Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Jan 31 2026 · 17:15 Elindus Arena, Waregem
First leg1–3 0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.12 – 1.66
  • 18’ Nacho Ferri
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Ferri goal decides it for KVC Westerlo

Zulte Waregem entered as favourites, but KVC Westerlo won 1–0 through a Ferri goal. KVC Westerlo finished with the higher xG (1.66 vs 1.12). On the chances created, Zulte Waregem deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Zulte Waregem48%
Draw25%
KVC Westerlo ✓27%

Model vs reality

Zulte Waregem goals
0
Model 1.66 · xG 1.12
KVC Westerlo goals
1
Model 1.20 · xG 1.66
Total goals
1
Model 2.86 · xG 2.78
Score 0–1
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 55%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchDylan OuregaKVC Westerlo · 1 assist
8.0
  • RefereeBram Van Driessche
  • CoachesSven Vandenbroeck · —
  • VenueElindus Arena
  • Table before kick-offZulte Waregem 10th · KVC Westerlo 12th

Timeline

  1. Nacho Ferri 0–1Assist Dylan Ourega
    18’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. ⇄ S. SydorchukFor Shunsuke Saito
    46’
  4. A. LapageYellow card
    57’
  5. Anton TangheYellow card
    59’
  6. ⇄ Benoit NyssenFor W. Paugain
    62’
  7. ⇄ E. SogloFor Y. Cappelle
    62’
  8. ⇄ S. GavrielFor J. Opoku
    62’
  9. R. NeustädterYellow card
    65’
  10. ⇄ J. VossenFor Tochukwu Nnadi
    73’
  11. ⇄ B. De JaegereFor Anton Tanghe
    73’
  12. ⇄ B. GouréFor Nacho Ferri
    78’
  13. ⇄ T. Van den KeybusFor I. Sakamoto
    78’
  14. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Zulte Waregem17 shots · 9 in box, 8 outside
KVC Westerlo7 shots · 7 in box
Zulte WaregemKVC Westerlo
55% Possession 45%
1.12 Expected goals (xG) 1.66
1.01 Expected points (xPts) 1.74
17 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 4
5 Shots off target 1
7 Blocked shots 2
9 Shots inside the box 7
8 Shots outside the box 0
479 Passes 392
81% Pass accuracy 80%
6 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Fouls 10
4 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.87 Team rating 7.09

Line-ups

Zulte Waregem 4-4-1-1

137.3 B. Gabriël(G)
556.9 Y. Cappelle ↓62’ 56.9 Jakob Kiilerich 36.9 Anton Tanghe ↓73’ 126.6 W. Paugain ↓62’
397.2 M. Aké 87.0 T. Claes 216.9 Tochukwu Nnadi ↓73’ 226.0 J. Opoku ↓62’
107.2 Jeppe Erenbjerg
186.2 A. Ementa
  • 13B. Gabriël (G)7.3
  • 55Y. Cappelle↓62’6.9
  • 5Jakob Kiilerich6.9
  • 3Anton Tanghe↓73’6.9
  • 12W. Paugain↓62’6.6
  • 39M. Aké7.2
  • 8T. Claes7.0
  • 21Tochukwu Nnadi↓73’6.9
  • 22J. Opoku↓62’6.0
  • 10Jeppe Erenbjerg7.2
  • 18A. Ementa6.2

Substitutes used

  • 17E. Soglo↑62’6.7
  • 19Benoit Nyssen↑62’7.3
  • 11S. Gavriel↑62’7.6
  • 9J. Vossen↑73’6.0

Unused: L. Bostyn, L. Willen, Benoit De Jaegere, E. Lofolomo, T. Hedl

Coach: Sven Vandenbroeck

KVC Westerlo 4-3-3

997.5 A. Jungdal(G)
288.0★ Dylan Ourega A 47.3 A. Lapage 337.7 R. Neustädter 776.5 J. Alcócer
466.9 A. Piedfort 136.2 I. Sakamoto ↓78’ 347.0 D. Haspolat
77.2 A. Sayyadmanesh 907.3 Nacho Ferri ↓78’ 386.2 Shunsuke Saito ↓46’
  • 99A. Jungdal (G)7.5
  • 28Dylan Ourega ★A8.0
  • 4A. Lapage7.3
  • 33R. Neustädter7.7
  • 77J. Alcócer6.5
  • 46A. Piedfort6.9
  • 13I. Sakamoto↓78’6.2
  • 34D. Haspolat7.0
  • 7A. Sayyadmanesh7.2
  • 90Nacho Ferri↓78’7.3
  • 38Shunsuke Saito↓46’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 8S. Sydorchuk↑46’6.7
  • 39T. Van den Keybus↑78’6.7
  • 29B. Gouré↑78’6.2

Unused: K. Van Langendonck, M. Fixelles, R. Smekens, A. Patrao, K. Vaesen, Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni

Player stats

Top rated
Dylan OuregaKVC Westerlo8.0
2nd
R. NeustädterKVC Westerlo7.7
3rd
S. GavrielZulte Waregem7.6

Zulte Waregem

KVC Westerlo

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.