Premier League Gameweek 16 Sun, Dec 14 2025 · 14:00 London Stadium, London
West Ham
2–3 Full time · HT 2–1 xG 1.03 – 0.67
Aston Villa
  • Mateus Fernandes 1’
  • J. Bowen 24’
  • 9’ (OG) K. Mavropanos
  • 50’, 79’ M. Rogers
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Aston Villa come from behind to beat West Ham

Aston Villa entered as favourites, yet West Ham led 1–0 after 1 minutes through a Fernandes goal. But an own goal and Rogers scored to turn it around for Aston Villa, who won 3–2. Aston Villa won despite the lower xG; West Ham created the better chances (1.03 vs 0.67). On the chances created, West Ham deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

West Ham26%
Draw25%
Aston Villa ✓49%

Model vs reality

West Ham goals
2
Model 1.19 · xG 1.03
Aston Villa goals
3
Model 1.71 · xG 0.67
Total goals
5
Model 2.90 · xG 1.70
Score 2–3
3%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. RogersAston Villa · 2 goals
9.2
  • RefereeAnthony Taylor
  • VenueLondon Stadium
  • Table before kick-offWest Ham 18th · Aston Villa 3rd

Timeline

  1. Mateus Fernandes 1–0
    1’
  2. K. Mavropanos (own goal) 1–1
    9’
  3. J. Bowen 2–1Assist F. Potts
    24’
  4. B. KamaraYellow card · Foul
    38’
  5. M. CashYellow card · Foul
    42’
  6. Half time · 2–1
  7. M. Rogers 2–2Assist Y. Tielemans
    50’
  8. ⇄ D. MalenFor A. Onana
    64’
  9. ⇄ L. DigneFor I. Maatsen
    75’
  10. ⇄ E. BuendíaFor O. Watkins
    75’
  11. M. Rogers 2–3Assist V. Lindelöf
    79’
  12. ⇄ C. WilsonFor S. Magassa
    81’
  13. ⇄ T. SoučekFor F. Potts
    88’
  14. ⇄ G. RodríguezFor Lucas Paquetá
    89’
  15. ⇄ M. KantéFor C. Summerville
    89’
  16. E. DioufYellow card · Argument
    90+2’
  17. Full time · 2–3

Team stats

West Ham10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
Aston Villa7 shots · 4 in box, 3 outside
West HamAston Villa
41% Possession 59%
1.03 Expected goals (xG) 0.67
1.63 Expected points (xPts) 1.03
10 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
4 Shots off target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
7 Shots inside the box 4
3 Shots outside the box 3
386 Passes 566
84% Pass accuracy 89%
5 Corners 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
18 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.33 Team rating 6.82

Line-ups

West Ham 4-3-1-2

235.3 A. Areola(G)
125.9 E. Diouf 256.2 J. Todibo 155.7 K. Mavropanos 295.5 A. Wan-Bissaka
186.9 Mateus Fernandes 327.2 F. Potts A↓88’ 276.9 S. Magassa ↓81’
106.0 Lucas Paquetá ↓89’
76.9 C. Summerville ↓89’ 207.2 J. Bowen
  • 23A. Areola (G)5.3
  • 12E. Diouf5.9
  • 25J. Todibo6.2
  • 15K. Mavropanos5.7
  • 29A. Wan-Bissaka5.5
  • 18Mateus Fernandes6.9
  • 32F. PottsA↓88’7.2
  • 27S. Magassa↓81’6.9
  • 10Lucas Paquetá↓89’6.0
  • 7C. Summerville↓89’6.9
  • 20J. Bowen7.2

Substitutes used

  • 9C. Wilson↑81’6.2
  • 28T. Souček↑88’6.7
  • 24G. Rodríguez↑89’
  • 55M. Kanté↑89’

Unused: M. Hermansen, K. Walker-Peters, Igor Julio, M. Kilman, O. Scarles

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

406.3 M. Bizot(G)
226.6 I. Maatsen ↓75’ 36.9 V. Lindelöf A 46.0 E. Konsa 26.3 M. Cash
246.7 A. Onana ↓64’ 446.3 B. Kamara
279.2★ M. Rogers 87.3 Y. Tielemans A 77.0 J. McGinn
116.5 O. Watkins ↓75’
  • 40M. Bizot (G)6.3
  • 22I. Maatsen↓75’6.6
  • 3V. LindelöfA6.9
  • 4E. Konsa6.0
  • 2M. Cash6.3
  • 24A. Onana↓64’6.7
  • 44B. Kamara6.3
  • 27M. Rogers ★9.2
  • 8Y. TielemansA7.3
  • 7J. McGinn7.0
  • 11O. Watkins↓75’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 17D. Malen↑64’6.3
  • 12L. Digne↑75’6.9
  • 10E. Buendía↑75’6.7

Unused: J. Wright, L. Bogarde, J. Sancho, E. Guessand, George Hemmings, Andrés García

Player stats

Top rated
M. RogersAston Villa9.2
2nd
Y. TielemansAston Villa7.3
3rd
F. PottsWest Ham7.2

West Ham

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Areola G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 42% 24 0 0 0/0 0/1 5.3
E. Diouf D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 88% 25 2 0 0/2 2/1 5.9
J. Todibo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 96% 49 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.2
K. Mavropanos D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 44 2 4 0/0 1/2 5.7
A. Wan-Bissaka D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 30 1 1 1/6 0/0 5.5
Mateus Fernandes M 90 1 0 2 (1) 0 86% 56 1 1 0/0 3/1 6.9
F. Potts M 88 0 1 0 (0) 1 96% 45 3 1 0/0 1/2 7.2
S. Magassa M 81 0 0 1 (1) 1 86% 35 5 2 0/1 1/1 6.9
Lucas Paquetá M 89 0 0 0 (0) 1 76% 38 0 0 0/1 3/0 6.0
C. Summerville F 89 0 0 2 (0) 1 79% 14 1 0 2/2 3/4 6.9
J. Bowen F 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 75% 12 2 0 2/5 2/1 7.2
C. Wilson F 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
T. Souček M 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
G. Rodríguez M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 8 0 0 0/0 1/0 —
M. Kanté M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Bizot G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 87% 39 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
I. Maatsen D 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 56 4 0 3/5 0/0 6.6
V. Lindelöf D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 90% 69 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
E. Konsa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 98% 86 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.0
M. Cash D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 49 3 1 0/0 2/1 6.3
A. Onana M 64 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 57 2 1 0/1 1/2 6.7
B. Kamara M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 63 1 1 1/1 2/2 6.3
M. Rogers F 90 2 0 4 (2) 0 82% 39 3 1 3/5 2/0 9.2
Y. Tielemans M 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 92% 48 2 1 1/2 3/4 7.3
J. McGinn M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 24 3 0 0/0 0/4 7.0
O. Watkins F 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 9 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.5
D. Malen F 26 0 0 1 (1) 1 100% 1 0 0 1/2 1/1 6.3
L. Digne D 15 0 0 1 (1) 0 81% 16 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
E. Buendía M 15 0 0 0 (0) 2 90% 10 2 0 1/1 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.