Zulte Waregem
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Club Brugge KV were slight favourites.
Club Brugge KV were the stronger side on L90 Strength (63 vs 25). Zulte Waregem had 6 days of rest, Club Brugge KV 7 and had to travel 38 km.
Away travel38 kmRest days6 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 1
Zulte Waregem22%
Draw25%
Club Brugge KV53%
Zulte Waregem22%
Draw25%
Club Brugge KV53%
Zulte Waregem21%
Draw25%
Club Brugge KV54%
Zulte Waregem17%
Draw22%
Club Brugge KV61%
Zulte Waregem22%
Draw25%
Club Brugge KV53%
Over 2.5 53%
Both score 54%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Waregem)
No weather data yet
RefereeJan Boterberg
- Cards per match 2.8
- Penalties per match 0.25
- Matches 16
Team strength
Zulte Waregem
Club Brugge KV
25
L90 StrengthIn forecast
63
30
Current StrengthIn forecast
75
27
AttackIn forecast
86
31
DefenceIn forecast
58
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisClub Brugge KV
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Zulte WaregemClub Brugge KV
1.67
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.67
2.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
1.34
xGVia Att/Def
1.60
1.37
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.20
+0.33
Goals minus xGContext
+0.07
100%
Scored inContext
100%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
33%
14.00
ShotsContext
16.33
5.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.67
36%
On target shareContext
29%
8.67
Shots in the boxContext
11.67
63%
Box shareContext
72%
12%
ConversionContext
10%
1.50
OffsidesContext
2.00
13.33
Shots allowedContext
12.00
5.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.67
3.33
BlocksContext
1.33
3.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.33
60%
Save rateContext
77%
46%
PossessionIn forecast
62%
407
PassesContext
542
338
Accurate passesContext
475
83%
Pass accuracyContext
88%
6.81
Team ratingContext
7.07
9.67
FoulsContext
10.33
8.67
Fouls sufferedContext
9.67
2.33
Yellow cardsContext
1.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.33
1.67
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.60
2.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.60
1.34
xGVia Att/Def
1.23
1.37
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.69
+0.33
Goals minus xGContext
+0.37
100%
Scored inContext
90%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
14.00
ShotsContext
12.90
5.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.50
36%
On target shareContext
35%
8.67
Shots in the boxContext
9.00
63%
Box shareContext
67%
12%
ConversionContext
12%
—
OffsidesContext
1.38
13.33
Shots allowedContext
14.80
5.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
6.10
3.33
BlocksContext
4.13
3.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.40
60%
Save rateContext
72%
46%
PossessionIn forecast
51%
407
PassesContext
485
338
Accurate passesContext
421
83%
Pass accuracyContext
87%
6.81
Team ratingContext
7.02
9.67
FoulsContext
7.40
8.67
Fouls sufferedContext
7.70
2.33
Yellow cardsContext
1.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.20
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Zulte Waregem
Rest6 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km343 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Club Brugge KV
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel38 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Zulte Waregem |
Club Brugge KV |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 6Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 10 Aug | 7Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 9 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 38 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 343 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 3 | 1 / 1 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7.2 | 14.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Zulte Waregem
Confirmed XI
13B. Gabriël(G)
55Y. Cappelle
31L. Willen
3Anton Tanghe
4L. Lemoine
12W. Paugain
8T. Claes
21Tochukwu Nnadi
36S. Ujka
22J. Opoku
20T. Hedl
Club Brugge KV
Confirmed XI
29N. Jackers(G)
14B. Meijer
58J. Spileers
44B. Mechele
41H. Siquet
6L. Reis
25A. Stanković
8C. Tzolis
20H. Vanaken
11C. Sandra
7N. Tresoldi
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Zulte Waregem
Absences are shown before kick-off
Club Brugge KV
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Zulte Waregem+0.5 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Club Brugge KV-0.5 pp
Home / Away this season
Zulte Waregem · Home
1.00points per game · 1 home games
- W-D-L
- 0-1-0
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 1.00
Club Brugge KV · Away
0.00points per game · 1 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-1
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 2.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 1 this season
| Opponent | Zulte Waregem | Club Brugge KV |
|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | D 1–1 H | L 1–2 A |
| Points | 1 of 3 · 1.00 per game | 0 of 3 · 0.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Zulte Waregem | Club Brugge KV | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.67 | 1.67 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.67 | 2.67 | 2.79 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 67% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 33% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| Games | 3 | 3 |
| Zulte Waregem | Club Brugge KV | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.67 | 1.67 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.67 | 2.67 | 2.79 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 67% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 33% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| Games | 3 | 3 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Zulte Waregem | Club Brugge KV | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 6.33 | 6.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.00 | 4.33 | |
| Match total | 11.33 | 10.33 | 9.24 |
| Over 8.5 | 67% 2/3 | 67% 2/3 | |
| Over 9.5 | 67% 2/3 | 67% 2/3 | |
| Over 10.5 | 67% 2/3 | 67% 2/3 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.33 | 1.33 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.33 | 3.33 | |
| Match total | 3.66 | 4.66 | 4.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 33% 1/3 | 100% 3/3 | |
| Over 4.5 | 33% 1/3 | 33% 1/3 | |
| Zulte Waregem | Club Brugge KV | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 6.33 | 4.56 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.00 | 3.67 | |
| Match total | 11.33 | 8.23 | 9.24 |
| Over 8.5 | 67% 2/3 | 44% 4/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 67% 2/3 | 44% 4/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 67% 2/3 | 44% 4/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.33 | 1.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.33 | 1.80 | |
| Match total | 3.66 | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 33% 1/3 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 33% 1/3 | 20% 2/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Jan Boterberg 16 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards2.63league 3.80
Red cards0.19league 0.20
Cards 5+13%league 36%
Fouls19.1league 23.6
Penalties0.25league 0.48
Home wins50%league 48%
Zulte WaregemNo previous matches with this referee.
Club Brugge KV3 with this referee
Record3-0-0
Cards · opp.0.0 · 1.7
Pens for · against0 · 0
- W10 Mar 24H · OH Leuven3–10
- W10 Feb 24H · AS Eupen4–00
- W6 Aug 23A · KVC Westerlo1–00
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Zulte Waregem3 games · scored 5 · conceded 6
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
1
76-90
Club Brugge KV3 games · scored 5 · conceded 3
2
0-15
16-30
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
61-75
1
76-90
Zulte Waregem3 games · scored 5 · conceded 6
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
1
76-90
Club Brugge KV10 games · scored 16 · conceded 16
3
3
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
5
46-60
5
2
61-75
4
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
