Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Aug 17 2025 · 15:00 Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.13 – 0.99
  • R. Vanwesemael 20’
  • Keisuke Goto 90+1’
  • 70’ O. Mendy
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Goto’s late goal settles it for St. Truiden

St. Truiden entered as narrow favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Vanwesemael and Goto. RAAL La Louvière replied through a Mendy goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.13 and 0.99. On the chances created, RAAL La Louvière deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

St. Truiden ✓46%
Draw27%
RAAL La Louvière27%

Model vs reality

St. Truiden goals
2
Model 1.50 · xG 1.13
RAAL La Louvière goals
1
Model 1.09 · xG 0.99
Total goals
3
Model 2.60 · xG 2.12
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 48%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchL. KokuboSt. Truiden
8.2
  • RefereeBert Verbeke
  • VenueDaio Wasabi Stayen Stadium
  • Table before kick-offSt. Truiden 5th · RAAL La Louvière 12th

Timeline

  1. R. Vanwesemael 1–0Assist A. Ferrari
    20’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. J. LiongolaYellow card
    54’
  4. ⇄ Keisuke GotoFor A. Ferrari
    57’
  5. ⇄ S. SidibeFor J. Liongola
    61’
  6. ⇄ Owen MaesFor M. Pau
    61’
  7. O. Mendy 1–1Assist Wagane Faye
    70’
  8. ⇄ R. MerlenFor I. Sebaoui
    72’
  9. ⇄ S. TaniguchiFor L. Patris
    72’
  10. V. MusliuYellow card
    80’
  11. ⇄ T. EpaillyFor O. Mendy
    84’
  12. Owen MaesYellow card
    86’
  13. ⇄ Kaito MatsuzawaFor R. Vanwesemael
    87’
  14. Keisuke Goto 2–1Assist R. Yamamoto
    90+1’
  15. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

St. Truiden13 shots · 10 in box, 3 outside
RAAL La Louvière11 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
St. TruidenRAAL La Louvière
60% Possession 40%
1.13 Expected goals (xG) 0.99
1.46 Expected points (xPts) 1.24
13 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
4 Shots off target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
10 Shots inside the box 9
3 Shots outside the box 2
520 Passes 330
83% Pass accuracy 75%
4 Corners 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
14 Fouls 9
4 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.21 Team rating 6.82

Line-ups

St. Truiden 4-2-3-1

168.2★ L. Kokubo(G)
36.9 T. Hata 267.3 V. Musliu 207.9 R. Van Helden 196.3 L. Patris ↓72’
86.3 A. Sissako 67.2 R. Yamamoto A
106.9 I. Sebaoui ↓72’ 137.9 R. Ito 607.5 R. Vanwesemael ↓87’
96.7 A. Ferrari A↓57’
  • 16L. Kokubo (G) ★8.2
  • 3T. Hata6.9
  • 26V. Musliu7.3
  • 20R. Van Helden7.9
  • 19L. Patris↓72’6.3
  • 8A. Sissako6.3
  • 6R. YamamotoA7.2
  • 10I. Sebaoui↓72’6.9
  • 13R. Ito7.9
  • 60R. Vanwesemael↓87’7.5
  • 9A. FerrariA↓57’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 42Keisuke Goto↑57’7.3
  • 5S. Taniguchi↑72’6.3
  • 14R. Merlen↑72’6.7
  • 38Kaito Matsuzawa↑87’

Unused: M. Lendfers, A. Diriken, S. Juklerød, W. Janssens, I. Benachour

RAAL La Louvière 5-3-2

217.0 M. Peano(G)
56.3 T. Lutonda 256.9 D. Lamego 137.3 M. Maisonneuve 46.9 Wagane Faye A 116.9 J. Liongola ↓61’
236.6 J. Ito 156.9 S. Lahssaini 107.0 M. Pau ↓61’
297.3 O. Mendy ↓84’ 96.3 M. Guindo
  • 21M. Peano (G)7.0
  • 5T. Lutonda6.3
  • 25D. Lamego6.9
  • 13M. Maisonneuve7.3
  • 4Wagane FayeA6.9
  • 11J. Liongola↓61’6.9
  • 23J. Ito6.6
  • 15S. Lahssaini6.9
  • 10M. Pau↓61’7.0
  • 29O. Mendy↓84’7.3
  • 9M. Guindo6.3

Substitutes used

  • 98Owen Maes↑61’6.3
  • 51S. Sidibe↑61’6.5
  • 12T. Epailly↑84’6.3

Unused: C. De Schrevel, Darío Benavides, N. Gillot, M. Riou, Y. Okou, A. Beka Beka

Player stats

Top rated
L. KokuboSt. Truiden8.2
2nd
R. Van HeldenSt. Truiden7.9
3rd
R. ItoSt. Truiden7.9

St. Truiden

RAAL La Louvière

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.