Bundesliga Gameweek 25 Sat, Mar 7 2026 · 14:30 Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.74 – 1.82
Hamburger SV
  • C. Eriksen 22’ (P)
  • 33’ (P) L. Vušković
  • 58’ (P) Jean-Luc Dompe
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Hamburger SV come from behind to beat VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 after 22 minutes through a Eriksen goal. But Vušković and Dompe scored to turn it around for Hamburger SV, who won 2–1. The chances were even, with xG of 1.74 and 1.82. On the chances created, VfL Wolfsburg deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

VfL Wolfsburg40%
Draw25%
Hamburger SV ✓35%

Model vs reality

VfL Wolfsburg goals
1
Model 1.59 · xG 1.74
Hamburger SV goals
2
Model 1.48 · xG 1.82
Total goals
3
Model 3.07 · xG 3.56
Score 1–2
8%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 62%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchL. VuškovićHamburger SV · 1 goal
9.5
  • RefereeFlorian Exner
  • CoachesD. Bauer · —
  • VenueVolkswagen Arena
  • Table before kick-offVfL Wolfsburg 17th · Hamburger SV 11th

Timeline

  1. Daniel ElfadliYellow card
    20’
  2. C. Eriksen (pen) 1–0
    22’
  3. M. JenzYellow card · Roughing
    32’
  4. L. Vušković (pen) 1–1
    33’
  5. J. LindstrømYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    45’
  6. Half time · 1–1
  7. ⇄ W. OmariFor Daniel Elfadli
    46’
  8. Jean-Luc Dompe (pen) 1–2
    58’
  9. ⇄ M. AmouraFor J. Lindstrøm
    60’
  10. ⇄ L. MajerFor Y. Gerhardt
    60’
  11. ⇄ A. DaghimFor J. Burger
    60’
  12. ⇄ Y. PoulsenFor Jean-Luc Dompe
    67’
  13. ⇄ Fábio VieiraFor P. Otele
    67’
  14. ⇄ K. ShiogaiFor D. Pejčinović
    69’
  15. ⇄ D. DownsFor R. Königsdörffer
    77’
  16. ⇄ M. ArnoldFor M. Jenz
    77’
  17. ⇄ G. GocholeishviliFor W. Mikelbrencis
    86’
  18. Fábio VieiraYellow card
    90+8’
  19. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

VfL Wolfsburg13 shots · 9 in box, 4 outside
Hamburger SV10 shots · 4 in box, 6 outside
VfL WolfsburgHamburger SV
52% Possession 48%
1.74 Expected goals (xG) 1.82
1.34 Expected points (xPts) 1.44
13 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 7
6 Shots off target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
9 Shots inside the box 4
4 Shots outside the box 6
385 Passes 368
71% Pass accuracy 72%
6 Corners 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
18 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 3
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.43 Team rating 6.92

Line-ups

VfL Wolfsburg 3-4-2-1

16.5 K. Grabara(G)
46.3 K. Koulierakis 155.3 M. Jenz ↓77’ 186.2 J. Adjetey
66.0 J. Belocian 57.0 Vinicius Souza 316.7 Y. Gerhardt ↓60’ 416.3 Jan Bürger
247.7 C. Eriksen 196.2 J. Lindstrøm ↓60’
176.3 D. Pejčinović ↓69’
  • 1K. Grabara (G)6.5
  • 4K. Koulierakis6.3
  • 15M. Jenz↓77’5.3
  • 18J. Adjetey6.2
  • 6J. Belocian6.0
  • 5Vinicius Souza7.0
  • 31Y. Gerhardt↓60’6.7
  • 41Jan Bürger6.3
  • 24C. Eriksen7.7
  • 19J. Lindstrøm↓60’6.2
  • 17D. Pejčinović↓69’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 10L. Majer↑60’6.7
  • 27M. Arnold↑77’6.6
  • 11A. Daghim↑60’6.3
  • 7K. Shiogai↑69’6.6
  • 9M. Amoura↑60’6.3

Unused: M. Müller, S. Kumbedi, D. Vavro, Pharell Hensel

Coach: D. Bauer

Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1

16.9 D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
256.6 J. Torunarigha 449.5★ L. Vušković 85.3 Daniel Elfadli ↓46’
286.9 M. Muheim 216.3 N. Remberg 66.9 A. Sambi Lokonga 27.0 W. Mikelbrencis ↓86’
77.2 Jean-Luc Dompe ↓67’ 276.6 P. Otele ↓67’
116.5 R. Königsdörffer ↓77’
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G)6.9
  • 25J. Torunarigha6.6
  • 44L. Vušković ★9.5
  • 8Daniel Elfadli↓46’5.3
  • 28M. Muheim6.9
  • 21N. Remberg6.3
  • 6A. Sambi Lokonga6.9
  • 2W. Mikelbrencis↓86’7.0
  • 7Jean-Luc Dompe↓67’7.2
  • 27P. Otele↓67’6.6
  • 11R. Königsdörffer↓77’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 16G. Gocholeishvili↑86’
  • 17W. Omari↑46’6.6
  • 20Fábio Vieira↑67’6.6
  • 15Y. Poulsen↑67’6.2
  • 19D. Downs↑77’6.5

Unused: S. Tangvik, R. Glatzel, Otto Stange, F. Balde

Player stats

Top rated
L. VuškovićHamburger SV9.5
2nd
C. EriksenVfL Wolfsburg7.7
3rd
Jean-Luc DompeHamburger SV7.2

VfL Wolfsburg

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
K. Grabara G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 44% 27 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
K. Koulierakis D 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 78% 46 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.3
M. Jenz D 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 39 0 2 0/0 4/0 5.3
J. Adjetey D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 46 2 1 0/0 4/0 6.2
J. Belocian D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 31 1 1 0/2 1/0 6.0
Vinicius Souza M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 39 2 2 0/0 3/1 7.0
Y. Gerhardt M 60 0 0 0 (0) 0 65% 23 1 0 0/2 1/2 6.7
Jan Bürger 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 45% 11 0 0 0/1 0/2 6.3
C. Eriksen M 90 1 0 1 (1) 4 59% 34 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.7
J. Lindstrøm M 60 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 6 0 0 2/3 1/0 6.2
D. Pejčinović F 69 0 0 3 (1) 0 75% 24 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
L. Majer M 30 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 13 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.7
M. Arnold M 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
A. Daghim F 30 0 0 1 (0) 0 64% 11 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
K. Shiogai F 21 0 0 1 (0) 0 75% 4 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.6
M. Amoura F 30 0 0 0 (0) 1 64% 11 0 0 2/2 0/0 6.3

Hamburger SV

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Heuer Fernandes G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 52% 50 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
J. Torunarigha D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 36 2 1 0/0 1/1 6.6
L. Vušković D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 70% 54 1 3 0/0 0/2 9.5
Daniel Elfadli D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 25 0 0 0/0 2/0 5.3
M. Muheim D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 30 3 3 0/1 2/1 6.9
N. Remberg M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 38 2 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
A. Sambi Lokonga M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 88% 32 0 0 0/0 0/3 6.9
W. Mikelbrencis D 86 0 0 0 (0) 0 72% 18 3 1 3/5 0/1 7.0
Jean-Luc Dompe F 67 1 0 4 (3) 1 80% 15 0 0 1/1 0/1 7.2
P. Otele F 67 0 0 1 (1) 1 79% 14 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.6
R. Königsdörffer F 77 0 0 1 (1) 0 56% 18 1 0 0/1 0/5 6.5
G. Gocholeishvili D 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 1 0/0 0/0 —
W. Omari D 44 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 18 0 1 1/1 0/0 6.6
Fábio Vieira M 23 0 0 1 (1) 0 29% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Y. Poulsen F 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 8 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
D. Downs F 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.