Premier League Gameweek 25 Sat, Feb 7 2026 · 15:00 Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands
Wolves
1–3 Full time · HT 0–3 xG 1.06 – 3.44
Chelsea
  • T. Arokodare 54’
  • 13’ (P), 35’ (P), 38’ C. Palmer
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Palmer hat-trick sinks Wolves

Chelsea entered as clear favourites and won 3–1 through three Palmer goals. Wolves replied through a Arokodare goal. Chelsea finished with the higher xG (3.44 vs 1.06).

Wolves18%
Draw21%
Chelsea ✓60%

Model vs reality

Wolves goals
1
Model 1.09 · xG 1.06
Chelsea goals
3
Model 2.11 · xG 3.44
Total goals
4
Model 3.20 · xG 4.50
Score 1–3
7%
Most likely 1–2 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 62%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. PalmerChelsea · 3 goals
8.9
  • RefereeJarred Gillett
  • VenueMolineux Stadium
  • Table before kick-offWolves 20th · Chelsea 5th

Timeline

  1. C. Palmer (pen) 0–1
    13’
  2. C. Palmer (pen) 0–2
    35’
  3. C. Palmer 0–3Assist Marc Cucurella
    38’
  4. ⇄ L. KrejčíFor H. Hwang
    43’
  5. A. ArmstrongYellow card · Foul
    45+4’
  6. Half time · 0–3
  7. ⇄ R. GomesFor M. Doherty
    46’
  8. T. Arokodare 1–3Assist A. Armstrong
    54’
  9. ⇄ A. GarnachoFor C. Palmer
    61’
  10. Marc CucurellaYellow card · Handball
    73’
  11. ⇄ L. DelapFor João Pedro
    75’
  12. ⇄ J. AcheampongFor M. Gusto
    75’
  13. ⇄ J. BellegardeFor A. Gomes
    80’
  14. ⇄ J. HatoFor Andrey Santos
    84’
  15. ⇄ Pedro LimaFor João Gomes
    90+1’
  16. Full time · 1–3

Team stats

Wolves11 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
Chelsea15 shots · 11 in box, 4 outside
WolvesChelsea
34% Possession 66%
1.06 Expected goals (xG) 3.44
0.34 Expected points (xPts) 2.55
11 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
4 Shots off target 3
4 Blocked shots 6
9 Shots inside the box 11
2 Shots outside the box 4
365 Passes 747
84% Pass accuracy 93%
3 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.64 Team rating 7.06

Line-ups

Wolves 4-2-3-1

16.6 José Sá(G)
36.5 Hugo Bueno 46.0 S. Bueno 156.3 Y. Mosquera 25.5 M. Doherty ↓46’
477.2 A. Gomes ↓80’ 86.9 João Gomes ↓90’
97.0 A. Armstrong A 366.6 Mateus Mané 116.5 H. Hwang ↓43’
147.5 T. Arokodare
  • 1José Sá (G)6.6
  • 3Hugo Bueno6.5
  • 4S. Bueno6.0
  • 15Y. Mosquera6.3
  • 2M. Doherty↓46’5.5
  • 47A. Gomes↓80’7.2
  • 8João Gomes↓90’6.9
  • 9A. ArmstrongA7.0
  • 36Mateus Mané6.6
  • 11H. Hwang↓43’6.5
  • 14T. Arokodare7.5

Substitutes used

  • 27J. Bellegarde↑80’6.7
  • 21R. Gomes↑46’6.6
  • 37L. Krejčí↑43’6.3
  • 17Pedro Lima↑90’6.6

Unused: S. Johnstone, D. Møller Wolfe, J. Tchatchoua, T. Edozie, L. Rawlings

Chelsea 4-2-3-1

16.9 Robert Sánchez(G)
36.6 Marc Cucurella A 236.9 T. Chalobah 297.2 W. Fofana 276.6 M. Gusto ↓75’
257.7 M. Caicedo 177.2 Andrey Santos ↓84’
86.3 E. Fernández 108.9★ C. Palmer ↓61’ 76.5 Pedro Neto
208.0 João Pedro ↓75’
  • 1Robert Sánchez (G)6.9
  • 3Marc CucurellaA6.6
  • 23T. Chalobah6.9
  • 29W. Fofana7.2
  • 27M. Gusto↓75’6.6
  • 25M. Caicedo7.7
  • 17Andrey Santos↓84’7.2
  • 8E. Fernández6.3
  • 10C. Palmer ★↓61’8.9
  • 7Pedro Neto6.5
  • 20João Pedro↓75’8.0

Substitutes used

  • 49A. Garnacho↑61’6.2
  • 9L. Delap↑75’6.3
  • 21J. Hato↑84’6.9
  • 34J. Acheampong↑75’6.9

Unused: T. Sharman-Lowe, B. Badiashile, M. Sarr, Marc Guiu, Estêvão

Player stats

Top rated
C. PalmerChelsea8.9
2nd
João PedroChelsea8.0
3rd
M. CaicedoChelsea7.7

Wolves

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
José Sá G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 85% 34 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Hugo Bueno D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 81% 27 2 2 1/2 0/1 6.5
S. Bueno D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 46 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.0
Y. Mosquera D 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 87% 53 2 0 1/3 2/2 6.3
M. Doherty D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 20 0 2 1/1 1/0 5.5
A. Gomes M 80 0 0 0 (0) 2 94% 35 2 0 2/2 1/2 7.2
João Gomes M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 46 4 0 1/2 0/0 6.9
A. Armstrong F 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 80% 10 0 0 2/3 2/0 7.0
Mateus Mané F 90 0 0 2 (0) 2 69% 26 1 0 3/5 0/1 6.6
H. Hwang F 43 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 1 0/0 1/3 6.5
T. Arokodare F 90 1 0 2 (2) 0 67% 15 0 0 1/1 0/0 7.5
J. Bellegarde M 10 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 9 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.7
R. Gomes F 44 0 0 1 (1) 1 83% 12 0 2 1/1 0/0 6.6
L. Krejčí D 47 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 26 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
Pedro Lima D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6

Chelsea

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Robert Sánchez G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 90% 48 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
Marc Cucurella D 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 92% 73 1 2 0/0 2/0 6.6
T. Chalobah D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 98% 99 1 3 0/0 0/0 6.9
W. Fofana D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 98% 94 0 1 1/1 0/0 7.2
M. Gusto D 75 0 0 1 (1) 2 88% 59 6 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
M. Caicedo M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 96% 101 7 2 0/0 2/1 7.7
Andrey Santos M 84 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 75 2 0 0/0 0/2 7.2
E. Fernández M 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 89% 75 0 0 0/1 2/1 6.3
C. Palmer M 61 3 0 3 (3) 0 85% 34 0 0 1/1 0/0 8.9
Pedro Neto F 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 97% 32 1 0 1/3 0/1 6.5
João Pedro F 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 8 1 0 4/4 2/3 8.0
A. Garnacho F 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 12 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
L. Delap F 15 0 0 1 (1) 0 57% 7 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
J. Hato D 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 10 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.9
J. Acheampong D 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 20 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.