daghim7.0
  • 9M. AmouraA↓82’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 18J. Adjetey↑90’
  • 40K. Paredes↑65’6.3
  • 7K. Shiogai↑65’7.3
  • 17D. Pejčinović↑82’6.3

Unused: M. Müller, K. Koulierakis, Jan Bürger, Vinicius Souza, Pharell Hensel

Coach: D. Bauer

FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1

16.7 F. Dahmen(G)
166.3 C. Zesiger 316.6 K. Schlotterbeck 406.3 N. Banks
137.5 D. Giannoulis ↓69’ 46.2 H. Massengo ↓68’ 176.3 K. Jakić 197.0 Robin Fellhauer ↓82’
207.3 A. Claude-Maurice AA 366.7 M. Kömür ↓58’
217.0 Rodrigo Ribeiro ↓81’
  • 1F. Dahmen (G)6.7
  • 16C. Zesiger6.3
  • 31K. Schlotterbeck6.6
  • 40N. Banks6.3
  • 13D. Giannoulis↓69’7.5
  • 4H. Massengo↓68’6.2
  • 17K. Jakić6.3
  • 19Robin Fellhauer↓82’7.0
  • 20A. Claude-MauriceA×27.3
  • 36M. Kömür↓58’6.7
  • 21Rodrigo Ribeiro↓81’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 8E. Rexhbeçaj↑68’6.5
  • 32F. Rieder↑58’6.3
  • 27M. Wolf↑69’6.3
  • 38M. Gregoritsch↑81’7.2
  • 39Uchenna Ogundu↑82’6.3

Unused: N. Labrović, Arthur Chaves, Y. Keitel, A. Kade

Player stats

Top rated
C. EriksenVfL Wolfsburg8.0
2nd
Y. GerhardtVfL Wolfsburg7.6
3rd
D. GiannoulisFC Augsburg7.5

VfL Wolfsburg

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
K. Grabara G 90 0 0 3 sv 1 63% 24 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
J. Belocian D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 86% 42 1 2 0/1 0/1 6.2
M. Jenz D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 79 0 0 0/0 3/1 6.3
D. Vavro D 90 0 0 3 (1) 0 96% 74 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
S. Kumbedi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 45 1 1 2/3 1/0 6.2
Y. Gerhardt M 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 88% 33 3 1 0/0 0/2 7.6
C. Eriksen M 90 0 1 1 (0) 3 95% 57 2 1 0/0 0/1 8.0
M. Svanberg M 65 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 11 2 1 0/0 3/3 6.3
L. Majer M 65 0 0 1 (0) 1 74% 19 0 0 0/2 1/1 6.6
A. Daghim F 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 25 3 0 2/3 0/2 7.0
M. Amoura F 82 0 1 0 (0) 1 74% 19 0 0 1/4 0/0 7.2
J. Adjetey D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
K. Paredes M 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/1 0/2 6.3
K. Shiogai F 25 1 0 2 (2) 0 67% 3 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.3
D. Pejčinović F 8 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

FC Augsburg

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
F. Dahmen G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 77% 47 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
C. Zesiger D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 42 1 0 0/1 1/1 6.3
K. Schlotterbeck D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 95% 58 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.6
N. Banks D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 53 1 1 0/0 4/0 6.3
D. Giannoulis D 69 0 0 0 (0) 2 83% 36 4 0 1/4 0/1 7.5
H. Massengo M 68 0 0 1 (1) 2 83% 29 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.2
K. Jakić M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 30 2 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
Robin Fellhauer F 82 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 29 1 0 0/1 0/4 7.0
A. Claude-Maurice F 90 0 2 1 (0) 3 89% 37 0 0 3/5 0/0 7.3
M. Kömür M 58 0 0 1 (0) 0 69% 29 1 1 3/3 0/2 6.7
Rodrigo Ribeiro F 81 1 0 3 (3) 1 100% 15 0 0 2/3 3/0 7.0
E. Rexhbeçaj M 22 1 0 1 (1) 0 78% 9 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
F. Rieder M 32 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 13 0 0 0/1 2/0 6.3
M. Wolf M 21 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 9 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
M. Gregoritsch F 9 1 0 1 (1) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
Uchenna Ogundu F 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.