Bundesliga Gameweek 6 Sat, Oct 17 2026 · 14:30 Weser-Stadion, Bremen
2–2 Full time · HT 0–2 xG 2.88 – 0.93
  • N. Füllkrug 59’, 65’ (P)
  • 18’ S. Marino
  • 30’ S. Tigges
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Werder Bremen fight back from two goals down

Werder Bremen entered as favourites, yet SC Paderborn 07 led 2–0 at half-time through goals from Marino and Tigges. But Füllkrug struck twice to rescue a draw for Werder Bremen. Werder Bremen finished with the higher xG (2.88 vs 0.93). On the chances created, Werder Bremen deserved more: 2.5 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Werder Bremen49%
Draw ✓23%
SC Paderborn 0728%

Model vs reality

Werder Bremen goals
2
Model 1.97 · xG 2.88
SC Paderborn 07 goals
2
Model 1.45 · xG 0.93
Total goals
4
Model 3.42 · xG 3.81
Score 2–2
7%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 66%
Both scored
Yes
Model 66%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. NollSC Paderborn 07
8.3
  • RefereeRobert Schröder
  • CoachesD. Thioune · Ralf Kettemann
  • VenueWeser-Stadion
  • Table before kick-offWerder Bremen 7th · SC Paderborn 07 15th
  • Weather at kick-off14°C · Partly cloudy · wind 17 km/h

Timeline

  1. S. MarinoYellow card · Foul
    4’
  2. S. Marino 0–1Assist S. Tigges
    18’
  3. S. Tigges 0–2
    30’
  4. ⇄ M. WeiserFor Chuky
    45’
  5. Half time · 0–2
  6. N. Füllkrug 1–2Assist E. Dinkçi
    59’
  7. ⇄ C. IttenFor E. Dinkçi
    63’
  8. N. Füllkrug (pen) 2–2
    65’
  9. ⇄ Rayan PhilippeFor S. Marino
    66’
  10. ⇄ T. BaackFor L. Ulrich
    66’
  11. ⇄ Ruben MüllerFor G. Vidović
    75’
  12. ⇄ M. PieringerFor S. Tigges
    75’
  13. ⇄ D. StalmachFor L. Reis
    79’
  14. Y. RegeerYellow card · Foul
    86’
  15. ⇄ P. ErevbenagieFor Y. Regeer
    88’
  16. ⇄ Jonah StickerFor M. Hansen
    88’
  17. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Werder Bremen18 shots · 13 in box, 5 outside
SC Paderborn 0711 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
61% Possession 39%
2.88 Expected goals (xG) 0.93
2.45 Expected points (xPts) 0.41
18 Shots 11
11 Shots on target 4
4 Shots off target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
13 Shots inside the box 9
5 Shots outside the box 2
627 Passes 398
86% Pass accuracy 80%
5 Corners 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
11 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.77 Team rating 6.85

Line-ups

Werder Bremen 4-2-3-1

15.8 K. Hein(G)
27.0 O. Deman 326.8 M. Friedl 57.0 A. Pieper 136.2 Arthur
447.2 Y. Regeer ↓88’ 156.2 L. Reis ↓79’
176.5 M. Grüll 206.0 Chuky ↓45’ 187.7 E. Dinkçi A↓63’
108.2 N. Füllkrug
  • 1K. Hein (G)5.8
  • 2O. Deman7.0
  • 32M. Friedl6.8
  • 5A. Pieper7.0
  • 13Arthur6.2
  • 44Y. Regeer↓88’7.2
  • 15L. Reis↓79’6.2
  • 17M. Grüll6.5
  • 20Chuky↓45’6.0
  • 18E. DinkçiA↓63’7.7
  • 10N. Füllkrug8.2

Substitutes used

  • 38P. Erevbenagie↑88’6.5
  • 26C. Itten↑63’6.4
  • 23D. Stalmach↑79’6.1
  • 8M. Weiser↑45’6.4

Unused: A. Schlager, Mick Schmetgens, D. Soylu, N. Stark, O. Wójcik

Coach: D. Thioune

SC Paderborn 07 3-1-4-2

158.3★ N. Noll(G)
226.9 M. Hansen ↓88’ 257.1 T. Scheller 216.4 J. ter Horst
56.4 S. Castañeda
236.5 R. Obermair 406.2 G. Vidović ↓75’ 286.3 L. Ulrich ↓66’ 176.1 L. Curda
278.1 S. Tigges A↓75’ 307.7 S. Marino ↓66’
  • 15N. Noll (G) ★8.3
  • 22M. Hansen↓88’6.9
  • 25T. Scheller7.1
  • 21J. ter Horst6.4
  • 5S. Castañeda6.4
  • 23R. Obermair6.5
  • 40G. Vidović↓75’6.2
  • 28L. Ulrich↓66’6.3
  • 17L. Curda6.1
  • 27S. TiggesA↓75’8.1
  • 30S. Marino↓66’7.7

Substitutes used

  • 9Rayan Philippe↑66’6.5
  • 18M. Pieringer↑75’6.5
  • 3Jonah Sticker↑88’6.3
  • 2Ruben Müller↑75’6.6
  • 6T. Baack↑66’6.2

Unused: M. Schubert, D. Zeitler, S. Michel, C. Lippmann

Coach: Ralf Kettemann

Player stats

Top rated
N. NollSC Paderborn 078.3
2nd
N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen8.2
3rd
S. TiggesSC Paderborn 078.1

Werder Bremen

SC Paderborn 07

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.