Zulte Waregem
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
It was too close to call.
The two sides are close in strength. Zulte Waregem had ? days of rest, KV Mechelen ? and had to travel 75 km.
Away travel75 kmMatches / 14d0 · 0
Zulte Waregem40%
Draw27%
KV Mechelen33%
Zulte Waregem40%
Draw27%
KV Mechelen33%
Zulte Waregem40%
Draw27%
KV Mechelen33%
Zulte Waregem33%
Draw27%
KV Mechelen40%
Zulte Waregem40%
Draw27%
KV Mechelen33%
Over 2.5 50%
Both score 55%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Waregem)
No weather data yet
RefereeKevin Van Damme
- Cards per match 3.7
- Penalties per match 0.42
- Matches 12
Team strength
Zulte Waregem
KV Mechelen
25
L90 StrengthIn forecast
29
30
Current StrengthIn forecast
23
27
AttackIn forecast
18
31
DefenceIn forecast
23
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Form indexContext
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In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisKV Mechelen
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Zulte WaregemKV Mechelen
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
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xGVia Att/Def
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xG allowedVia Att/Def
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—
Goals minus xGContext
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Scored inContext
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Clean sheetsContext
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ShotsContext
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Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
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On target shareContext
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Shots in the boxContext
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Box shareContext
—
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ConversionContext
—
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OffsidesContext
—
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Shots allowedContext
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On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
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BlocksContext
—
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Goalkeeper savesContext
—
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Save rateContext
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PossessionIn forecast
—
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PassesContext
—
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Accurate passesContext
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Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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FoulsContext
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Fouls sufferedContext
—
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Yellow cardsContext
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Red cardsContext
—
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.90
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Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.90
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xGVia Att/Def
—
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xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
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Goals minus xGContext
—
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Scored inContext
90%
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Clean sheetsContext
30%
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ShotsContext
11.70
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Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.20
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On target shareContext
36%
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Shots in the boxContext
8.22
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Box shareContext
66%
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ConversionContext
16%
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OffsidesContext
2.67
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Shots allowedContext
15.10
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On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.70
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BlocksContext
4.10
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Goalkeeper savesContext
3.00
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Save rateContext
75%
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PossessionIn forecast
49%
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PassesContext
454
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Accurate passesContext
359
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Pass accuracyContext
79%
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Team ratingContext
7.15
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FoulsContext
9.10
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Fouls sufferedContext
10.20
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Yellow cardsContext
1.20
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Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Zulte Waregem
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
KV Mechelen
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel75 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Zulte Waregem |
KV Mechelen |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | — | — |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 75 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 6.9 | 6.1 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Zulte Waregem
Confirmed XI
13B. Gabriël(G)
55Y. Cappelle
4L. Lemoine
3Anton Tanghe
19Benoit Nyssen
8T. Claes
21Tochukwu Nnadi
22J. Opoku
24Jeppe Erenbjerg
10A. Traoré
9J. Vossen
KV Mechelen
Confirmed XI
1O. De Wolf(G)
3José Marsà
2R. Halhal
17R. Belghali
23Moncef Zekri
16R. Schoofs
6F. Hammar
77P. Pflücke
19A. Mrabti
11N. Storm
20L. Lauberbach
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Zulte Waregem
Absences are shown before kick-off
KV Mechelen
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Zulte Waregem+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- KV Mechelen+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Zulte Waregem · Home
No home games yet this season.
KV Mechelen · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Zulte Waregem | KV Mechelen | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | 2.67 |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | 55% |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
| Zulte Waregem | KV Mechelen | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | 2.67 |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | 55% |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Zulte Waregem | KV Mechelen | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 6.50 |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | — | — | |
| Opponent cards | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 4.00 |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | |
| Zulte Waregem | KV Mechelen | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | 4.33 | |
| Corners conceded | — | 5.11 | |
| Match total | — | 9.44 | 6.50 |
| Over 8.5 | — | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | — | 33% 3/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | — | 33% 3/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | — | 1.20 | |
| Opponent cards | — | 1.80 | |
| Match total | — | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| Over 3.5 | — | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | — | 20% 2/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Kevin Van Damme 12 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.50league 4.00
Red cards0.17league 0.00
Cards 5+42%league 50%
Fouls23.5league 25.5
Penalties0.42league 0.00
Home wins33%league 0%
Zulte WaregemNo previous matches with this referee.
KV Mechelen1 with this referee
Record0-1-0
Cards · opp.4.0 · 1.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- D5 Nov 23A · Standard Liege1–14
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Zulte WaregemKV MechelenZulte WaregemKV Mechelen10 games · scored 19 · conceded 9
1
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
5
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
61-75
7
4
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
