Bundesliga Gameweek 26 Sun, Mar 15 2026 · 14:30 wohninvest WESERSTADION, Bremen
Werder Bremen
0–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.87 – 1.08
FSV Mainz 05
  • 6’ P. Nebel
  • 52’ J. Lee
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

FSV Mainz 05 beat Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen entered as narrow favourites, but FSV Mainz 05 won 2–0 through goals from Nebel and Lee. The chances were even, with xG of 0.87 and 1.08. On the chances created, Werder Bremen deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Werder Bremen41%
Draw27%
FSV Mainz 05 ✓32%

Model vs reality

Werder Bremen goals
0
Model 1.47 · xG 0.87
FSV Mainz 05 goals
2
Model 1.27 · xG 1.08
Total goals
2
Model 2.74 · xG 1.95
Score 0–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 52%
Both scored
No
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. BatzFSV Mainz 05
8.3
  • RefereeMitja Stegemann
  • Venuewohninvest WESERSTADION
  • Table before kick-offWerder Bremen 14th · FSV Mainz 05 15th

Timeline

  1. P. Nebel 0–1Assist P. Mwene
    6’
  2. L. BittencourtYellow card · Roughing
    38’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ J. NjinmahFor K. Topp
    46’
  5. J. Lee 0–2Assist S. Becker
    52’
  6. ⇄ Mick SchmetgensFor J. Malatini
    55’
  7. J. LeeYellow card · Tripping
    62’
  8. J. StageYellow card · misses next match
    63’
  9. ⇄ I. SchmidtFor Y. Sugawara
    69’
  10. ⇄ Patrice ČovićFor L. Bittencourt
    69’
  11. ⇄ N. VeratschnigFor P. Mwene
    72’
  12. ⇄ N. WeiperFor P. Tietz
    72’
  13. ⇄ K. PotulskiFor S. Widmer
    81’
  14. ⇄ Salim MusahFor M. Grüll
    85’
  15. ⇄ Sota KawasakiFor J. Lee
    87’
  16. ⇄ L. MaloneyFor S. Becker
    87’
  17. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Werder Bremen16 shots · 14 in box, 2 outside
FSV Mainz 0511 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
Werder BremenFSV Mainz 05
67% Possession 33%
0.87 Expected goals (xG) 1.08
1.18 Expected points (xPts) 1.51
16 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 2
7 Shots off target 4
6 Blocked shots 5
14 Shots inside the box 9
2 Shots outside the box 2
588 Passes 290
85% Pass accuracy 70%
8 Corners 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.53 Team rating 7.14

Line-ups

Werder Bremen 4-5-1

305.9 M. Backhaus(G)
26.5 O. Deman 326.9 M. Friedl 226.3 J. Malatini ↓55’ 36.3 Y. Sugawara ↓69’
206.6 R. Schmid 187.2 Cameron Puertas 106.9 L. Bittencourt ↓69’ 66.3 J. Stage 175.9 M. Grüll ↓85’
96.6 K. Topp ↓46’
  • 30M. Backhaus (G)5.9
  • 2O. Deman6.5
  • 32M. Friedl6.9
  • 22J. Malatini↓55’6.3
  • 3Y. Sugawara↓69’6.3
  • 20R. Schmid6.6
  • 18Cameron Puertas7.2
  • 10L. Bittencourt↓69’6.9
  • 6J. Stage6.3
  • 17M. Grüll↓85’5.9
  • 9K. Topp↓46’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 11J. Njinmah↑46’6.6
  • 33Mick Schmetgens↑55’7.3
  • 23I. Schmidt↑69’6.6
  • 24Patrice Čović↑69’6.6
  • 29Salim Musah↑85’6.7

Unused: K. Hein, Karim Coulibaly, S. Mbangula, F. Agu

FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2

338.3★ D. Batz(G)
317.2 D. Kohr 47.0 S. Posch 216.6 D. da Costa
27.0 P. Mwene A↓72’ 77.3 J. Lee ↓87’ 67.3 K. Sano 87.9 P. Nebel 306.7 S. Widmer ↓81’
236.9 S. Becker A↓87’ 206.3 P. Tietz ↓72’
  • 33D. Batz (G) ★8.3
  • 31D. Kohr7.2
  • 4S. Posch7.0
  • 21D. da Costa6.6
  • 2P. MweneA↓72’7.0
  • 7J. Lee↓87’7.3
  • 6K. Sano7.3
  • 8P. Nebel7.9
  • 30S. Widmer↓81’6.7
  • 23S. BeckerA↓87’6.9
  • 20P. Tietz↓72’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 22N. Veratschnig↑72’6.7
  • 48K. Potulski↑81’6.3
  • 24Sota Kawasaki↑87’
  • 15L. Maloney↑87’
  • 44N. Weiper↑72’6.9

Unused: L. Rieß, M. Leitsch, W. Bøving, A. Sieb

Player stats

Top rated
D. BatzFSV Mainz 058.3
2nd
P. NebelFSV Mainz 057.9
3rd
Mick SchmetgensWerder Bremen7.3

Werder Bremen

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Backhaus G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 94% 17 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
O. Deman D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 76% 59 0 1 1/1 0/0 6.5
M. Friedl D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 107 0 2 0/0 0/1 6.9
J. Malatini D 55 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 49 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Y. Sugawara D 69 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 28 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
R. Schmid M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 72% 46 1 0 1/2 0/0 6.6
Cameron Puertas M 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 89% 63 2 1 1/3 2/0 7.2
L. Bittencourt M 69 0 0 1 (0) 0 94% 66 1 1 0/0 1/6 6.9
J. Stage M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 72% 29 0 0 0/1 2/0 6.3
M. Grüll F 85 0 0 1 (0) 2 47% 19 0 0 0/1 1/0 5.9
K. Topp F 46 0 0 2 (1) 1 91% 11 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
J. Njinmah F 44 0 0 2 (0) 0 95% 19 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Mick Schmetgens D 35 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 39 1 1 0/0 0/0 7.3
I. Schmidt D 21 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 22 0 0 3/3 0/0 6.6
Patrice Čović M 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 12 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
Salim Musah F 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.7

FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Batz G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 70% 23 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.3
D. Kohr M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 33 1 3 0/0 2/1 7.2
S. Posch D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 69% 29 2 0 0/0 1/1 7.0
D. da Costa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 27 0 2 1/2 0/0 6.6
P. Mwene D 72 0 1 0 (0) 1 67% 21 3 0 0/1 0/0 7.0
J. Lee M 87 1 0 1 (1) 0 67% 33 2 0 1/1 1/0 7.3
K. Sano M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 80% 30 3 4 2/2 0/1 7.3
P. Nebel M 90 1 0 1 (1) 3 87% 31 3 0 1/1 0/2 7.9
S. Widmer D 81 0 0 0 (0) 1 71% 21 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
S. Becker F 87 0 1 0 (0) 2 59% 17 0 0 1/1 2/0 6.9
P. Tietz F 72 0 0 2 (0) 0 23% 13 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
N. Veratschnig D 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
K. Potulski D 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Sota Kawasaki M 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
L. Maloney D 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
N. Weiper F 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 8 0 2 1/1 0/0 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.