Zulte Waregem vs RAAL La Louvière – 13 Dec 2025

Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Dec 13 · 17:15 Elindus Arena, Waregem

Zulte Waregem 9th · 22 pts · 17 played LDDDD

First leg0–0 2–2Full time

RAAL La Louvière 14th · 18 pts · 17 played WLLDL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Zulte Waregem were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Zulte Waregem had 6 days of rest, RAAL La Louvière 7.9 and had to travel 70 km.

Away travel70 kmRest days6 · 7.9Matches / 14d2 · 2

Zulte Waregem46%

Draw27%

RAAL La Louvière26%

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.06

Zulte Waregem46%

Draw26%

RAAL La Louvière27%

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.14

Zulte Waregem46%

Draw27%

RAAL La Louvière26%

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.06

Zulte Waregem39%

Draw28%

RAAL La Louvière33%

Expected goals 1.32 – 1.19

Zulte Waregem46%

Draw26%

RAAL La Louvière27%

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.14

Over 2.5 47% Both score 51% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Waregem)

No weather data yet

RefereeWesli De Cremer

Cards per match 4.0
Penalties per match 0.67
Matches 24

Team strength

Zulte Waregem

RAAL La Louvière

28 L90 StrengthIn forecast 24

30 Current StrengthIn forecast 17

27 AttackIn forecast 15

31 DefenceIn forecast 15

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Zulte Waregem

Attack—

Defense risk—

RAAL La Louvière

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Zulte Waregem

RAAL La Louvière

1.35 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.71

1.35 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00

0.98 xGVia Att/Def 0.77

1.53 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.23

+0.37 Goals minus xGContext -0.06

76% Scored inContext 53%

24% Clean sheetsContext 41%

10.76 ShotsContext 8.88

4.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.56

37% On target shareContext 27%

7.80 Shots in the boxContext 6.31

68% Box shareContext 69%

13% ConversionContext 8%

1.73 OffsidesContext 2.08

14.47 Shots allowedContext 12.00

4.41 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.81

3.88 BlocksContext 3.13

3.12 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.81

71% Save rateContext 79%

46% PossessionIn forecast 34%

375 PassesContext 254

302 Accurate passesContext 177

81% Pass accuracyContext 70%

6.92 Team ratingContext 6.76

11.35 FoulsContext 11.76

11.47 Fouls sufferedContext 11.53

1.59 Yellow cardsContext 1.82

0.12 Red cardsContext 0.06

This league season, per match · 17 and 17 games

1.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.70

1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.90

1.01 xGVia Att/Def 0.85

1.51 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.07

+0.39 Goals minus xGContext -0.15

80% Scored inContext 50%

30% Clean sheetsContext 40%

11.20 ShotsContext 8.00

3.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.56

35% On target shareContext 29%

8.33 Shots in the boxContext 6.11

71% Box shareContext 74%

13% ConversionContext 9%

1.57 OffsidesContext 2.25

13.40 Shots allowedContext 11.60

4.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.22

3.44 BlocksContext 3.11

3.20 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.22

76% Save rateContext 76%

47% PossessionIn forecast 34%

378 PassesContext 251

306 Accurate passesContext 178

81% Pass accuracyContext 71%

6.95 Team ratingContext 6.73

11.00 FoulsContext 11.60

12.10 Fouls sufferedContext 11.00

1.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.10

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Zulte Waregem

Rest6 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km178 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

RAAL La Louvière

Rest7.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel70 km40 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Zulte Waregem	RAAL La Louvière
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 7 Dec	7.9Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 5 Dec
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	70 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	178 km	40 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 3	0 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	7.1	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Zulte Waregem Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

13B. Gabriël(G)

55Y. Cappelle 4L. Lemoine 3Anton Tanghe 19Benoit Nyssen

8T. Claes 21Tochukwu Nnadi

22J. Opoku 24Jeppe Erenbjerg 17E. Soglo

18A. Ementa

RAAL La Louvière Confirmed XI

3-4-1-2

21M. Peano(G)

25D. Lamego 99Y. Okou 13M. Maisonneuve

5T. Lutonda 15S. Lahssaini 98Owen Maes 19Darío Benavides

23J. Ito

22J. Afriyie 7P. Fall

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Zulte Waregem Absences are shown before kick-off

RAAL La Louvière Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Zulte Waregem+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
RAAL La Louvière+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Zulte Waregem · Home 1.38points per game · 8 home games

W-D-L: 3-2-3
Scored: 1.38
Conceded: 1.25

RAAL La Louvière · Away 0.75points per game · 8 away games

W-D-L: 1-3-4
Scored: 0.88
Conceded: 1.38

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 14 this season

Opponent	Zulte Waregem	RAAL La Louvière
OH Leuven	D 1–1 AW 2–0 H	W 2–1 A
Cercle Brugge	D 1–1 HD 1–1 A	W 2–1 H
Standard Liege	D 0–0 A	L 0–2 H
Dender	D 2–2 A	L 1–2 HD 0–0 A
Union St. Gilloise	L 1–4 H	D 0–0 H
Gent	W 4–1 H	L 0–1 A
Antwerp	W 2–0 H	L 1–3 A
Charleroi	W 2–1 A	D 0–0 AW 1–0 H
Genk	L 2–3 A	D 1–1 A
St. Truiden	L 0–2 H	L 1–2 A
Club Brugge KV	L 0–1 H	W 1–0 H
Anderlecht	W 3–2 A	L 0–1 H
KVC Westerlo	L 1–3 A	D 0–0 H
KV Mechelen	D 1–1 H	L 2–3 A
Points	21 of 48 · 1.31 per game	17 of 48 · 1.06 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings

0 Zulte Waregem wins1 draws0 RAAL La Louvière wins

Goals per game0.00 – 0.00 Over 2.50% Both scored0% Clean sheets100% · 100%

4 Oct 2025RAAL La Louvière0–0Zulte Waregem

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Zulte Waregem	RAAL La Louvière	Forecast
Scored per game	1.35	0.71
Conceded per game	1.35	1.00
Match goals	2.71	1.71	2.54
Over 1.5	82%	47%
Over 2.5	41%	35%	47%
Over 3.5	35%	12%
Both teams scored	65%	41%	51%
Clean sheets	24%	41%
Failed to score	24%	47%
Games	17	17

	Zulte Waregem	RAAL La Louvière	Forecast
Scored per game	1.40	0.70
Conceded per game	1.10	0.90
Match goals	2.50	1.60	2.54
Over 1.5	80%	50%
Over 2.5	40%	40%	47%
Over 3.5	30%	10%
Both teams scored	70%	50%	51%
Clean sheets	30%	40%
Failed to score	20%	50%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Zulte Waregem	RAAL La Louvière	League
Corners
Corners won	4.19	3.88
Corners conceded	6.56	3.82
Match total	10.75	7.70	9.64
Over 8.5	63% 10/16	35% 6/17
Over 9.5	56% 9/16	29% 5/17
Over 10.5	56% 9/16	24% 4/17
Cards
Cards	1.71	1.88
Opponent cards	2.06	1.53
Match total	3.77	3.41	4.02
Over 3.5	53% 9/17	47% 8/17
Over 4.5	47% 8/17	29% 5/17

	Zulte Waregem	RAAL La Louvière	League
Corners
Corners won	4.11	3.50
Corners conceded	6.56	4.00
Match total	10.67	7.50	9.64
Over 8.5	56% 5/9	40% 4/10
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	56% 5/9	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	1.30	2.20
Opponent cards	2.10	1.90
Match total	3.40	4.10	4.02
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Wesli De Cremer 24 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.79league 3.82

Red cards0.21league 0.18

Cards 5+38%league 42%

Fouls24.4league 23.0

Penalties0.67league 0.30

Home wins63%league 42%

Zulte Waregem

No previous matches with this referee.

RAAL La Louvière1 with this referee

Record1-0-0 Cards · opp.3.0 · 4.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

W20 Sep 25A · OH Leuven2–13

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.