Premier League Gameweek 9 Sun, Oct 26 2025 · 14:00 Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands
2–3 Full time · HT 2–2 xG 2.28 – 1.43
  • J. Strand Larsen 42’ (P)
  • M. Munetsi 45’
  • 14’, 30’ Z. Flemming
  • 90’ L. Foster
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Foster’s late goal settles it for Burnley

Burnley won 3–2 through goals from Flemming and Foster. Wolves replied through goals from Larsen and Munetsi. Burnley won despite the lower xG; Wolves created the better chances (2.28 vs 1.43). On the chances created, Wolves deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Wolves37%
Draw27%
Burnley ✓36%

Model vs reality

Wolves goals
2
Model 1.39 · xG 2.28
Burnley goals
3
Model 1.37 · xG 1.43
Total goals
5
Model 2.76 · xG 3.71
Score 2–3
3%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchZ. FlemmingBurnley · 2 goals
9.3
  • RefereeTony Harrington
  • VenueMolineux Stadium
  • Table before kick-offWolves 20th · Burnley 17th

Timeline

  1. Z. Flemming 0–1Assist Q. Hartman
    14’
  2. Z. Flemming 0–2Assist Q. Hartman
    30’
  3. J. BellegardeYellow card · Foul
    35’
  4. J. Strand Larsen (pen) 1–2
    42’
  5. M. Munetsi 2–2Assist L. Krejčí
    45’
  6. Half time · 2–2
  7. ⇄ H. HwangFor J. Arias
    68’
  8. ⇄ João GomesFor André
    68’
  9. ⇄ J. LaurentFor J. Bruun Larsen
    69’
  10. ⇄ J. TchatchouaFor K. Hoever
    76’
  11. ⇄ L. FosterFor J. Anthony
    77’
  12. ⇄ D. Møller WolfeFor Hugo Bueno
    84’
  13. ⇄ T. ArokodareFor M. Munetsi
    84’
  14. L. Foster 2–3Assist H. Mejbri
    90’
  15. ⇄ H. MejbriFor Florentino
    90+3’
  16. ⇄ H. EkdalFor L. Ugochukwu
    90+3’
  17. Full time · 2–3

Team stats

Wolves15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
Burnley11 shots · 6 in box, 5 outside
WolvesBurnley
57% Possession 43%
2.28 Expected goals (xG) 1.43
1.90 Expected points (xPts) 0.90
15 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 7
6 Shots off target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
10 Shots inside the box 6
5 Shots outside the box 5
493 Passes 391
84% Pass accuracy 79%
4 Corners 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.76 Team rating 6.89

Line-ups

Wolves 4-3-3

316.9 S. Johnstone(G)
36.6 Hugo Bueno ↓84’ 377.2 L. Krejčí A 47.0 S. Bueno 266.3 K. Hoever ↓76’
276.3 J. Bellegarde 76.5 André ↓68’ 56.9 M. Munetsi ↓84’
216.7 R. Gomes 97.2 J. Strand Larsen 106.7 J. Arias ↓68’
  • 31S. Johnstone (G)6.9
  • 3Hugo Bueno↓84’6.6
  • 37L. KrejčíA7.2
  • 4S. Bueno7.0
  • 26K. Hoever↓76’6.3
  • 27J. Bellegarde6.3
  • 7André↓68’6.5
  • 5M. Munetsi↓84’6.9
  • 21R. Gomes6.7
  • 9J. Strand Larsen7.2
  • 10J. Arias↓68’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 11H. Hwang↑68’6.7
  • 6D. Møller Wolfe↑84’6.5
  • 14T. Arokodare↑84’6.5
  • 8João Gomes↑68’6.6
  • 38J. Tchatchoua↑76’6.6

Unused: José Sá, E. Agbadou, Toti Gomes, Fer López

Burnley 4-2-3-1

17.3 M. Dúbravka(G)
37.2 Q. Hartman AA 56.5 M. Estève 66.2 A. Tuanzebe 26.6 K. Walker
166.2 Florentino ↓90’ 246.9 J. Cullen
116.3 J. Anthony ↓77’ 87.0 L. Ugochukwu ↓90’ 76.0 J. Bruun Larsen ↓69’
199.3★ Z. Flemming
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)7.3
  • 3Q. HartmanA×27.2
  • 5M. Estève6.5
  • 6A. Tuanzebe6.2
  • 2K. Walker6.6
  • 16Florentino↓90’6.2
  • 24J. Cullen6.9
  • 11J. Anthony↓77’6.3
  • 8L. Ugochukwu↓90’7.0
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen↓69’6.0
  • 19Z. Flemming ★9.3

Substitutes used

  • 28H. MejbriA↑90’
  • 29J. Laurent↑69’6.6
  • 18H. Ekdal↑90’
  • 9L. Foster↑77’7.2

Unused: Max Weiss, A. Broja, L. Tchaouna, Lucas Pires, M. Edwards

Player stats

Top rated
Z. FlemmingBurnley9.3
2nd
M. DúbravkaBurnley7.3
3rd
L. KrejčíWolves7.2

Wolves

Burnley

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.