Premier League Gameweek 7 Sun, Oct 5 2025 · 14:00 Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands
1–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.56 – 0.92
  • B. Verbruggen 21’ (OG)
  • 86’ J. van Hecke
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Brighton snatch a late draw

Brighton entered as narrow favourites, yet Wolves led 1–0 at half-time through an own goal. But van Hecke scored to rescue a draw for Brighton. Brighton finished with the higher xG (0.92 vs 0.56).

Wolves29%
Draw ✓26%
Brighton46%

Model vs reality

Wolves goals
1
Model 1.24 · xG 0.56
Brighton goals
1
Model 1.62 · xG 0.92
Total goals
2
Model 2.86 · xG 1.48
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. van HeckeBrighton · 1 goal
8.3
  • RefereeJarred Gillett
  • VenueMolineux Stadium
  • Table before kick-offWolves 20th · Brighton 11th

Timeline

  1. C. BalebaYellow card · Foul
    20’
  2. B. Verbruggen (own goal) 1–0
    21’
  3. L. DunkYellow card · Foul
    36’
  4. M. WiefferYellow card · Foul
    43’
  5. D. WelbeckYellow card · Foul
    45+2’
  6. Half time · 1–0
  7. ⇄ G. RutterFor C. Baleba
    46’
  8. S. BuenoYellow card · Foul
    51’
  9. ⇄ E. AgbadouFor H. Hwang
    60’
  10. ⇄ M. De CuyperFor M. Wieffer
    70’
  11. ⇄ S. TzimasFor B. Gruda
    70’
  12. ⇄ J. BellegardeFor J. Strand Larsen
    76’
  13. ⇄ J. MilnerFor D. Gómez
    76’
  14. ⇄ D. Møller WolfeFor S. Bueno
    77’
  15. J. van Hecke 1–1Assist S. Tzimas
    86’
  16. ⇄ T. ArokodareFor M. Munetsi
    90+1’
  17. ⇄ Y. MosqueraFor João Gomes
    90+1’
  18. AndréYellow card · Foul
    90+6’
  19. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Wolves6 shots · 4 in box, 2 outside
Brighton17 shots · 10 in box, 7 outside
WolvesBrighton
42% Possession 58%
0.56 Expected goals (xG) 0.92
1.00 Expected points (xPts) 1.64
6 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 6
3 Shots off target 6
0 Blocked shots 5
4 Shots inside the box 10
2 Shots outside the box 7
353 Passes 492
76% Pass accuracy 87%
2 Corners 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 3
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.85 Team rating 6.72

Line-ups

Wolves 4-3-3

318.2 S. Johnstone(G)
37.2 Hugo Bueno 376.9 L. Krejčí 46.3 S. Bueno ↓77’ 386.6 J. Tchatchoua
86.3 João Gomes ↓90’ 76.6 André 57.0 M. Munetsi ↓90’
116.9 H. Hwang ↓60’ 96.5 J. Strand Larsen ↓76’ 106.9 J. Arias
  • 31S. Johnstone (G)8.2
  • 3Hugo Bueno7.2
  • 37L. Krejčí6.9
  • 4S. Bueno↓77’6.3
  • 38J. Tchatchoua6.6
  • 8João Gomes↓90’6.3
  • 7André6.6
  • 5M. Munetsi↓90’7.0
  • 11H. Hwang↓60’6.9
  • 9J. Strand Larsen↓76’6.5
  • 10J. Arias6.9

Substitutes used

  • 27J. Bellegarde↑76’6.7
  • 6D. Møller Wolfe↑77’6.3
  • 14T. Arokodare↑90’
  • 15Y. Mosquera↑90’
  • 12E. Agbadou↑60’6.6

Unused: José Sá, R. Gomes, K. Hoever, Fer López

Brighton 4-2-3-1

17.0 B. Verbruggen(G)
246.6 F. Kadıoğlu 56.9 L. Dunk 68.3★ J. van Hecke 275.9 M. Wieffer ↓70’
266.9 Y. Ayari 176.7 C. Baleba ↓46’
116.9 Y. Minteh 256.3 D. Gómez ↓76’ 86.7 B. Gruda ↓70’
185.5 D. Welbeck
  • 1B. Verbruggen (G)7.0
  • 24F. Kadıoğlu6.6
  • 5L. Dunk6.9
  • 6J. van Hecke ★8.3
  • 27M. Wieffer↓70’5.9
  • 26Y. Ayari6.9
  • 17C. Baleba↓46’6.7
  • 11Y. Minteh6.9
  • 25D. Gómez↓76’6.3
  • 8B. Gruda↓70’6.7
  • 18D. Welbeck5.5

Substitutes used

  • 20J. Milner↑76’6.9
  • 10G. Rutter↑46’6.5
  • 29M. De Cuyper↑70’6.9
  • 9S. TzimasA↑70’6.7

Unused: J. Steele, O. Boscagli, D. Coppola, C. Kostoulas, T. Watson

Player stats

Top rated
J. van HeckeBrighton8.3
2nd
S. JohnstoneWolves8.2
3rd
Hugo BuenoWolves7.2

Wolves

Brighton

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.