Premier League Gameweek 21 Tue, Jan 6 2026 · 20:00 London Stadium, London
1–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.95 – 1.38
  • Murillo 13’ (OG)
  • 55’ N. Domínguez
  • 89’ (P) M. Gibbs-White
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nottingham Forest come from behind to beat West Ham

West Ham led 1–0 at half-time through an own goal. But Domínguez and Gibbs-White scored to turn it around for Nottingham Forest, who won 2–1. Nottingham Forest finished with the higher xG (1.38 vs 0.95). On the chances created, West Ham deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

West Ham36%
Draw26%
Nottingham Forest ✓38%

Model vs reality

West Ham goals
1
Model 1.39 · xG 0.95
Nottingham Forest goals
2
Model 1.43 · xG 1.38
Total goals
3
Model 2.82 · xG 2.33
Score 1–2
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 54%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeTony Harrington
  • VenueLondon Stadium
  • Table before kick-offWest Ham 18th · Nottingham Forest 17th

Timeline

  1. Murillo (own goal) 1–0
    13’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. ⇄ D. BakwaFor O. Hutchinson
    46’
  4. VAR C. SummervilleGoal cancelled
    52’
  5. N. Domínguez 1–1Assist E. Anderson
    55’
  6. J. TodiboYellow card · Foul
    61’
  7. ⇄ E. MayersFor O. Scarles
    63’
  8. ⇄ PabloFor Lucas Paquetá
    63’
  9. ⇄ F. PottsFor Mateus Fernandes
    80’
  10. VAR M. Gibbs-WhitePenalty confirmed
    86’
  11. M. Gibbs-White (pen) 1–2
    89’
  12. K. Walker-PetersYellow card · Foul
    90+4’
  13. K. MavropanosYellow card · Foul
    90+6’
  14. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

West Ham14 shots · 11 in box, 3 outside
Nottingham Forest13 shots · 7 in box, 6 outside
West HamNottingham Forest
47% Possession 53%
0.95 Expected goals (xG) 1.38
1.05 Expected points (xPts) 1.68
14 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
6 Shots off target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
11 Shots inside the box 7
3 Shots outside the box 6
379 Passes 418
77% Pass accuracy 81%
6 Corners 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
15 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.62 Team rating 7.03

Line-ups

West Ham 4-2-3-1

236.6 A. Areola(G)
306.9 O. Scarles ↓63’ 256.3 J. Todibo 156.3 K. Mavropanos 26.9 K. Walker-Peters
187.2 Mateus Fernandes ↓80’ 287.2 T. Souček
76.3 C. Summerville 106.2 Lucas Paquetá ↓63’ 206.6 J. Bowen
116.3 V. Castellanos
  • 23A. Areola (G)6.6
  • 30O. Scarles↓63’6.9
  • 25J. Todibo6.3
  • 15K. Mavropanos6.3
  • 2K. Walker-Peters6.9
  • 18Mateus Fernandes↓80’7.2
  • 28T. Souček7.2
  • 7C. Summerville6.3
  • 10Lucas Paquetá↓63’6.2
  • 20J. Bowen6.6
  • 11V. Castellanos6.3

Substitutes used

  • 63E. Mayers↑63’6.7
  • 32F. Potts↑80’6.6
  • 19Pablo↑63’6.7

Unused: M. Hermansen, S. Magassa, G. Rodríguez, M. Kilman, G. Earthy, M. Kanté

Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1

267.5 M. Sels(G)
37.0 N. Williams 57.5 Murillo 316.9 N. Milenković 346.9 T. Aina
167.9 N. Domínguez 87.5 E. Anderson A
76.2 C. Hudson-Odoi 108.0★ M. Gibbs-White 216.2 O. Hutchinson ↓46’
195.6 Igor Jesus
  • 26M. Sels (G)7.5
  • 3N. Williams7.0
  • 5Murillo7.5
  • 31N. Milenković6.9
  • 34T. Aina6.9
  • 16N. Domínguez7.9
  • 8E. AndersonA7.5
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi6.2
  • 10M. Gibbs-White ★8.0
  • 21O. Hutchinson↓46’6.2
  • 19Igor Jesus5.6

Substitutes used

  • 29D. Bakwa↑46’6.5

Unused: A. Gunn, T. Awoniyi, Douglas Luiz, J. McAtee, A. Kalimuendo, Morato, N. Savona, Z. Abbott

Player stats

Top rated
M. Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest8.0
2nd
N. DomínguezNottingham Forest7.9
3rd
M. SelsNottingham Forest7.5

West Ham

Nottingham Forest

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.