Premier League Gameweek 14 Wed, Dec 3 2025 · 19:30 Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands
Wolves
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.91 – 0.74
Nottingham Forest
  • 72’ Igor Jesus
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Jesus goal decides it for Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Jesus goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.91 and 0.74. On the chances created, Wolves deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Wolves32%
Draw26%
Nottingham Forest ✓43%

Model vs reality

Wolves goals
0
Model 1.33 · xG 0.91
Nottingham Forest goals
1
Model 1.58 · xG 0.74
Total goals
1
Model 2.90 · xG 1.65
Score 0–1
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 55%
Both scored
No
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchMoratoNottingham Forest
7.3
  • RefereeTim Robinson
  • VenueMolineux Stadium
  • Table before kick-offWolves 20th · Nottingham Forest 16th

Timeline

  1. N. MilenkovićYellow card · Foul
    19’
  2. VAR Igor JesusGoal cancelled
    41’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. João GomesYellow card · Foul
    52’
  5. E. AndersonYellow card · Foul
    61’
  6. Y. MosqueraYellow card · Foul
    67’
  7. ⇄ H. HwangFor J. Bellegarde
    67’
  8. ⇄ R. YatesFor I. Sangaré
    67’
  9. ⇄ C. Hudson-OdoiFor D. Ndoye
    67’
  10. Igor Jesus 0–1Assist O. Hutchinson
    72’
  11. ⇄ T. ArokodareFor J. Arias
    81’
  12. ⇄ Mateus ManéFor Y. Mosquera
    81’
  13. ⇄ K. HoeverFor J. Tchatchoua
    81’
  14. ⇄ M. MunetsiFor João Gomes
    85’
  15. ⇄ N. DomínguezFor M. Gibbs-White
    90+3’
  16. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Wolves5 shots · 4 in box, 1 outside
Nottingham Forest10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
WolvesNottingham Forest
50% Possession 50%
0.91 Expected goals (xG) 0.74
1.47 Expected points (xPts) 1.18
5 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 3
2 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Shots inside the box 7
1 Shots outside the box 3
415 Passes 416
79% Pass accuracy 80%
3 Corners 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
19 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.64 Team rating 6.97

Line-ups

Wolves 3-4-3

315.9 S. Johnstone(G)
247.0 Toti Gomes 126.3 E. Agbadou 156.3 Y. Mosquera ↓81’
66.9 D. Møller Wolfe 86.5 João Gomes ↓85’ 76.9 André 387.2 J. Tchatchoua ↓81’
276.9 J. Bellegarde ↓67’ 96.5 J. Strand Larsen 106.7 J. Arias ↓81’
  • 31S. Johnstone (G)5.9
  • 24Toti Gomes7.0
  • 12E. Agbadou6.3
  • 15Y. Mosquera↓81’6.3
  • 6D. Møller Wolfe6.9
  • 8João Gomes↓85’6.5
  • 7André6.9
  • 38J. Tchatchoua↓81’7.2
  • 27J. Bellegarde↓67’6.9
  • 9J. Strand Larsen6.5
  • 10J. Arias↓81’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 11H. Hwang↑67’6.9
  • 14T. Arokodare↑81’6.3
  • 36Mateus Mané↑81’6.5
  • 5M. Munetsi↑85’6.3
  • 26K. Hoever↑81’6.6

Unused: José Sá, M. Doherty, S. Bueno, T. Chirewa

Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1

267.2 M. Sels(G)
36.7 N. Williams 47.3★ Morato 317.2 N. Milenković 376.9 N. Savona
87.0 E. Anderson 66.9 I. Sangaré ↓67’
146.3 D. Ndoye ↓67’ 107.0 M. Gibbs-White ↓90’ 216.7 O. Hutchinson A
197.3 Igor Jesus
  • 26M. Sels (G)7.2
  • 3N. Williams6.7
  • 4Morato ★7.3
  • 31N. Milenković7.2
  • 37N. Savona6.9
  • 8E. Anderson7.0
  • 6I. Sangaré↓67’6.9
  • 14D. Ndoye↓67’6.3
  • 10M. Gibbs-White↓90’7.0
  • 21O. HutchinsonA6.7
  • 19Igor Jesus7.3

Substitutes used

  • 22R. Yates↑67’7.0
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi↑67’6.9
  • 16N. Domínguez↑90’

Unused: John Victor, J. McAtee, Jair, W. Boly, A. Kalimuendo, Z. Abbott

Player stats

Top rated
MoratoNottingham Forest7.3
2nd
Igor JesusNottingham Forest7.3
3rd
J. TchatchouaWolves7.2

Wolves

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. Johnstone G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 53% 40 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
Toti Gomes D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 62 0 3 2/2 1/2 7.0
E. Agbadou D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 57 1 2 0/0 1/0 6.3
Y. Mosquera D 81 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 38 4 0 0/1 3/0 6.3
D. Møller Wolfe D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 76% 33 1 2 1/1 1/1 6.9
João Gomes M 85 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 39 2 1 1/1 2/1 6.5
André M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 95% 39 2 0 1/1 2/1 6.9
J. Tchatchoua D 81 0 0 0 (0) 1 52% 21 2 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
J. Bellegarde M 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 18 2 0 1/2 2/1 6.9
J. Strand Larsen F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 14 1 0 0/0 2/1 6.5
J. Arias M 81 0 0 1 (0) 0 80% 15 2 0 1/3 1/4 6.7
H. Hwang F 23 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 13 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.9
T. Arokodare F 9 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 6 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
Mateus Mané F 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 1 0 1/2 0/0 6.5
M. Munetsi M 5 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 6 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
K. Hoever D 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 11 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.6

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Sels G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 59% 22 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
N. Williams D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 86% 50 0 2 1/2 0/2 6.7
Morato D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 50 0 1 1/1 0/1 7.3
N. Milenković D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 47 1 0 0/0 2/2 7.2
N. Savona D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 39 1 1 0/0 2/1 6.9
E. Anderson M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 66 1 0 0/0 3/6 7.0
I. Sangaré M 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 28 1 1 0/0 0/3 6.9
D. Ndoye F 67 0 0 1 (0) 1 87% 15 1 0 1/3 0/0 6.3
M. Gibbs-White M 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 74% 34 4 0 0/1 0/1 7.0
O. Hutchinson F 90 0 1 2 (1) 3 74% 23 1 0 0/4 2/0 6.7
Igor Jesus F 90 1 0 2 (1) 0 76% 17 2 0 1/1 2/1 7.3
R. Yates M 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 11 3 0 0/0 0/2 7.0
C. Hudson-Odoi F 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 11 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
N. Domínguez M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.